Why I'm Not Vegan 2020-04-09T13:00:02.444Z · score: 8 (1 votes)
Mosh 2020-04-07T17:40:02.588Z · score: 17 (5 votes)
Kids Ear Protection 2020-04-07T01:40:02.645Z · score: 12 (5 votes)
Rhythm Stage Setup v3 2020-04-06T00:30:02.958Z · score: 1 (3 votes)
Solar Arc Faults 2020-04-03T15:00:02.422Z · score: 8 (1 votes)
Building Toe Buttons 2020-04-01T18:10:02.720Z · score: 4 (2 votes)
Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs PS3 Review 2020-03-31T02:20:02.864Z · score: 0 (3 votes)
Approaches to Electronic Contra 2020-03-29T22:20:02.514Z · score: 12 (3 votes)
Overhead of MessageChannel 2020-03-27T17:10:02.352Z · score: 8 (1 votes)
Price Gouging and Speculative Costs 2020-03-26T01:50:02.432Z · score: 62 (26 votes)
Authorities and Amateurs 2020-03-25T03:40:02.208Z · score: 145 (57 votes)
Beantown Stomp 2020 Retrospective 2020-03-24T02:30:02.352Z · score: 17 (5 votes)
When to Donate Masks? 2020-03-22T13:20:02.401Z · score: 34 (10 votes)
King and Princess 2020-03-17T02:10:02.601Z · score: 23 (5 votes)
Series Singing 2020-03-15T15:50:02.372Z · score: 8 (3 votes)
Should we heat our houses to ~78F to reduce coronavirus risk? 2020-03-15T15:28:50.657Z · score: 17 (9 votes)
Stepping Up Isolation 2020-03-13T16:00:02.538Z · score: 32 (11 votes)
It's Time To Stop Dancing 2020-03-09T03:30:02.494Z · score: 36 (18 votes)
Making a Standing Desk 2020-03-07T23:10:02.318Z · score: 2 (5 votes)
Coming Back to Biking 2020-03-07T02:40:02.287Z · score: 15 (6 votes)
Covid-19: Things I'm Doing Differently 2020-03-05T01:40:02.214Z · score: 38 (20 votes)
Bleach 2020-03-04T03:20:03.446Z · score: 33 (16 votes)
What Noise Does a Tambourine Make? 2020-03-01T02:10:02.735Z · score: 6 (4 votes)
Stretching the Beat 2020-02-28T16:30:02.356Z · score: 1 (3 votes)
Hoarding and Shortages 2020-02-25T18:40:02.110Z · score: 20 (8 votes)
Quarantine Preparations 2020-02-25T02:40:03.105Z · score: 60 (17 votes)
Northwest Passage Update 2020-02-23T03:30:02.310Z · score: 11 (3 votes)
Playing with Arpeggiators 2020-02-22T03:10:04.487Z · score: 7 (3 votes)
Assembling Sets for Contra 2020-02-19T03:40:02.164Z · score: 8 (1 votes)
More writeups! 2020-02-07T03:10:02.313Z · score: 34 (11 votes)
More Rhythm Options 2020-02-01T03:10:02.499Z · score: 1 (3 votes)
Porting My Rhythm Setup 2020-01-26T21:20:02.070Z · score: 9 (2 votes)
Emergency Prescription Medication 2020-01-24T01:20:02.562Z · score: 12 (4 votes)
Disasters 2020-01-21T19:20:01.544Z · score: 18 (7 votes)
Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter 2020-01-21T00:30:02.176Z · score: 0 (7 votes)
Adjusting Outdoor Reset 2020-01-19T18:20:02.028Z · score: 1 (3 votes)
Is NYC Building Much Housing? 2020-01-18T20:50:01.676Z · score: 0 (3 votes)
Fiddle Effects Tech 2020-01-17T17:00:01.784Z · score: 2 (4 votes)
Repossessing Degrees 2020-01-13T21:40:01.884Z · score: 9 (4 votes)
Farewell to the Entertainer 2020-01-10T02:30:01.702Z · score: 3 (4 votes)
Old Airports 2020-01-09T03:30:01.561Z · score: 14 (4 votes)
Looking at Mixers 2020-01-06T16:10:01.773Z · score: 5 (2 votes)
Credit Cards for Giving 2020-01-04T23:00:01.650Z · score: 13 (5 votes)
Running and Optimizing 2020-01-04T02:40:02.032Z · score: 10 (2 votes)
Toy Organ 2020-01-01T19:30:01.375Z · score: 7 (3 votes)
BIDA Musician Booking 2019-12-31T20:10:01.639Z · score: 10 (2 votes)
Folding Couch Monitor 2019-12-31T03:40:01.567Z · score: 16 (6 votes)
Programmers Should Plan For Lower Pay 2019-12-29T03:20:01.343Z · score: 56 (24 votes)
Out in the Great Northwest 2019-12-28T03:40:01.697Z · score: 6 (2 votes)
Naming Rooms 2019-12-27T02:40:01.644Z · score: 8 (3 votes)


