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Comment by anonymous55 on Pretending to be Wise · 2009-02-20T10:53:00.000Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

[T]rying to signal wisdom by refusing to make guesses - refusing to sum up evidence - refusing to pass judgment...

Do you think this is involved in the general reluctance to assign probabilities in the absence of scientific frequency data (e.g., to assign probabilities to nuclear risks so that one can attempt expected value calculations)?