Posts

Meetup : Seattle Secular Solstice 2014-11-11T08:23:06.564Z · score: 2 (3 votes)
BuzzFeed on Cryonics 2013-06-28T03:21:12.680Z · score: 7 (10 votes)
The Brain Preservation Foundation still needs money 2012-08-21T14:04:23.636Z · score: 23 (28 votes)

Comments

Comment by jaibot on I Want To Live In A Baugruppe · 2017-03-20T03:57:42.072Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Seattle is thinking about putting together a Community Center. This would basically be a house that we collectively rent out, with maybe one or two people living there at below-market rates to take care of the space and do upkeep. Here's a post on Tumblr outlining the thinking so far by one of the people spearheading the effort: http://fermatas-theorem.tumblr.com/post/158612649028/what-if-seattle-earationality-got-a-community

Comment by jaibot on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, February 2015, chapter 112 · 2015-02-27T11:27:38.305Z · score: 7 (7 votes) · LW · GW

Mirro!Dumbledore appears to not be time-turned: 110 was edited so that Dumbledore says:

"I am there," Albus Dumbledore said, "and also inside the Mirror, unfortunately for you. I have always been here, all along."

That doesn't sound like he just spun back - it sounds like there might be more than one Dumbledore running around.

Comment by jaibot on Open thread, Dec. 8 - Dec. 15, 2014 · 2014-12-08T06:19:52.469Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

All of the organisms descended from a most recent common ancestor; we pick the MRCA semi-arbitrarily based on criteria like "sexual compatibility of descendents".

Comment by jaibot on The Bay Area Solstice · 2014-12-04T03:02:31.379Z · score: 6 (6 votes) · LW · GW

Near the Pacific Northwest? Come to the Seattle Secular Solstice!

Facebook event

Comment by jaibot on October 2014 Bragging thread. · 2014-12-02T15:19:52.044Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

More info on the Facebook event page: https://www.facebook.com/events/929245180436645

Comment by jaibot on October 2014 Bragging thread. · 2014-10-08T07:53:39.703Z · score: 15 (15 votes) · LW · GW

I'm starting to get involved with the Seattle EA/LW group, and helping organize a Secular Solstice in Seattle.

Deal with it, internalized social anxiety.

Comment by jaibot on October 2014 Bragging thread. · 2014-10-08T07:36:37.702Z · score: 12 (14 votes) · LW · GW

Me too.

Cool.

heh

Comment by jaibot on What's the right way to think about how much to give to charity? · 2014-10-02T12:23:53.250Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Note from a week later: I have no memory of writing this and find it hilarious. I still endorse the general message, if not the descent into semi-madness.

Comment by jaibot on What's the right way to think about how much to give to charity? · 2014-09-26T05:20:18.740Z · score: 4 (4 votes) · LW · GW

The tithe is a well-established Schelling point, and one that I follow. 10% Jaibot and Bride of Jaibot of income goes to GiveWell's top charities. I Use Google's one-a-day app for non-optimal warm fuzzies, and I pitch in to explicitly rationalist causes like MIRI or helping a dying person afford cryonics.

(here is where I notice Ambien kicking in. Post becomes less reliably representative of Jai from here on out.

The important thing is to measure yourself against what you are: You are a human. Humans are not very good at world optimization, when left to their own devices. They knock things over and cheat and steal - and some goof comes of it, sometimes...but if you can take actions to make life better for people, at all, you're already winning. You made the choice that almost no one else made, the choice which you amplified and echoes after you made it: "I want to help. I realy want to help. I don't mean "look busy" or "be complimented", I mean "alter the state of the world such that everyine gets the things they would want if they were better at being the sort of person I want them to gtow ::falls down::

Comment by jaibot on Open thread, September 8-14, 2014 · 2014-09-10T07:07:26.173Z · score: 8 (12 votes) · LW · GW

"They" can be singular or plural.

Comment by jaibot on I'm holding a birthday fundraiser · 2014-09-08T19:23:27.783Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

This is the first time I've run into Mercy for Animals. Is there a third-part analysis of effectiveness?

Comment by jaibot on Weekly LW Meetups · 2014-09-08T08:29:08.123Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I have some intention of attempting to summon Seattle meetups. I'll be going to a EA meetup tomorrow, to learn things and hopefully meet some eat people. Is there interest in other LW things happening?

Comment by jaibot on The Great Filter is early, or AI is hard · 2014-08-29T22:18:33.591Z · score: 4 (4 votes) · LW · GW

This degree of insight density is why I love LW.

