Posts

What are good alternatives to Predictionbook for personal prediction tracking? Edited: I originally thought it was down but it was just 500 until I though of clearing cookies. 2023-04-07T19:18:35.536Z
A bicycle for your memory 2022-03-30T21:41:07.046Z

Comments

Comment by sortega on What are good alternatives to Predictionbook for personal prediction tracking? Edited: I originally thought it was down but it was just 500 until I though of clearing cookies. · 2023-04-16T13:29:53.577Z · LW · GW

My main use case for prediction book are private personal predictions and, secondarily, predictions for a small group, also private. I think using markets for the group predictions is also a good fit but AFAIK there are no private groups in manifold yet.

Comment by sortega on What are good alternatives to Predictionbook for personal prediction tracking? Edited: I originally thought it was down but it was just 500 until I though of clearing cookies. · 2023-04-07T22:49:48.519Z · LW · GW

I was getting a 500 error every time I tried to load it. I've deleted my cookies and I can use it again. Thanks for the nudge!

However, even if PB is working, I would like to know about alternatives because it feels too clunky and usability is kind of poor.

Comment by sortega on Best of Rationality Quotes 2009/2010 · 2022-06-13T14:08:57.799Z · LW · GW

The original link is broken. Archived link.

Comment by sortega on A bicycle for your memory · 2022-04-11T06:49:53.337Z · LW · GW

Miller work was insightful on discarding bits of information in favor of chunks but it was written in a very informal tone. That stymied further research for a long time but when restarted, researchers realized that you can get very rich set of features but about a small number of chunks. See this summary of the story.

Comment by sortega on A bicycle for your memory · 2022-03-31T07:05:50.403Z · LW · GW

Usually, the central set of ideas or concepts of a field or the main points of insights of a book are a small subset of all the information out there. I think it's realistic to target those to be memorized with the benefit that it's easier to go from those to the rest of details either in your notes or searching.

For that reason I have a specialized note type in Anki just for definitions.

Comment by sortega on March 2022 Welcome & Open Thread · 2022-03-30T22:23:28.085Z · LW · GW

Thanks!

Comment by sortega on March 2022 Welcome & Open Thread · 2022-03-30T17:48:46.150Z · LW · GW

Hello! I've been reading some posts here for some time and I decided to write my first post now.

However, I'm unfamiliar with the posting interface and I mistakenly hit publish prematurely. Then I tried to delete the post an create it again but, because of the moderation needed for the first post I don't know if the post is in a limbo or actually waiting for moderation.

I don't see anything in my profile page and but the direct link to the new post works (privately).

Should I ask for some admin's help?