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Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, February 2015, chapter 112 · 2015-02-26T10:11:26.599Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Maybe Voldie wouldn't mind teaching Harry a lesson in killing, the sacrifice of his incompetent followers notwithstanding. What with blood spilling out in liters and all. Fraction of a monomolecular line?

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, February 2015, chapter 111 · 2015-02-25T19:59:55.422Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

He ordered it from Fred and George earlier when he handed them a huge list of stuff for contingencies.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, February 2015, chapter 111 · 2015-02-25T19:45:20.552Z · score: 8 (8 votes) · LW · GW

So we have the Alicorn princess resurrection and the power he knows not being Friendship, seeing as he could've discovered the flaw in his Horcrux 2.0 system only fitting one person by sharing it before...

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, July 2014, chapter 102 · 2014-07-29T23:24:21.984Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Well. Technically the statement only describes the act of speaking itself. There is no explicit information conveyed about Quirrell actually wishing or intending Harry to follow his injunction.

Comment by mjr on European Community Weekend in Berlin · 2014-01-24T18:51:00.807Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

's fine, I got an acknowledgement. See you :)

Comment by mjr on European Community Weekend in Berlin · 2014-01-24T11:56:48.089Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Email sent, hopefully also received... (Apparently my last mail to John was put in spam.)

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 28, chapter 99-101 · 2014-01-17T12:32:50.421Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

I've pretty much assumed that cat to be out of the bag since the escape from Azkaban. Though he didn't see how Harry penetrated the wall, he could probably reason it out with decent probability. But sure, beside what Sheaman said about PT being already counterindicated, this does clinch it.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 28, chapter 99-101 · 2014-01-17T08:27:01.184Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

I got the impression it'd be a more acute and visible thing within the final arc. (Edit: As with Three worlds collide.)

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 27, chapter 98 · 2013-09-02T06:23:04.914Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

But no doubt as a strong puppet ;)

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 26, chapter 97 · 2013-08-16T08:13:19.968Z · score: 4 (6 votes) · LW · GW

In the Bellatrix theory I'd interpret that as meaning that Lucius seriously doubts that Harry would survive something that manages to off Bellatrix. But I acknowledge that the phrase sounds like it means something more than that.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 26, chapter 97 · 2013-08-15T20:35:31.656Z · score: 4 (4 votes) · LW · GW

I'm only coming up with Hermione having perhaps been replaced by a certain escapee.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 25, chapter 96 · 2013-08-10T06:13:08.698Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Well. Quirrell has already covered for Harry's penetration of the Azkaban wall. He wasn't explicitly informed about how it was originally done but he's somewhat good at filling in the gaps. (Obviously there's room for more confirmatory evidence though, so not a complete lack of uh-oh either.)

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 23, chapter 94 · 2013-07-09T16:59:27.148Z · score: 0 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Agreed that it seems overly risky, but conservation of narrative detail says it's the ring regardless. And I can buy Harry going for a clever red herring ploy even so. (Also, coming out of his goodbyes, he presumably burned out most if not all of his time turner turns for the day, but I forget if he was about to get new ones in time to hack it if necessary.)

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 23, chapter 94 · 2013-07-09T09:09:48.856Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

He's saying that there should be less danger of snapping stuff off due to sudden topological changes when there's holes going through both the source and target form (and damn, got there before me).

As for control, it seems to me like the orientation is even intuitively clear in this instance once you actually think about the topological similarities. What with mental images being rather important with magic, it's likely to be doable. (And for getting rid of the mental image later, there's Obliviate!)

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 19, chapter 88-89 · 2013-07-01T19:50:18.893Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · LW · GW

What with the timey-wimey shenanigans in the writing and her brain not having spent too much time "dead" yet, I'm suspecting Hermione will yet live.

What with the show and Dumbledore's diagnosis, I'm suspecting Magic will continue to think her dead and thus her career as a witch being over (pending Harry hacking the Source of Magic).

Plus repercussions of the "Do not mess with time" kind.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 18, chapter 87 · 2013-03-11T21:33:00.461Z · score: 4 (4 votes) · LW · GW

"I've had limited success in permanent transfiguration; no forms but I can power some nuclear reactions with my magic, the effects being ... as lasting as one might expect of the end product. Where would one sell weapons-grade plutonium in quantity?"