Someone who is just scanning your headline might get the wrong idea, though: It initially read (to me) as two alternate possible titles, implying that the filter is early and AI is hard and these two facts have a common explanation (when the actual content seems to be "at least one of these is true, because otherwise the universe doesn't make sense").

Comment by jaibot on Study: In giving charity, let not your right hand... · 2014-08-23T03:54:31.630Z · score: 6 (8 votes) · LW · GW

Small sample size (92 participants), not replicated, and full of potential confounds (maybe the research assistant was extra enthusiastic when handing out envelopes, or maybe the person soliciting noticed who had what and also varied their reaction). That there was an effect at all was dubious, and privileging this hypothesis seems unwarranted. It's plausible, but this study is very, very weak evidence.

Comment by jaibot on Open thread, July 21-27, 2014 · 2014-07-21T16:55:49.734Z · score: 6 (6 votes) · LW · GW

MIRI's Summer Fundraiser is underway: https://intelligence.org/donate/

Comment by jaibot on Bragging Thread, June 2014 · 2014-06-09T22:56:42.854Z · score: 7 (7 votes) · LW · GW

Old job: Systems Engineer for a political group.

New job: Systems Engineer for Amazon Web Services.

Not that much lower stress. But instead of having sole responsibility for a big production environment, I'll be working on a team on a test environment. I get to leave DC, which I've wanted to do for a while, and live down the hall from some of my best friends in the world in Seattle, at a significantly reduced cost-of-living.

Comment by jaibot on Bragging Thread, June 2014 · 2014-06-09T07:16:04.908Z · score: 14 (14 votes) · LW · GW

I quit my job almost a year ago, spent most of the time on low-stress skill development and relaxation, and will shortly be starting a much-better-paying, much-lower-stress job.

Comment by jaibot on Open thread, 3-8 June 2014 · 2014-06-04T19:31:59.229Z · score: 5 (5 votes) · LW · GW

No one's posted about the new Oregon Cryonics yet?

Comment by jaibot on Open thread, 3-8 June 2014 · 2014-06-04T18:01:48.689Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

You're right, I failed a parse check. Thanks!

Comment by jaibot on Open thread, 3-8 June 2014 · 2014-06-03T18:47:12.969Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Pigs on top surprises me, given that I thought pigs had more intelligence/awareness than other meat sources (as measured by nebulous educated guessing on our part).

Comment by jaibot on Open thread, 3-8 June 2014 · 2014-06-03T18:45:46.182Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Here's a quick citation: http://pets.webmd.com/features/vegetarian-diet-dogs-cats

tldr: Dogs are opportunistic carnivores more than omnivores. They eat whatever they can get, and they'll probably survive without meat, but they'll be missing a bunch of things their bodies expect to have.

Comment by jaibot on Open thread, 3-8 June 2014 · 2014-06-03T14:44:06.227Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Effective animal altruism question: I may be getting a dog. Dogs are omnivores who seem to need meat to stay healthy. What's the most ethical way to keep my hypothetical dog happy and healthy?

Edit: Answers Pet Foods appears to satisfice. I'll be going with this pending evidence that there's a better solution.

Comment by jaibot on Open Thread, May 19 - 25, 2014 · 2014-05-19T06:42:48.476Z · score: 4 (4 votes) · LW · GW

The OpenWorm Kickstarter ends in a few hours, and they're almost to their goal! Pitch in if you want to help fund the world's first uploads.

Comment by jaibot on Open Thread, May 12 - 18, 2014 · 2014-05-14T00:38:28.744Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Did this yesterday, but went unseen: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=7732588

I get the sense that posting again is frowned upon.

Comment by jaibot on Open Thread, May 12 - 18, 2014 · 2014-05-13T12:25:28.988Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

You're welcome! It doubled as a pedagogical introduction to jQuery, so usefulness all around.

Sidenote: I want this to be as useful as possible to as many people as possible, but I'm not sure how to promote it without seeming spammy.

Comment by jaibot on Open Thread, May 12 - 18, 2014 · 2014-05-12T13:37:02.250Z · score: 25 (25 votes) · LW · GW

After HeartBleed, I got really irritated at how much time it took to hunt down the "change password" links for all the services I used. So, in the name of fighting trivial inconveniences, I made a list of direct password-and-two-factor-updating links for various popular services: UpdateYourPasswords.

Comment by jaibot on Be comfortable with hypocrisy · 2014-04-08T15:42:54.450Z · score: 5 (5 votes) · LW · GW

Anecdote: I was in your position at the start of 2013. I tried pescatarianism for a while and found it to be much easier than I expected; I transitioned to full vegatarianism a bit later and have found it surprisingly easy to maintain since. And I'm usually a pretty impulsive person, especially around food!

