Comment by Brian Brunswick (brian-brunswick) on Oracle predictions don't apply to non-existent worlds · 2021-09-15T11:49:57.783Z · LW · GW

Surely the problem here is that you cannot have both the 90% statistic and the oracle in the same situation - they are mutually contradictory (given your free will in choosing a bet)

Replace the oracle by instead an agent that is promising to fix the game so that you either win or lose your bet. Then the EDT strategy is correct.