Comment by mirskat on The Mysterious Trump Buyers on Polymarket · 2024-10-19T20:53:37.190Z · LW · GW

Interesting article. Two questions about prediction markets

• What do you think about betting on Kamala winning the popular vote? It seems like a better bet for expected values. I am unsure if Republicans' distrust of election results increases the betting risk (what if elections are contested?).
• Do you think prediction markets are better than they used to be around 2020?