Surprise upside: Reduced decision fatigue, especially at restaurants.

Disclaimer: Typical mind fallacy, also I live in a very urban area with a higher-than-average density of vegetarians and vegetarian-options.

Comment by jaibot on Open Thread April 8 - April 14 2014 · 2014-04-08T15:38:04.389Z · score: 12 (12 votes) · LW · GW

It's one of the only fictional works I can read without having to constantly ignore obvious things the protagonists should be doing. It's really, really funny.

Comment by jaibot on Irrationality Game III · 2014-03-13T08:02:45.215Z · score: -5 (25 votes) · LW · GW

Irrationality game:

Most animals we farm experience reality (including pain) in a human-enough-way that humanity's CEV will be horrified we allowed it to go on as long as we did. 80%

The same applies to most wildlife (most animals' lives have negative utility). 50%

(Note: I waffled on whether or not this was ruled out on the "no preferences disguised as beliefs" rule, but settled on "experience reality" as an empirical-enough question to be, eventually, objectively decided)

Comment by jaibot on Find a study partner - March 2014 thread · 2014-03-03T04:46:44.532Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

It's still in its extremely kludgey infancy, but http://powershame.com might be useful for people trying this.

Comment by jaibot on Lifestyle interventions to increase longevity · 2014-02-28T16:47:03.711Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

What about algae oil?

I'm also looking at krill oil. My vegetarianism is approximately Peter-Singer-When-He-Still-Ate-Mussels (http://www.wesleyan.edu/wsa/warn/singer_fish.htm), and I'm pretty sure Krill are simple enough that there's no disutility in consuming them, but I'm having trouble finding anything definitive.

Comment by jaibot on Lifestyle interventions to increase longevity · 2014-02-28T13:56:59.319Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Is it that we don't know what makes fish so effective, or we do know and can't get it any other way?

Comment by jaibot on Lifestyle interventions to increase longevity · 2014-02-27T11:16:27.890Z · score: 8 (8 votes) · LW · GW

Are there any decent vegetarian substitutes for fish?

Comment by jaibot on Open Thread for February 18-24 2014 · 2014-02-25T19:26:50.772Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Maybe the SEC argues that running the TOR client is probable cause.

(Several iterations of "But what if" later...)

Maybe someone rules that encrypted or obfuscated communication is probable cause.

(I don't think this is likely, I just wanted to skip to the end of this line of thinking)

...actually, I wonder if anyone's tried to engineer a distributed steganographic cryptocurrency.

Comment by jaibot on How to teach to magical thinkers? · 2014-02-25T10:43:12.816Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

It looks like the problem might be that saying "X is a cultural construct" gets read as "X is just a cultural construct and as such has no value outside of it's cultural boundaries".

There is more to a thing than how it came to be.

Comment by jaibot on How to teach to magical thinkers? · 2014-02-25T10:40:16.081Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Not just magical thinkers. I heard Massimo Pigliucci making the same "this isn't definitive and therefore it tells us nothing" argument on the most recent Rationally Speaking podcast.

Comment by jaibot on LINK: In favor of niceness, community, and civilisation · 2014-02-24T23:03:38.789Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · LW · GW

You probably won't convince anyone, but you can probably discourage uncommitted/future people from taking the scorned position.

Comment by jaibot on LINK: In favor of niceness, community, and civilisation · 2014-02-24T20:03:50.913Z · score: 5 (5 votes) · LW · GW

It looks like all the participants are consequentialists in good standing. The argument is over whose model of the world more accurately predicts consequences.

Comment by jaibot on LINK-How we make our depression worse · 2014-02-21T21:48:09.797Z · score: 8 (8 votes) · LW · GW

Upvoting OP to encourage responding to feedback.

Comment by jaibot on Identity and Death · 2014-02-18T15:31:12.612Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

"However, if you examine things closely the difference between 2014!Eliezer and 2094!Eliezer is actually bigger than the difference between 2014!Eliezer and let's say 2014!Yvain due to having all the new standard enhancements."

I question how well your delta-person-function corresponds to an intuitive notion of "similar people".

"Same person" is a slightly-blurry blob of feature space concentrated heavily around a-person-as-they-are-at-the-moment. It generally includes the person they were a second ago, and (to a lesser extent) the person they were a year ago. But it's a continuous function, not a binary one - there's not a sharp cutoff between "you" and "not you" in possible-person-space.

