Posts

A few questions on International Rationality 2012-04-30T22:27:13.442Z · score: 17 (21 votes)
Cracked wrote an Article about Life-Extension 2012-04-11T18:43:11.637Z · score: 1 (12 votes)
60m Asteroid currently assigned a .022% chance of hitting Earth. 2012-03-04T07:19:26.912Z · score: 13 (14 votes)

Comments

Comment by locke on [FINAL CHAPTER] Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 122 · 2015-03-14T17:06:59.033Z · score: 9 (11 votes) · LW · GW

Since it looks like we won't be getting a canonical answer, any thoughts on what exactly the Peverell Prophecy means?

"Three shall be Peverell’s sons and three their devices by which Death shall be defeated."

Comment by locke on [LINK] Author's Note 119: Shameless Begging · 2015-03-11T03:05:47.928Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Blegging*

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 114 + chapter 115 · 2015-03-04T18:04:40.198Z · score: 10 (10 votes) · LW · GW

Having the Death Eaters look around makes sense, but the paralysis seems contrived to me. It's a very specific level of intelligence between what he have now and just having Mr. Grim cast Expelliarmus. I think it is more realistic for Voldemort to have dismissed the threat than for him to have considered it and decided that paralyzing Harry was the best solution.

Comment by locke on The Ultimate Newcomb's Problem · 2013-09-10T18:24:06.229Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Has anyone actually tried to answer the Ultimate Trolley Problem? I'm thinking right.

Comment by locke on New censorship: against hypothetical violence against identifiable people · 2012-12-23T21:09:53.533Z · score: 10 (10 votes) · LW · GW

Would this censor posts about robbing banks and then donating the proceeds to charity?

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 18, chapter 87 · 2012-12-22T23:55:00.064Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Ah damn it.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 18, chapter 87 · 2012-12-22T21:16:24.620Z · score: 6 (6 votes) · LW · GW

Alright, you win there.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 18, chapter 87 · 2012-12-22T20:09:41.657Z · score: -2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Are you referring to the sexual stuff? I don't think that shows a difference in his personality so much as a lack of censorship. I could easily conceive of canon Draco making such comments, but them never being in the books due to censorship.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 18, chapter 87 · 2012-12-22T18:23:36.023Z · score: 4 (8 votes) · LW · GW

All the adults certainly were, but what about the students? Draco was the same before Harry started corrupting him, Ron's still an idiot, Neville is still a Hufflepuff, etc. Maybe Fred and George are a bit more awesome, and Zabini is an entirely different person, but aside from that Harry's peers seem to have been kept to the same level. If Hermione were a sensible person, she'd probably outclass Harry just as much as she does in canon, and then the story would be Hermione Granger and How She Learned the Methods of Rationality and Became Omnipotent.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 18, chapter 87 · 2012-12-22T18:07:47.596Z · score: 3 (5 votes) · LW · GW

I think a lot of this should be blamed on Rowling, not Eliezer. Hermione is pretty much the same as she is in canon, and I don't think we can fault him for not upgrading her.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 18, chapter 87 · 2012-12-22T17:09:38.599Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Wow, that is... that is the gaudiest checkered top hat I've ever seen.

Does anyone else think this might be a hint? It's not the same as H&C's "broad-brimmed black hat", but I find it interesting that it's mentioned at all. If we rule out all the suspects who have already been considered in 87, who are probably all red herrings, Flamel stands out as one of the few wizards clever enough to play such a game, along with Sirius Black.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 17, chapter 86 · 2012-12-18T04:07:17.318Z · score: 5 (5 votes) · LW · GW

Some of us are going to need a link explaining this system.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 17, chapter 86 · 2012-12-18T04:00:51.375Z · score: 15 (15 votes) · LW · GW

They can't interact magically, so no.

Comment by locke on Luke is doing an AMA on Reddit · 2012-08-15T21:31:15.911Z · score: 1 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Why is it just Luke doing the AMA? Eliezer already has an account for HPMOR, after all.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-08-10T20:02:49.465Z · score: 6 (6 votes) · LW · GW

I think it's pretty clear he got that information, along with many of his other dark secrets, from the Basalisk.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-08-06T17:46:17.894Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · LW · GW

How about Animagus-ing into an immortal jellyfish? Certainly not an ideal life, but if it lets you keep old age at bay long enough the muggles will discover human immortality.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-07-18T06:19:36.385Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Yeah, I'd really like to know Eliezer's reasoning here. What are the possible advantages of this change?