Comment by mjr on Caelum est Conterrens: I frankly don't see how this is a horror story · 2013-03-06T17:13:24.905Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

The bits with surveillance, manipulation and deceit were somewhat spooky, and I suppose someone might find them scary in the arsenal of a superintelligence. Not me, though, in this instance - the setting and the knowledge/presumption that the original Optimalverse is as bad as it gets counter the potential for scariness.

The uploading back-and-forth gets a little boring for an old timer as well. But worth a read anyway.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 17, chapter 86 · 2012-12-21T23:44:34.239Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

All of those Eye functions can be summed up as "seeing bloody everything" (presumably within some range of the user), which at least seems more narrowly focused than your description, so perhaps its creator thought so too, which seems to count for something here, what with the broom physics and all.

That's a plausible thought on the Cloak, though.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 17, chapter 86 · 2012-12-20T16:31:06.613Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Who knows of being reduced to constituent atoms by mundane means counts? (Probably it does, but it isn't certain.)

It still doesn't make it certain to work for such a case in particular, but Snape's "From the rumors I have heard, Headmaster, Muggle weapons are only slightly worse than the more... recondite aspects of wizardry" seems to be evidence towards counting.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 15, chapter 84 · 2012-04-12T16:38:02.777Z · score: 7 (9 votes) · LW · GW

Canonically the situation was quite reversed, the Snitch (or rather it's predecessor, the Snidget) having been introduced to the already existing Quidditch game by a noble's quirk. I doubt this is different for MoR.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 14, chapter 82 · 2012-04-05T20:20:00.401Z · score: 4 (6 votes) · LW · GW

I'd doubt they can actually be poisonous.

But can Harry suborn a snake Patronus using Parseltongue and perchance gain leaked information from the other side of the link (or even fake a message from Draco to someone else)?

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 14, chapter 82 · 2012-04-05T20:08:33.272Z · score: 0 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Point. SIlly me. Well, that makes future communications between them even more of a no-brainer.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 14, chapter 82 · 2012-04-05T18:14:02.996Z · score: 5 (7 votes) · LW · GW

So it (not very surprisingly) came to pass that Draco was not sent back to Hogwarts, at least not yet.

Might be some pressure off of Harry to actively harass Dumbledore what with the enemy pledge. Especially as Draco might be unable to continue with his part of the deal. Though Harry is probably curious at this point himself what the real deal is.

I'd still call it possible that someone else did the deed and Heh just took credit for the good of all, but the probability of him being directly responsible got boosted as he was depicted to consider it important that he doom his brother in person also. Then again, though I'd rate it unlikely, perhaps mommy dearest can be found in a private dungeon or a memory charmed witness protection program.

Anyway, Draco. He's probably restricted from communicating with Harry. As if that'd do any good, it having been established that they can communicate through Patroni. It would, of course, require Harry to reveal his Patronus 2.0 to Draco, though. Draco will certainly be the one to initiate contact, mentioning that he's in a secure location. It seems from TSPE part 6 that the Patronus just appears into existence if the caster is far away from the target, so if Draco actually is in a secure location, others wouldn't probably see it. Harry might just risk it.

So I'll bet there will be a visit from a silver serpent soon, though perhaps only after things have settled down for a couple of chapters.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 13, chapter 81 · 2012-03-29T12:44:32.750Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

There is no reason to think he doesn't need his wand for actual Dementor crushing. The Dementor scaring wasn't him casting anything. It was due to Dementor's own ability to commune with Harry turned against it (plus, hypothetically, some expectation manipulation - the "BOO" there was probably more than just for show, but also to prime Harry's mind into expecting the thing to be spooked).

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 13, chapter 81 · 2012-03-29T08:14:00.750Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · LW · GW

I notice that I am confused.

I've been doubting Quirrel being Mr. Hat on a story-obviousness-basis, being partial to twists. But rationally, it makes no sense to very much doubt the obvious solution with no comparably well-supported alternatives (despite having reached for ones). I wouldn't wonder if that was even the moral there.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 13, chapter 81 · 2012-03-28T20:41:42.076Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

True as such. But storywise it would seem weird to leave this hanging. That's one reason why I'm already irrationally overinvested, I notice, in my theory that it'll get taken care of pretty much on the side by finding out the true culprit and thus cancelling the debt through the Wizengamot or, failing that, possibly through Draco.

