Comment by Lysseas on Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way) · 2012-04-13T20:55:44.243Z · LW · GW

I tend to think out Monty Hall like this: The probability you have chosen the door hiding the car is 1/3. Once one of the other two doors is shown to hide a goat, the probablity of the third door hiding the car must be 2/3. Therefore you double your chances to win the car by switching.