Comment by jkaufman on Mosh · 2020-04-09T01:09:47.086Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

We have backup internet via tethering to our phones or else I would have got an extra line to our house in early March. But it would still be really inconvenient to work this way, since 4G is not as good as high speed cable and phones aren't great at this.

Comment by jkaufman on Mosh · 2020-04-08T16:01:10.395Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Another reason this didn't make sense before is that I didn't have a desk at home, and used my laptop from a lot of different places. But now that I'm working remotely full time I have a place where my laptop is 80% of the time and where I can easily go if my video calls aren't working well.

Comment by jkaufman on Mosh · 2020-04-08T15:59:34.367Z · score: 6 (4 votes) · LW · GW

Done. It's nice and I didn't break anything.

Comment by jkaufman on Mosh · 2020-04-08T15:04:56.531Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

This is overstating the risk. I should do it.

Comment by jkaufman on Mosh · 2020-04-08T12:57:49.978Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I've worked with ethernet a lot. I'm nervous to the point that I don't even want to plug a new cable into the cable modem (which is also an ethernet switch). The cable modem is supposedly some sort of special one that we can't replace ourself, so if it breaks we have no wired internet for however long it takes our cable company to get us a new connection.

I was considering getting a redundant cable connection (our building can get both Comcast and RCN) but that would involve letting a cable tech into the basement which I'd also really not like to do right now.

Other things I could do include moving the WiFi box up from the basement (the cable from RCN is long enough to reach the second floor) but again that is risky.

(This is not a way I'm used to thinking: normally I just do things and expect that in the unlikely event that it goes wrong I'll be able to buy what I need to fix it. But covid changes that.)

Comment by jkaufman on Mosh · 2020-04-08T02:35:33.375Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I've considered it, and have done similar things before, but I'm also really worried about touching the networking setup at all in any way because of how dependent we are on it right now. The likelihood of breaking something is low, but the benefit if I succeed isn't all that high.

Comment by jkaufman on Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs PS3 Review · 2020-03-31T21:27:19.941Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I also have Little Big Planet, Little Big Planet Karting, and Minecraft, but I haven't gotten any of them out yet. I'm thinking I should wait until they seem pretty done with Cloudy?

When I do get one out, I'm thinking it should either be LBP or LBP:K; do you have recommendations on which one to do next?

Comment by jkaufman on Price Gouging and Speculative Costs · 2020-03-26T12:33:39.643Z · score: 13 (5 votes) · LW · GW

That's a much better version than my "require companies to disclose and document production plans, require them to share their probability estimates of how likely they think things are to be needed, keep them honest by allowing third parties to bet against them at their published probabilities".

This is a lot like a pandemic bond, though apparently they existing ones still haven't paid out?

Comment by jkaufman on Authorities and Amateurs · 2020-03-26T12:29:11.739Z · score: 20 (11 votes) · LW · GW

These articles were widely shared at the time, and people were taking them seriously. and were a response to that saying "please stop paying attention to these widely shared articles because they are not written by experts". I'm saying that the attention was reasonable given the circumstances and the contents of the articles.

If the "please stop paying attention" articles had contained substantive criticisms of the articles ("they say Italy's CFR is X but they're missing Y") I would feel very differently.

Comment by jkaufman on Authorities and Amateurs · 2020-03-25T14:28:45.133Z · score: 7 (4 votes) · LW · GW

Notalgebraist posted a reasonable critique of Flattening The Curve Is a Deadly Delusion, explaining how it's incorrect to assume that flattenings won't reduce the total number of cases, and that it doesn't make sense to assume a normal distribution.