There are other options, of course. There have been good points about Dumbledore now having an interest to Make Money Fast for Harry, and about possible other people who might be willing to bankroll a business venture for the newly brightened legend. And, again storywise, I can see handling the "leave it hanging" option in a decent manner as well, if there's some closure about the relations of houses Potter and Malfoy (presumably with Lucius dead or imprisoned and stripped of his status).

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 13, chapter 81 · 2012-03-28T14:03:19.726Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

At this point Harry is feeling pretty (over)confident in his ability to keep Lucius in check, so it's not a big deal to him. Witness his riddle.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 13, chapter 81 · 2012-03-28T14:01:38.363Z · score: 5 (5 votes) · LW · GW

I rate it likely that she'll read it. Unlikely she'll babble. But she's no Occlumens. (She should strive to be real quick, though.)

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 13, chapter 81 · 2012-03-28T11:09:38.992Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Incidentally, if one believes a certain piece of what seems like well-founded speculation about the Dread Totoro, the Merlin-Totoro legend mirrors Harry's escapades quite nicely.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 13, chapter 81 · 2012-03-28T08:12:12.948Z · score: 5 (5 votes) · LW · GW

Good bit, though a bit of a hodgepodge. I presume the real culprit will be found, but that doesn't necessarily counter the debt - the Wizengamot would have to agree, and the truth could be found out in a way that leaves little actual proof, even aside issues of Wizengamot's fairness. I'll be disappointed if paying the debt turns out to be too arduous though, but of course depending on the methods chosen there may be side effects. (One way would be for Draco to accept a counterdebt, having been convinced of the truth of the matter and seeing that being on good terms with Harry is still of value. Assuming Draco will return, which is sadly not a given.)

Merely spooking the Dementor was a good twist on the common (mine included) anticipation of it ending up destroyed. The telling of the incident was cleverly arranged not to give out too much new information on how they actually work. Harry's theory of them operating on the expectations of others works as an explanation; as the animal Patronuses imperfectly shield the Wizengamot from the Dementor, thus they shield the Dementor from their expectations, leaving Harry's dominant. (Also, one might argue that the Dementor shirking from Harry was wholly unexpected to almost everyone present, thus they didn't really have sufficiently direct active expectations on that particular thing either way. But this is an unnecessary side hypothesis.) The Dementor may as well still have also some internal intelligence and self preservation instincts though, as has been hypothesised especially on the grounds of them all refusing co-operation with the Azkaban guards earlier.

In any case, now the expectations of many will actually support Dementors fleeing from Harry, which might come in handy if they at least partially work off of those ;)

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 11 · 2012-03-24T21:04:09.279Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

It's a possibility. They might've beefed up security in unknown ways since the last breakout though. Risky business.

More importantly, I don't think Harry's Dark Side is big on patience. Or regular Harry, when it comes to allowing Hermione to be subjected to Dementors...

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 11 · 2012-03-24T09:55:15.271Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Indeed. The Dementor is storywise too conveniently present not to destroy as a way to grab the Wizengamot's attention - Harry having been established as being in the possession of Chekhov's Gun. Certainly not sufficient in itself, as you said. Give it 0.8 as a part of the solution.

(As for potion-making, I doubt the information would be very inflammatory to this audience, but good point from OP about him being able to wonk their economy a bit.)

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 11 · 2012-03-23T10:48:53.735Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Harry didn't pay much attention to the testimony after the beginning, thus the timeline doesn't have to change if he goes back to make sure it contains some new False Memoried tidbits, if he can get someone to do the charm. But I don't think there's been much indication that he can override his Time Turner limitations by himself and there may be little time left to try and get someone to do it for him before Hermione is hauled off.

Edit: Silly me, he could just decide what to make her say later and do a quick check from McGonagall if they were included (thus checking if he will manage to go back to do the deed) and go from there. But it'd be difficult to insert subtle enough bits to make a difference only when lampshaded by Harry afterward (since many others presumably listened to the whole testimony already without noticing). Not impossible though. [Re-edited for semi-clarity...]

