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Comment by Exetera on [Link] Noam Chomsky Killed Aaron Schwartz · 2013-01-18T05:42:57.916Z · LW · GW

So, according to Moldbug, political changes over time aren't due to different movements waxing and waning in power and support, but rather due to one grand movement changing its mind? He seems to be a shockingly vanilla conspiracy theorist, given what I've heard of him. I'm surprised that LWers put up with him...

Comment by Exetera on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 18, chapter 87 · 2012-12-23T15:22:17.964Z · LW · GW

It's possible that this perception of undifferentiated gossiping masses may be affected by bias in what the named characters listen to. The male population of Hogwarts might well seem like an undifferentiated Quidditch-loving mass if it weren't for Harry's tendency to fling Quieting Charms around when he wants to get out of conversation. (And, as a more literary reason, the girls' gossip is often plot-relevant whereas Quidditch jabberings wouldn't be.)

Comment by Exetera on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 18, chapter 87 · 2012-12-23T02:12:33.056Z · LW · GW

So, by this law, Harry and the Weasley twins disturbing Neville outside the Hogwarts Express on the first day was the objectively right thing to do?

Comment by Exetera on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 18, chapter 87 · 2012-12-23T01:27:04.964Z · LW · GW

It's possible that Quirrell's ongoing issues with fine motor control have been with him for long enough to become known. He's not going to be able to make the Philosopher's Stone that way.

Comment by Exetera on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 17, chapter 86 · 2012-12-18T22:42:27.627Z · LW · GW

Cross-posted from the TVTropes forum. (There's more to the post there, but I didn't think it all needed to be repeated.)

Why would this important? Well, obviously, this memory represents a huge turning point for Harry. This is when he started to turn against Dumbledore. It suggested to him an interpretation of his parents' death in which Dumbledore deliberately set them up for it. This interpretation of events is itself a bit suspect; Harry thinks (Ch. 46) he came to it sometime during or immediately after the period of his Dementation, but he can't quite place exactly when that was, and it certainly doesn't appear in his narration at the time. He is presently sticking to this interpretation even after receiving information that should falsify it: according to Snape, it is impossible to tamper with the memory of a prophecy.

And, let's not forget, there's another reason this is important: the memory is leaking back into Snape. According to Minerva, Snape is held to Dumbledore's service by his guilt over Lily's death. Whether or not Lily was tortured seems to matter to him... perhaps Dumbledore had told him that she was. Now, Snape knows that the memory falsifies torture; this may weaken the bonds tying him to Dumbledore. This is without even touching upon Harry's interpretation of events, in which Dumbledore deliberately set up Lily and James to be killed in order to bring down Voldemort. Obviously, should Snape come to the same conclusion, his anger over the death of Lily will suddenly pivot and he will become unpredictable.

Comment by Exetera on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 17, chapter 86 · 2012-12-17T20:12:14.902Z · LW · GW

Remember that, in canon, Voldemort does indeed take over the Ministry with a few Imperiuses and a few assassinations.

Comment by Exetera on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 17, chapter 86 · 2012-12-17T18:15:42.903Z · LW · GW

Remember that Harry had also learned that Quirrell had successfully used Avada Kedavra on two Death Eaters. Moody says that it isn't hard to cast AK for a second time, and Harry already knows that this time would have been at least Quirrell's third.

Comment by Exetera on Firewalling the Optimal from the Rational · 2012-10-09T03:59:29.072Z · LW · GW

It's not actually required that children say it; it would, in fact, violate the Constitution to mandate political speech, even from students. But it's expected that students recite the Pledge, and most do.

Comment by Exetera on "Hide comments in downvoted threads" is now active · 2012-10-06T03:45:24.480Z · LW · GW

Replies are not necessarily as good or worse than their parents. A lot of the Sequences on this site might be construed as "replies" to more mainstream statistics, philosophy, or science, and yet I would certainly hope that the Sequence entries would get more upvotes than their parents.

Comment by Exetera on "Hide comments in downvoted threads" is now active · 2012-10-06T03:42:22.357Z · LW · GW

Perhaps a way to make this work would be to automatically unhide downstream comments whose upvotes are greater than the sum of the downvotes of all its negative-karma parents? In that way, a good (ie. high-karma) discussion can't be killed by a low-karma parent thread so easily.

Comment by Exetera on The noncentral fallacy - the worst argument in the world? · 2012-09-29T13:51:36.583Z · LW · GW

They're not quite the same. The association fallacy takes the form "A is a C and A is a B therefore all B are C," whereas this argument takes the form "A is arguably a B and Bs are often C therefore if I call A a B I can implicitly accuse it of being C without having to justify it." It's not a standard logical fallacy in the sense that it relies a lot on fuzzy, human definitions of things.

Comment by Exetera on Cleaning up the "Worst Argument" essay · 2012-09-07T01:55:52.168Z · LW · GW

I'm not really loving the way you're inventing two Title-Cased Important Concepts in this version of the essay; you're title-casing both "The Worst Argument In The World" and "Guilt by Association." In general, I don't love the "filled with buzzwords" feel, and you definitely don't need the redundancy, but there are also some specific reasons why "Guilt by Association" is a poorer choice to title-case.

I could swallow title-casing just "The Worst Argument In The World" in the first version of the essay, as it's not a phrase I had heard much before and the casing helps to signify that it's being used to refer to a specific bad argument rather than an abstract worst argument. In this version, you're using "Guilt by Association" as the name, which doesn't seem to be pointing to an abstract argument and therefore doesn't need the title case; furthermore, "guilt by association" is already a widely-used name for a slightly different fallacy, and it's a bit confusing to see it used to mean something different here.