I see the Deadly Delusion post saying "My back-of-the-envelope calculation is not a proper simulation, or a good model of what’s going on either. Don’t cite it as such! In reality, the spread of a disease does not follow a normal distribution. The main bump of the curve will be on the left, with a long tail on the right. There is always going to be some effective mitigation (prevention of public gatherings, conferences, non-essential travel). The model is quite sensitive to the length of the stay in the ICU. If we get that down, fewer people will need these resources simultaneously, and the peaks of the curves will come down. We may be able to fight the inflammation during pneumonia, and reduce the number of critical cases. The available medical resources will increase over time to deal with the need. Regulations will be dropped, new treatments will be explored, and some of them will work. At some point in the near future, we may have to blow into a tube before we enter an airplane or an important public building, and a little screen tells us within seconds if our airways hold COVID-19, H1N1 or the common flu. But the point of my argument is not that we are doomed, or that 6% of our population has to die, but that we must understand that containment is unavoidable, and should not be postponed, because later containment is going to be less effective and more expensive, and leads to additional deaths." This seems to address Notalgebraist's concerns pretty well? I thought maybe it was added to the post in response to feedback, but I see it in the first wayback capture which looks like it's older than

3 days later, the Imperial College study made the same point in a much better and more rigorous way (among lots of other good points), but it was less widely shared on social media.

While the paper itself wasn't widely shared (not too surprising!) lots of news stories that cited it and passed on its conclusions were shared:

Comment by jkaufman on Authorities and Amateurs · 2020-03-25T14:15:08.732Z · score: 31 (11 votes) · LW · GW

The posts I'm referring to made claims that were much stronger than "we should be reacting more". If you look through and, and the follow-up they're making detailed claims about how the world is and how it will soon be.

Comment by jkaufman on When to Donate Masks? · 2020-03-23T00:43:46.602Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Yes, that sounds like the right time to donate

Comment by jkaufman on Programmers Should Plan For Lower Pay · 2020-03-19T17:42:47.367Z · score: 8 (5 votes) · LW · GW

That was not how I was expecting this bet to resolve!

Comment by jkaufman on March Coronavirus Open Thread · 2020-03-18T00:39:49.267Z · score: 10 (5 votes) · LW · GW

Allergies and asthma are rare in China and other poorer countries. The standard explanation I'vev head is

Comment by jkaufman on March Coronavirus Open Thread · 2020-03-15T02:04:27.198Z · score: 5 (3 votes) · LW · GW

I wrote something looking into bleach:

Summary: it's extremely concentrated, and a highly recommended disinfectant, but it's also dangerous and you need to be careful with it in specific ways

Comment by jkaufman on Coming Back to Biking · 2020-03-12T14:38:19.526Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

As of this morning, all three of the "not yet" things have changed:

  • We cancelled events on 3/9

  • My work implemented recommended WFH starting 3/11

  • My kids school cancelled starting 3/12

Comment by jkaufman on March Coronavirus Open Thread · 2020-03-09T16:23:15.596Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I mean, I can definitely distribute them randomly. I'm trying to figure out if there's something better to do with them.

(They're also gallons, so a bit tricky to distribute)

Comment by jkaufman on March Coronavirus Open Thread · 2020-03-09T15:40:43.233Z · score: 11 (4 votes) · LW · GW

I have a lot of hand sanitizer I bought for a dance weekend that is now cancelled. What should I do with it?

EDIT: I gave some to an immunocompromised friend, some to friends who have critical jobs, and the rest to a food pantry

Comment by jkaufman on March Coronavirus Open Thread · 2020-03-09T15:40:14.107Z · score: 14 (6 votes) · LW · GW

How useful is it to heat your house to 75F+? To heavily humidify your house?

Comment by jkaufman on Bleach · 2020-03-07T02:41:39.461Z · score: 10 (4 votes) · LW · GW

Could you be more specific?

Comment by jkaufman on Hoarding and Shortages · 2020-02-26T13:54:54.659Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I'm having trouble seeing a scenario where we need 1B people wearing masks daily: if things are that bad I'd expect the vast majority of people to be staying put and avoiding interacting with people, in which case they don't need masks?

