Comment by evan-ward on A Plausible Entropic Decision Procedure for Many Worlds Living, Round 2 · 2019-06-22T22:50:38.805Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Do you think making decisions with the aid of quantum generated bits actually does increase the diversification of worlds?

Comment by evan-ward on A Plausible Entropic Decision Procedure for Many Worlds Living, Round 2 · 2019-06-10T16:58:26.837Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

You make a good point. I fixed it :)

A Plausible Entropic Decision Procedure for Many Worlds Living, Round 2

2019-06-09T19:48:08.687Z · score: 4 (3 votes)
Comment by evan-ward on A Possible Decision Theory for Many Worlds Living · 2019-06-09T19:37:26.718Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I really appreciate this comment and my idea definitely might come down trying to avoid risk rather than maximize expected utility. However, I still think there is something net positive about diversification. I write a better version of my post here: https://www.evanward.org/an-entropic-decision-procedure-for-many-worlds-living/ and if you could spare the time, I would love your feedback.

Comment by evan-ward on A Possible Decision Theory for Many Worlds Living · 2019-06-09T19:34:40.715Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I think you are right, but my idea applies more when one is uncertain about their expected utility estimates. I write a better version if my idea here https://www.evanward.org/an-entropic-decision-procedure-for-many-worlds-living/ and would love your feedback

Comment by evan-ward on A Possible Decision Theory for Many Worlds Living · 2019-06-09T19:32:33.446Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I am glad you appreciated this! I'm sorry I didn't respond sooner. I think you are write about the term "decision theory" and have opted for "decision procedure" in my new, refined version of the idea at https://www.evanward.org/an-entropic-decision-procedure-for-many-worlds-living/

Comment by evan-ward on A Possible Decision Theory for Many Worlds Living · 2019-05-04T21:42:56.309Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I'm sorry but I am not familiar with your notation. I am just interested in the idea: when an agent Amir is fundamentally uncertain about the ethical systems that he evaluates his actions by, is it better if all of his immediate child worlds make the same decision? Or should he hedge against his moral uncertainty, ensure his immediate child worlds choose courses of action that optimize for irreconcilable moral frameworks, and increase the probability that in a subset of his child worlds, his actions realize value?

It seems that in a growing market (worlds splitting at an exponential rate), it pays in the long term to diversify your portfolio (optimize locally for irreconcilable moral frameworks).

I agree that QM already creates a wide spread of worlds, but I don't think that means it's safe to put all of one's eggs in one basket when one has doubt that their moral system is fundamentally wrong.

A Possible Decision Theory for Many Worlds Living

2019-05-04T21:20:42.127Z · score: 0 (8 votes)

[Link] The Problem with the Effective Altruism Campaign- Quillette

2019-02-28T01:01:08.866Z · score: 2 (2 votes)
Comment by evan-ward on Open Thread January 2019 · 2019-01-11T03:56:39.125Z · score: 10 (7 votes) · LW · GW

I too have been lurking for a little while. I have listened to the majority of Rationality from A to Z by Eliezer and really appreciate the clarity that Bayescraft and similar ideas offer. Hello :)