[Link] Video of a presentation by Hal Arkes, one of the top world experts in debiasing, on dealing with the hindsight bias and overconfidence

post by Gleb_Tsipursky · 2015-12-14T18:16:11.206Z · score: 3 (5 votes) · LW · GW · Legacy · 1 comments

Here's a video of a presentation by Hal Arkes, one of the top world experts in debiasing, Emeritus Professor at Ohio State, and Intentional Insights Advisory Board member, on dealing with hindsight bias and overconfidence. This was at a presentation hosted by Intentional Insights and the Columbus, OH Less Wrong group. It received high marks from local Less Wrongers, so I thought I'd share it here.

 

 

 

 

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comment by OrphanWilde · 2015-12-14T19:08:29.023Z · score: 1 (3 votes) · LW(p) · GW(p)

I gather that rationality is best demonstrated by presenting endless series of studies of biases which use different methods for the control group than the experimental groups via the time-honored strategy of relentless off-topic rambling while clicking through a powerpoint presentation. Brings me back to my college days, in exactly the wrong ways.