I suppose it is technically more accurate, since not all adult wizards are more dangerous than Dementors or Trolls. Dark Wizards, on the other hand, specifically train to be so.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-06-02T05:14:58.184Z · score: 2 (6 votes) · LW · GW

I'm very much in favor of removing the Ghostbusters song from canon, and putting it in the Omakes.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-05-18T22:42:31.618Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Bella isn't under the influence of a love potion, though.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-05-15T23:01:34.945Z · score: 5 (5 votes) · LW · GW

I think it was fairly obvious that he was manipulating Lily into not choosing to sacrifice herself for Harry. She was initially going to sacrifice herself "for him" and with a few choice words Quirrell got her to attack him.

There are many ways Eliezer could have had Harry not be eligible for magic protection, E.g. just have Lily try to kill Voldemort straight away. Instead he made it look exactly as it would if Quirell wasn't an idiot who didn't know anything about love magic and was trying to prevent a love-shield.

It's possible he was just screwing with her, but It seems too coincidental that for him to screw with her in exactly that way.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-05-15T01:24:28.122Z · score: 1 (3 votes) · LW · GW

I think Harry's Memories of Godric's Hollow are supposed to tell us that Quirrell knew better then to allow the sacrifice to take place, not that it just doesn't exist. I think we'd probably know if Eliezer had completely removed it, just as he explained his nerfing of Unbreakable vows.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-05-14T22:36:18.493Z · score: 2 (4 votes) · LW · GW

Even though Harry doesn't have magical-love-protection, I think we should take note of the fact that it's probably still in play and fairly broken.

If Quirrell could get Bellatrix to take a deadly spell from for him, he'd have Love's permanent protection against Dumbledore(if that were the caster). And, with the right amount of cleverness, he could probably arrange for her death to protect all death-eaters in the same way Harry provided protection to all of Hogwarts.

Frankly I wouldn't put it past Dumbledore to arrange for something similiar, for the greater good.

Comment by locke on A few questions on International Rationality · 2012-05-01T03:41:05.365Z · score: 4 (4 votes) · LW · GW

I believe I do.

Comment by locke on A few questions on International Rationality · 2012-04-30T22:51:59.541Z · score: 5 (7 votes) · LW · GW

What reason do you have to believe we're more inclined to weirdness?

Comment by locke on A few questions on International Rationality · 2012-04-30T22:50:39.230Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I realize that even a small percentage of English-speakers is still a huge number of people, but I don't think it's more than half of all the potential rationalists in the world.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-04-24T14:17:45.717Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

I think the subredddit is already doing so.

Comment by locke on Stupid Questions Open Thread Round 2 · 2012-04-22T05:48:07.381Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Isn't Less Wrong supposed to be partially about counteracting those? The topic must have come up at some point in the sequences.

Comment by locke on Stupid Questions Open Thread Round 2 · 2012-04-22T04:10:18.232Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

What about vitamins/medication? Isn't Ray Kurzweil on like fifty different pills? Why isn't everyone?

Comment by locke on Stupid Questions Open Thread Round 2 · 2012-04-22T02:21:02.078Z · score: 10 (12 votes) · LW · GW

What practical things should everyone be doing to extend their lifetimes?

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-04-21T15:11:21.537Z · score: 9 (11 votes) · LW · GW

I don't think anyone failed to see the signs that Quirrel is Voldemort in HPMOR. There are just those of us who believed it to be a Red Herring, because "that's how stories are supposed to work." If a potential solution to a mystery seems very obviously true in the first quarter of the story, then in most stories it's probably not the true solution. . Of course, at this point there's just no denying it.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-04-19T05:10:38.292Z · score: 5 (5 votes) · LW · GW

I think it has to be cold-blooded murder, not a utilitarian sacrifice.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-04-18T18:52:41.862Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

So, Eliezer isn't human? Or am I missing something?

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-04-18T16:02:47.718Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I wasn't referring to the actual vote, but rather to the reaction to Harry's speech.

