Comment by Davit Mrelashvili (davit-mrelashvili) on Why I think there's a one-in-six chance of an imminent global nuclear war · 2022-10-09T14:46:58.241Z · LW · GW

What are the numbers based on, especially 30% of Ukraine winning? So far, the retired US and NATO generals have voiced that Ukraine has achieved "irrevesible momentum" of winning. 

Any evidence you can counter argue that with?