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Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on The Duplicator: Instant Cloning Would Make the World Economy Explode · 2022-03-18T21:34:38.912Z · LW · GW

The way you describe the consequences of the invention of the Duplicator completely ignores ordinary human qualities. First of all, human ambitions. If you copy a brilliant CEO to replace all middle managers with him, then none of these copies will want to be a middle manager. Or you will have to change their brains so that they are happy with their subordinate position (which is doubtful from the moral side... like this idea in general). If you copy the brilliant president who ruled the country, then the copy discovers that her personal ambitions are not satisfied - he is no longer ruling the country. Similarly with all other options.

Written with the help of an online translator, there may be errors.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on [Letter] Russians are Welcome in America · 2022-03-10T19:54:06.119Z · LW · GW
Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Ukraine Situation Report 2022/03/01 · 2022-03-04T20:10:12.044Z · LW · GW

"For spreading false information about the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation under the guise of reliable reports, a fine of 700 thousand to 1.5 million rubles or a penalty of up to three years in prison is provided.

 

For spreading a fake using one's official position, by a group of persons or by a group of persons with artificial creation of evidence of the prosecution, the penalty will be from five to 10 years in prison. If deliberately false information entailed serious consequences, a penalty of 10 to 15 years in prison is provided."

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-03-01T00:16:26.849Z · LW · GW

I was talking about the war in Cyprus.

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkish_invasion_of_Cyprus

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-28T20:58:45.547Z · LW · GW

As far as I remember, Turkey and Greece, NATO members, were at war with each other.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-28T11:30:52.746Z · LW · GW

After studying the situation of Ukraine's economy after 1991 in recent days, I am not surprised by those who think so.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Ukraine

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-28T00:48:29.650Z · LW · GW

Yes, a nuclear war would not destroy humanity completely. This is not relevant to this issue. From the fact that there was no nuclear war, we cannot deduce in any way what its probability was. The probability can be deduced only from a thorough assessment of the incidents themselves (the Caribbean crisis and 1983 and other examples) and the possibilities of other incidents.
I hope the translator translated it correctly...

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-27T22:56:10.961Z · LW · GW

I will add that we do not know what the probability of nuclear escalation was during the Cold War. Perhaps there was a 50 or 90 percent risk of war. Survivorship bias.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-27T22:50:33.027Z · LW · GW

Crimea was also an autonomy, but its independence and the referendum on joining the Russian Federation was not recognized in the world.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-26T11:51:51.390Z · LW · GW

Today's news.
Turkey abstained from voting on the suspension of Russia's rights in the Council of Europe.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-26T11:09:25.121Z · LW · GW

The US is critically dependent on the production of microchips in Taiwan, there are only economic reasons. The United States has no economic interests in Ukraine.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-26T11:08:21.731Z · LW · GW

I add that the precedent for Russia's actions in eastern Ukraine and Crimea was called the independence and international recognition of Kosovo.

 

Kind of. "Why can they, but we can't?"

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-25T17:22:12.367Z · LW · GW

It's a funny joke.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-25T17:05:53.303Z · LW · GW

Hello there! Will you translate something else?

 

And yes, even commentators with a different point of view in Runet are called paid.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-25T15:12:13.923Z · LW · GW

It sounds realistic.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-25T12:12:22.152Z · LW · GW

In Ukraine, the majority will not vote for joining Russia. It is impossible to preserve even the visible legitimacy of such an annexation. When Crimea was annexed, the majority voted for joining Russia. In Luhansk and Donetsk (two separatist regions of eastern Ukraine), the majority voted for independence from Ukraine. These referendums are not recognized by most countries, but there is no doubt about the reality of such sentiments of the local population. It won't work that way with the rest of Ukraine.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-24T22:48:46.476Z · LW · GW

The link here was posted in the chat of the translation group of Yudkovsky's articles about AI. Your post was interesting.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-24T22:27:03.254Z · LW · GW

In Russia, extremely many are dissatisfied with the collapse of the USSR and the deprivation of Russia's superpower status, therefore they support the return of the former territories or at least political influence on them. In 2014, I also fervently supported the return of Crimea, where almost the entire population is Russian, although I hated Putin. But this was followed by a protracted economic crisis, a drop in household incomes, so now support for Putin's actions is less than at that time.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-24T20:42:12.808Z · LW · GW

I'm from Russia. The issue of war splits our society. Young people and intellectuals are mostly against the war, anti-war rallies were held today in most major cities of Russia. But the older generation (conservatives) mostly support the war, some even speak out for the complete annexation of Ukraine (this is hardly possible in reality).
Written with the help of an online translator, my English is very bad, there may be mistakes.

Comment by Константин Токмаков (konstantin-tokmakov) on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-24T16:38:14.617Z · LW · GW

The Russian army is now about 15 kilometers from Kiev, the capital of Ukraine. At least, it doesn't look like the war can last long.