Some of the members of the Wizengamot were looking abashed at the Boy-Who-Lived's admonition, and a few others were nodding violently to the old wizard's words. But they were too few. Harry could see it. They were too few.

And that's just those who agree that Children shouldn't be exposed to dementors, and it seems to be like it's <20%. It's probably only around .1% of the population who don't want anyone of any age given to the Dead Things.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-04-18T05:37:02.160Z · score: 0 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Try not to take this as me being a big snobby snob, but did you actually read them?

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-04-18T04:47:29.956Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I don't think that would actually make sand, it must be the game-discs.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-04-18T03:20:50.998Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Never mind, the "far too few" comment Harry makes during the trial means you're likely correct.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-04-18T03:13:05.584Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

More like 60%, I think.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-04-18T03:09:54.774Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

This chapter reminded me very much of Dusk Specks vs Torture, and if I wasn't before I'm now very confident that Harry is soon going to get very utilitarian on us.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 · 2012-04-18T02:53:12.054Z · score: 9 (11 votes) · LW · GW

Eliezer seems to be taking a page from Alicorn's book. In Luminosity Alice is plagued by differing visions as Bella constantly changes her mind about her future, and then the actual future snaps into place when a final choice is made.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 15, chapter 84 · 2012-04-18T02:44:47.914Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Nice catch.

I'm now wondering exactly how the prophecy system works. Did Harry's resolution alter time and directly cause these seers to see what they saw?

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 15, chapter 84 · 2012-04-18T02:37:00.127Z · score: 1 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Despite the many good reasons to believe Quirrell is H&C, My Red Herring Alarm (©) wouldn't stop going off while Harry was going over the list of suspects. My gut is usually fairly good at seeing plot-twists coming, and it's very certain there's someone Harry is forgetting about. Anyone else getting a similiar vibe?

Comment by locke on Let's create a market for cryonics · 2012-04-10T21:14:23.133Z · score: 9 (11 votes) · LW · GW

The thing is, with Cryonics you aren't just fighting normal ignorance that can be destroyed with good publicity, you're fighting Religion. If you start telling people that (Zues Forbid) death is bad and worth a significant financial risk to avoid, the Christian Right are going to get upset. There would be boycotts organized against companies supporting Cryonics, who would be portrayed as avaricious atheists trying to fight the natural order.

The world's sanity level isn't high enough for this sort of thing, not yet.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 13, chapter 81 · 2012-04-09T04:39:13.751Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Tried to stick with it, got bored shortly after they met a Fairy Queen or something.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 14, chapter 82 · 2012-04-06T04:12:51.251Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · LW · GW

This is in fact the reason I know Draco will still have some role in the story. But we really should get some main character deaths if the story is ending.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 11 · 2012-04-05T02:35:06.918Z · score: -1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I don't believe the soul is split every single time one kills. Dumbledore's telling Harry that Voldie's soul accidentally split during that night suggests that it was an unusual event, not something that happened several times per week. I believe Rowling also specifies that it was just one extra piece of Voldemort's soul that had to find something to latch onto, not hundreds.

So if the accidental split was due to the murder of one of the Potters, I think it was probably the innocent child, the killing of which woudl probably have more powerful soul-ripping powers.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 13, chapter 81 · 2012-04-03T21:03:38.810Z · score: -1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I was under the impression Hogwarts was founded over a millennium ago. With a wizard's lifespan being around 200 at most, the founders would need to have raised Hogwarts as infants for the hat to only have existed for 800 years.

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 13, chapter 81 · 2012-04-03T19:14:39.530Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

I wonder, what was its last prank?

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 13, chapter 81 · 2012-04-03T03:40:30.643Z · score: 4 (4 votes) · LW · GW

But Harry is a Slytherin. At his very core is his ambition to become immortal and reorganize the universe to his satisfaction. He wants knowledge, and he wants it for its own sake, but it's not his deepest wish. If he looked into the Mirror of Erised he'd see himself as the benevolent and omnipotent lord of the universe, not himself surrounded by books.

Comment by locke on April Fools - Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality Joke Chapter · 2012-04-03T01:44:28.169Z · score: 0 (2 votes) · LW · GW

So, this isn't going to be the actual new thread, right?

Comment by locke on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 13, chapter 81 · 2012-03-28T04:17:07.624Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Good prediction.