Where to find Base Rates? 2019-02-26T10:44:59.226Z

Comment by adam demirel on Where to find Base Rates? · 2019-02-27T10:26:07.565Z · LW · GW

Interesting. So let's say you wanted to minimise your risks of CHD as the OP mentioned - you would just go here and find out the highest correlates and trust them enough to base your whole gamble on?

Comment by adam demirel on Where to find Base Rates? · 2019-02-26T20:48:54.414Z · LW · GW

I totally agree with you that the reference class problem is a real problem, but having access to a process for quickly finding accurate base rates is still a problem.

Comment by adam demirel on Taking vitamin D3 with K2 in the morning · 2018-12-20T04:20:42.500Z · LW · GW

Do you have any data on how long the conversion takes?

Comment by adam demirel on Taking vitamin D3 with K2 in the morning · 2018-12-04T03:31:06.310Z · LW · GW

What time did you take it? D3 is a strong cellular modulator of our clock genes https://www.vitamindcouncil.org/new-research-finds-activated-vitamin-d-regulates-genes-involved-in-the-circadian-rhythm/

Comment by adam demirel on Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage · 2018-12-04T03:28:40.733Z · LW · GW

Interestingly, this fits with what Paul Graham replied to my email (about career advice) a while back:

I would choose whichever you find most interesting.
It's more important that you be excited about what
you're doing than which particular field you're working in.
Just ask yourself what would be cool, in an ambitious
way, to know more about.  --pg