Posts

State Projection Bias 2021-10-05T06:28:51.848Z

Comments

Comment by nomiddlename (ipike) on Omicron Post #4 · 2021-12-07T13:34:18.936Z · LW · GW

I think the ‘Polymarket address’ is really your ethereum address. People can use that to send tips over the matic network (the network polymarket is on which uses ethereum addresses) for probably less than a cent in fees.

Comment by nomiddlename (ipike) on An Unexpected Victory: Container Stacking at the Port of Long Beach · 2021-10-31T06:13:22.560Z · LW · GW

Perhaps a targeted campaign for reform in the area of highest impact. Medicine comes to mind but that also seems like the scariest area to mess with.

I also forgot to mention that these reforms would dramatically lower the cost of education as people could choose to skip formal rigid degrees entirely.

Comment by nomiddlename (ipike) on An Unexpected Victory: Container Stacking at the Port of Long Beach · 2021-10-29T06:05:38.738Z · LW · GW

Next target - occupational licensing

Libertarian version - remove almost all licensing. People use third party rating agencies to decide who to trust if they so desire.

Market version - remove almost all licensing requirements but require liability insurance. Insurance markets will effectively prevent unqualified candidates from practicing by pricing them out with expensive policies.

Better version of what we have now - Remove all degree requirements and test directly for competence. The test should be sufficiently thorough that passing it means you’re qualified. Every profession will have bootcamps spring up that teach you exactly what you need to know to be competent as quickly as possible.

Any of these approaches should dramatically lower the cost of most professional services.

Comment by nomiddlename (ipike) on I Don’t Know How To Count That Low · 2021-10-24T04:23:04.633Z · LW · GW

Great post

Comment by nomiddlename (ipike) on To every people according to their language · 2021-10-05T05:48:21.771Z · LW · GW

Great post! I’ve had similar conversations as well. Sounds like the kind of messiah Maimonides might have bought into given his rationalist philosophy. Just speculation as I’m unfamiliar with his actual writings on the messiah.

Comment by nomiddlename (ipike) on For those who advocate Anki · 2021-01-31T17:33:49.427Z · LW · GW

This doesn't directly answer your question, but I think it could be extremely helpful nonetheless. You might find it helpful to read up on mnemonics. Mnemonics take advantage of the way our brains naturally remember information best and are pretty east to use. If you want a fun read will whet your appetite to learn memory techniques check out "Moonwalking with Einstein."

Comment by ipike on [deleted post] 2020-12-10T23:25:40.689Z

Thanks. I just looked into this and am reading about what "markdown" is.

Comment by ipike on [deleted post] 2020-12-10T01:58:51.173Z

Good point about the classical solution having an advantage. Also, how do you spoiler tag?

Comment by ipike on [deleted post] 2020-12-06T02:38:46.494Z
Well done! I had an answer which differs more than the classical answer and wanted to modify the riddle to force my answer but it looks like I I failed at that.

My answer still uses the double negative trick to avoid the need to know what "ja" and "da" mean and goes as follows.
1-Ask god A: "If I asked "is the sky is blue?" to gods b and c is b more likely to tell the truth than c?" Both True and False will say that their non random counterpart is more likely to lie so a negative response means either god A or C is Random and rules out god B. A positive response rules out god C.

2-Ask the god who has been ruled out as being random the same question about the other two gods to figure out which is Random. 

3-Ask one of the non Random gods a question like "is the sky blue?"

I really liked this answer now I just got to figure out how to change the riddle to force it
Comment by ipike on [deleted post] 2020-12-03T23:53:53.580Z

1-You can ask "Is neither other god True."

2-Good point I should have been more clear - You can only ask questions that are definitively not about the god you are talking to. I'll try to edit the post accordingly.

Comment by nomiddlename (ipike) on Pascal's Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities · 2020-12-02T01:21:03.275Z · LW · GW
Comment by nomiddlename (ipike) on Pascal's Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities · 2020-12-02T01:20:17.313Z · LW · GW

First of all- I love this post!

Second of all - How is this different than Pascal's wager - meaning why doesn't Pascal's mugger get cancelled out by a possible counter mugger who will simulate and kill the same number of people if you give in to the muggers demand.