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 11 · 2012-03-23T07:34:15.228Z · score: 5 (5 votes) · LW · GW

I think he just didn't want to believe that.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 11 · 2012-03-23T07:27:15.739Z · score: 6 (6 votes) · LW · GW

Indeed, I was thinking destroy the Dementor as a show of force and threaten with challenging Draco to a duel to the death (I'm presuming he can do that as a Noble House). For, I don't know, willingly participating in a travesty of justice against a friend of Harry's or whatever. Close enough to a trial by combat, which also is presumably possible in this "justice" system, so yeah, maybe that after the show of force.

I'm still slightly rooting for Draco to intervene, though. Slightly.

Edit: Oh yeah, that torture thing. Even if Draco has been wiped of it and it's thus unprovable (aside from being not sufficient debt to cancel Hermione's supposed debt), the claim would probably be sufficient grounds for such duel.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 11 · 2012-03-22T11:38:24.171Z · score: 19 (19 votes) · LW · GW

Okay, I don't really think this is how it'll go down - slightly too Dark Lordish. But the image was amusing, so here goes:

"It just happens that if Hermione doesn't walk, everyone but me will lose the ability to cast Patronus. Don't buy it? Oh, well, I'll just explain it to Hermione and she'll be able to testify under Veritaserum that I can do it."

Or, you know, have Hermione figure it out herself from Harry's note and do the blackmail herself.

Anyway, the blackmail potential for this is rather great, and I'd not be surprised to see it used in a more dire situation with more than Hermione on the line.

Comment by mjr on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 11 · 2012-03-18T08:57:41.469Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Indeed. Though I went a bit further (more likely than not too far ;) in the reviews:

"Speculation time: Lucius did it. But plot thickens: Draco will intervene on Hermione's behalf, mostly on the basis of their remembered scenario being very implausible, as explained in the chapter. The Harry-Draco bond will strengthen. Just as Lucius intended, not being quite as inflexible as pictured in the discussion, and seeing that Draco will do quite well for himself as Harry's second.

As a side benefit, he'll get the record to show that (according to the false memory) Draco won a straight duel against Hermione. (Almost nobody will think to doubt that part of the memory - Draco might, but will keep it to himself.)"

Mr. Hat presumably can't be Lucius, though (that "only teachers can cast this sort of stuff here without being noticed" thing), so ve'd have to be just under his control, but that should be simple enough.

Comment by mjr on The curse of identity · 2011-11-17T10:54:16.657Z · score: 6 (6 votes) · LW · GW

Good show.

To nitpick just a bit, one can genuinely care about a cause, just care about being a lazy piece of shit even more. (I certainly value being lazy a lot, to some of me's annoyance.) Not that that invalidates people generally caring about the appearances more.

Comment by mjr on Luminosity (Twilight Fanfic) Discussion Thread 3 · 2011-06-11T22:13:28.685Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Ha, dunno if my earlier speculation had a part in it, but nice that you ran with the resurrection thing.

Wonder if Irina will mate-bond again for the first time...

Comment by mjr on Luminosity (Twilight Fanfic) Discussion Thread 3 · 2011-02-22T11:17:59.967Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

More generally, seems to me one could start resurrecting people, or at least vampires, killed by Aro (or previously read by him, though then there'd be some local death).

Of course, the downside is that it requires human sacrifice, though it occurs to me that one should at least try to do so with brain dead or severely damaged subjects (given that they're already quite happy with eating animals, humans of comparable or lesser capacity should not pose major ethical barriers when a full person's life is on the line).

'course, might not work on a less than fully functional human. Perhaps one could get a trickle of volunteers from bored with life humans who aren't attracted to turning. Consider it full organ donation. [Edit: Duh, obviously this should be the euthanasia method of choice for terminal people who don't wish to become vampires but do wish for their suffering to end.]

Wouldn't be surprised though if Elspeth just didn't want to get involved with that kind of thing, even indirectly through Addy. But hey, it's a thought ;)

Comment by mjr on Luminosity (Twilight Fanfic) Discussion Thread 3 · 2011-02-21T23:29:50.864Z · score: 4 (4 votes) · LW · GW

Agreed, a fine twist indeed. I wager, in fact, that the poor woman has become Didyme for all intents and purposes, and that the bond will therefore retake. Quite plausible to handwave with Aro's high-fidelity brain dumps.

I, for one, would welcome such a positive plot twist (cough for not-long-ago our sworn enemy) for a change.