Comment by jkaufman on Quarantine Preparations · 2020-02-25T23:53:59.547Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

This doesn't sound right to me. I think there's a significant chance of a scenario where a lot of people are sick, most people are voluntarily staying home as much as possible to limit risk, some things are still working (utilities) but many other things are not (home delivery services, shortages at stores).

I think "the whole thing collapses and everyone dies" is incredibly unlikely for a disease that kills only a few percent of people.

Comment by jkaufman on Quarantine Preparations · 2020-02-25T19:36:53.565Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

> Acting now, in advance, would seem to offer something of a first move advantage when thinking in terms of individual interests. That would seem to be a bit contrary to the general view of the EA sub-group here.

I wrote a response to this here -- it depends a lot on whether you think there's time and capacity for producers to react to increased demand.

Comment by jkaufman on Quarantine Preparations · 2020-02-25T18:05:57.038Z · score: 7 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I think your experience in the Soviet Union isn't that similar to how it would go here. If there were a serious rumor in the US that sugar was going to run out and people started buying a lot, initially stores would have empty shelves, yes -- this is what happens right before a blizzard or hurricane. But then prices would rise, some people would decide they didn't want sugar at the higher price, it would be worth it to import sugar from other countries we don't normally import from (paying the high sugar import tariff that makes the US use so much corn) and sugar production would ramp up. Raising prices to manage high demand and merchants being free to arrange their own imports are both (a) really important and (b) to my knowledge not the sort of thing that the Soviet Union did.

Comment by jkaufman on Northwest Passage Update · 2020-02-23T12:34:39.243Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Rereading the post I managed to leave out something important: this isn't a replacement for the chorus, it's a tag you can sing after the rest of the song.

Comment by jkaufman on Assembling Sets for Contra · 2020-02-20T15:59:35.016Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

YouTube: Great Bear Trio: Benton's Hallucinations

Spotify: Buddy System, Great Bear, Mean Lids, Elixir and my band, Free Raisins

Comment by jkaufman on More writeups! · 2020-02-08T02:57:06.781Z · score: 5 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Yes, sorry, including that one was a joke ;)

Comment by jkaufman on Political Roko's basilisk · 2020-01-28T00:10:44.459Z · score: 5 (3 votes) · LW · GW

You might like Nomic:

Comment by jkaufman on Disasters · 2020-01-26T12:04:10.216Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

"When in 2014 the war began, it was a complete surprise and shock for everyone" is the most interesting part to me. People often think variants of "it couldn't happen here" or "we would have plenty of warning".

Comment by jkaufman on Disasters · 2020-01-24T01:15:48.317Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Medicines are tricky legally (I want to write a follow-up about this)


Comment by jkaufman on Disasters · 2020-01-23T18:21:51.828Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Water doesn't make much sense to do by mail, since a full water container is so much heavier and more hassle than an empty one.

Food that you buy and keep until it expires and needs to be thrown away is much more expensive than food you rotate through, and is less useful in cases where you forget to go to the store and want some extras of things. It also doesn't let you buffer occasional trips to cheap stores or buffer buying things on sale.

Medicines are tricky legally (I want to write a follow-up about this) and are different person to person.

I'm not seeing much of a market here?

Comment by jkaufman on Disasters · 2020-01-23T18:17:58.383Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

The ongoing maintenance for food and water is pretty low:

  • For food, when I open containers of non-perishables I take them from the front of the line, and when I buy new ones I put them at the back of the line.

  • For water, 14gal/person is two 1ft^3 water containers. I've set a recurring reminder to swap the water out every five years.

An additional cost is the hassle of moving/selling/giving away your stockpile if you move.

For water you can just dump it out and refill at your new place. For food it's pretty small compared to the rest of what you're moving, maybe two ~1ft^3 boxes per person?

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T19:25:28.569Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

UHT for cream isn't as bad as it is for milk, and it can be done more or less well, but typically all the cream at grocery store, including the organic stuff, will be UHT: whipping cream

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T15:45:12.700Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Where are you? In the US cream is generally UHT pasteurized, but if you're somewhere where that's not common your cream won't last as long.

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T15:40:57.191Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I'm not sure there's any purpose for which chocolate and bacon are both suitable replacements for butter.)

Both would be tasty on toast. Even simultaneously!

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T02:50:40.638Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Our local store brand is 11g fat, 7g of which is saturated, no trans fats:

Same as Kerrygold:

(I don't know whether Hotel Bar is a fancy butter or not, or whether you're in favor of high trans fats in your butter)

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T02:39:41.581Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

The eggbeater in the image you use in your post appears to have wooden parts (the handle).

