Comment by Morten Hustveit (morten-hustveit) on When people ask for your P(doom), do you give them your inside view or your betting odds? · 2022-03-27T01:49:30.506Z · LW · GW

When betting, you should discount the scenarios where you're unable to enjoy the reward to zero. In less accurate terms, any doom scenario that involves you personally dying should be treated as impossible, because the expected utility of winning is zero.