Comment by mjr on Luminosity (Twilight Fanfic) Discussion Thread 3 · 2011-02-12T15:57:07.936Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

It would seem that Pera remembers enough of Bella to be quite irrationally afraid of her. :)

Indeed. That may also make her more receptive to suggestions that perhaps she should be helping stop vampires from eating humans in general.

Comment by mjr on Starting a LW meet-up is easy. · 2011-02-05T08:35:53.680Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Theoretically yes, though I'm notoriously bad at actually bothering to appear at social events.

Comment by mjr on Luminosity (Twilight Fanfic) Discussion Thread 3 · 2011-01-17T09:29:35.805Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

I think what tenshiko was asking (and what I'd anyway like to know ;) is if the drugs in the blood would affect (half-)vamps any. My guess would be that half-vamps yes, though probably milder and burned away more quickly?

Comment by mjr on Luminosity (Twilight Fanfic) Discussion Thread 3 · 2011-01-17T09:23:43.111Z · score: 5 (5 votes) · LW · GW

In the case of Demetri arriving in the recent chapter, I'd probably approve of killing him.

Me, too. But kudos to Alicorn for making him, and the killing itself, tragic. Hell, it was effectively in part a mercy killing at that point.

Comment by mjr on Luminosity (Twilight Fanfic) Discussion Thread 3 · 2011-01-11T08:42:03.452Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Assuming this, might be he's somewhat responsible for the arrival of our two distinguished surprise guests.

Comment by mjr on Luminosity (Twilight fanfic) Part 2 Discussion Thread · 2010-12-14T13:53:13.667Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

My guess would be that Chelsea doesn't want to be quite so much a target at the top, preferring the role of a puppet master... (Well, at least in Luminosity, in canon it's probably just not well thought out ;] )

Comment by mjr on Luminosity (Twilight fanfic) Part 2 Discussion Thread · 2010-12-14T09:37:33.528Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

And here I was thinking that perchance Addy also wants immunity from Chelsea to be able to do some major restructuring, but seems unlikelier now - or at least, not any particularly good kind thereof ;] Brady, spooky.

Seems like it could help if Elspeth's ventures were to become rather ... uninteresting. Would be nice to know what's going on elsewhere, but having a static first person perspective does have some narrative limits. Anyway, hope the outside will touch on the inside at some point again.

Comment by mjr on Luminosity (Twilight fanfic) Part 2 Discussion Thread · 2010-12-03T10:56:10.623Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Does indeed seem like Elspeth put in her love for her mother in deep storage to be retrieved later, with the full force of the truthfulness that she's so good at conveying.

That "Forces of the Universe" spiel was a good sell, though; too bad that the alternative is, as you say, quite the monster.

And then there's Allirea, whose fate was left unclear as a surprise to no-one. Maybe she'll be there to meet the Cullens and Bella (who might have a bit of an advantage with being able to pay attention to her when others aren't, except whatever Eleazar manages with his "there's someone there" trick). They may be able to get some resistance going on after all.

Or, Allirea gets dragged back again, lather, rinse, repeat.

Moer.

Comment by mjr on Luminosity (Twilight fanfic) Part 2 Discussion Thread · 2010-11-17T11:18:47.596Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Glad to see Luminosity continuing on (the quite insanely productive) schedule.

Speaking of insane, Pera is quite a munchkin, but yeah, wouldn't have much of a resistance anymore without something like her what with the shitstorm that was the end of episode one, ergo not much of a story.

Sounds like they should try hiding stuff overlapped with other stuff. I mean, sure, it could have explosive consequences, but hey, nothing too funny happens when it comes to interaction with the displaced air, so it's probably not too dangerous. And if it's dangerous only to the subject, it'd be insanely good for picking out Volturi.

...so I doubt that, would suspect some sort of compelentary displacement going on automatically as a safety feature - it'd be too easy otherwise. Though, could one embed a vamp into a hidden steel block? If the whole block would shift back, what would happen with a hidden pile of earth? One would suspect that for storytelling reasons it'd just fail if there was lots of solids overlapping.

Which still leaves one with the possibility to create steel enclosures where a vamp fits in, place them strategically and/or lure the subject in and tap them on the back. Should be able to keep one restrained long enough for a good flamethrower job, yes?

'course, the opposition, if in group, has the option for immediate indirect attacks covering the area, but seems to me like a relatively solid, if limited, offensive regardless.