Yup. But we've been putting it in the dishwasher for years and it's doing fine. It will eventually lose its handle, but it's about $2 at the thrift store.

(As I wrote above, though, for whipped cream in particular I usually do it by hand)

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T02:34:53.213Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

That's fine if you like it, though I would like it less. I really enjoy the contrast between the cool smooth unsweet whipped cream and the strongly flavored warm sweet cobbler.

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T02:33:46.850Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Generally, I'm not very sure why you would use whipped cream instead of butter.

This post is based on my (apparently not universal!) understanding that whipped cream is far tastier than butter.

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T02:30:24.546Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

The composition of fancy butter isn't very different: something like 82% fat instead of 80%. Again if you're making croissants this matters, but not if you're making, say, chocolate chip cookies or cake.

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T02:25:31.087Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

You can put it in your dishwasher, for example

We'll put our eggbeater in the dishwasher. It's stainless steel and it seems fine.

If it eventually breaks we can get a new one; they're very cheap used.

an electric hand mixer, which is faster than either manual option

I'd be surprised if it was faster after accounting for needing to get the hand mixer out and assemble it? Whipping a serving of cream by hand took me 16s (I timed it for this post)

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T01:59:51.315Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

But I'm confused why you're eating whipped cream rather than plain butter. Given you're only looking at one dimension (cost per calorie), why not go even cheaper?

Mine is definitely a simplistic analysis, but I'm looking at two dimensions: taste and cost. I'm arguing that since whipped cream is both tastier and cheaper than fancy butter it makes a much better condiment.

Most of the disagreement seems to be over whether whipped cream is actually tastier, which is totally fair.

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T01:57:17.348Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

This sounds slower than using an eggbeater, without being any faster to clean up?

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T01:56:24.562Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

There is a cold spot in my refrigerator (not the freezer!) where the ambient temperature is approximately 25 °F.

If part of my fridge were below freezing I would find that very frustrating, but it sounds like you've figured out how to use it to good effect!

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T01:54:50.486Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I typically run the eggbeater under hot water while turning it slowly. While you normally need soap to clean greasy surfaces, the fat in cream is suspended in the water in a way that keeps the whole thing water-soluble and it comes right off. It takes maybe 15s.

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T01:52:02.766Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

This is probably another preference thing, but I'm quite happy to eat plain whipped cream on plain berries (or Key lime pie, or cobbler). They're all plenty sweet as is.

Comment by jkaufman on Whipped Cream vs Fancy Butter · 2020-01-21T01:49:18.432Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Yes, in baking you should definitely not substitute whipped cream for butter, that would go very poorly.

But there's rarely any advantage to fancy butter in baking either, unless you're making something like croissants where the butter is a main component of the final flavor.

Comment by jkaufman on Repossessing Degrees · 2020-01-14T01:51:49.037Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

You can't legally stop people from truthfully disclosing that they have a repossessed degree, because of the first amendment.

The two of us could sign a contract where I pay you $100 and you agree not to disclose what you ate for breakfast this morning, and agree not to disclose the existence of the contract. That would be a reasonably standard non-disclosure agreement (NDA). Having a system where student loans normally survive bankruptcy, but can be discharged if you agree not to disclose that you ever had a degree seems similarly compatible with the first amendment?

left many archived traces of that information

In practice I think this is unlikely to matter much for most people. If you're applying for a job, and the job asks for your resume, they're not going to go poking around dusty corners of the web looking to see if you had some other version with different contents. Someone willing to put in that much additional effort would probably just spend it on evaluating the candidate directly.

Comment by jkaufman on Whole Brain Emulation: Looking At Progress On C. elgans · 2020-01-04T14:27:40.900Z · score: 7 (3 votes) · LW · GW

See and Why Is There No Successful Whole Brain Simulation Yet (2019)

Comment by jkaufman on Programmers Should Plan For Lower Pay · 2019-12-31T21:41:43.116Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

My model is that over time systems get more similar between companies, as we start learning the best way to do things and get good open source infrastructure for the common things.

But you may be right: there's a really strong tendency to build layers on top of layers, which means, for example, "familiarity with the Google Ads stack" is very important to the company and not a very transferrable skill.