Comment by jaibot on Open Thread for February 11 - 17 · 2014-02-12T06:39:38.452Z · score: 22 (22 votes) · LW · GW

You know how when you see a kid about to fall off a cliff, you shrug and don't do anything because the standards of discourse aren't as high as they could be?

Me neither.

Comment by jaibot on L-zombies! (L-zombies?) · 2014-02-08T05:08:04.101Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

I'm extremely confused in this whole area. My intuition doesn't like your claim, but I don't trust my intuition here.

Comment by jaibot on L-zombies! (L-zombies?) · 2014-02-07T19:46:43.780Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

I'm either extremely confused or parsing your post wrong: You appear to be saying that everyone is an L-zombie ("none of us are ever run").

Comment by jaibot on How big of an impact would cleaner political debates have on society? · 2014-02-07T19:13:57.955Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

This is a good point. My argument is kind of specific to high-profile elections with very-well-defined tribes.

Comment by jaibot on How big of an impact would cleaner political debates have on society? · 2014-02-07T13:05:14.060Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Probably not

Comment by jaibot on How big of an impact would cleaner political debates have on society? · 2014-02-07T05:17:51.134Z · score: 5 (5 votes) · LW · GW

Political science corroborating observed evidence; The polls barely moved at all during the entire 2012 cycle, including internal very-expansive-and-ultimately-accurate polls. I very much doubt this is a cultural-belief based thing - if anything, political operatives tended to believe they had more ability to influence results than reality would suggest.

Political organizations have algorithms to predict how an individual will vote, how likely they are to vote, and how likely they are to volunteer to work for a candidate. These algorithms are actually pretty simple, with a ton of accuracy coming from not-very-much data (and severely diminishing returns on increased accuracy as you pour in massive amounts of marginally-useful data). They run experiments (testing different methods of GOTV, different email subject lines) using control groups and decently-large sample sizes to see if any discernible change is induced by any of these approaches. Spoiler: After thousands of experiments, nothing earth-shaking was discovered. The biggest discovery of the last cycle was "using short, casual subject lines in email raises somewhat more money which can be used to very-slightly-marginally increase voter turnout among less-motivated voters".

A lot of this has been publicly discussed, especially in post-election articles about the campaign - you can look it up. None of those accounts are entirely accurate, and the specific data is confidential, but the gist is there. You can get an idea of what's probably possible by what people got excited about.

Disclaimer: All of this is about change at the margin of the current climate/system. A drastic overhaul (with something totally mind-bogglingly sane like anything-but-first-past-the-goalpost-voting) probably would enable some actually-effective approaches (at least for a while until a new equilibrium was found).

Comment by jaibot on How big of an impact would cleaner political debates have on society? · 2014-02-06T20:15:50.348Z · score: 8 (8 votes) · LW · GW

Almost no one changes their mind in elections; Almost everything that goes on in elections is

(1) motivating people who have already made up their mind to go vote or

(2) theater to convince the least-attentive least-well-informed voters.

Raising the level of discourse of the theater is probably not going to have a significant effect; the theater is targeted at the people least interested in how much sense things make.

Source: I worked for the DNC during the 2012 cycle.

Comment by jaibot on How big of an impact would cleaner political debates have on society? · 2014-02-06T20:10:16.540Z · score: 1 (3 votes) · LW · GW

It probably continues because of the expectation of debates - no one would introduce them if they didn't already exist today.

Comment by jaibot on [LINK] Why I'm not on the Rationalist Masterlist · 2014-02-05T12:50:26.619Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Confused: There doesn't appear to be a double-negative.

If you're not very intelligent, that is relevant to your physicist aspirations. It is not orthogonal.

I do not understand how your description is a steel man. It may be an attempt to extrapolate instrumental values from a certain set of terminal values, but that doesn't help us in our matter-of-fact disagreement about the terminal values of the SJ cluster.

If you want to steel man social justice, substitute the entire works of John Rawls.

Comment by jaibot on [LINK] Why I'm not on the Rationalist Masterlist · 2014-02-05T06:48:39.439Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

If my goal is to become a physicist, say, does the fact that I'm not very intelligent count as an "orthogonal factor"?

No.

If the answer is no, then this is one form of my claim of them trying to make everyone as equal as possible even at the cost of making everyone worse off.

If "they" believe that. If you know of a large number of people who believe this, I am not aware of them.

Does hiring A, even though this is clearly unfair to B, count as "creating a barrier orthogonal to the goal"?

Hiring isn't creating the barrier; the barrier - the inability to determine which candidate is qualified - is already there.