Launching Adjacent News

post by Lucas Kohorst (lucas-kohorst) · 2024-10-16T17:58:10.289Z · LW · GW · 0 comments

Contents

  Verticals
    News
    Trade
    Data
  Products
    Chrome Extension
    Data Platform
    RSS Reader
    Trade
    Notebooks
    API
  Team and Roadmap
    Roadmap
  Support and Feedback 
    Membership
    Donations
    Prior Funding
    Feedback
None
No comments

Forward Looking News Driven by Prediction Markets and Forecasting Platforms

Prediction markets and forecasting platforms are an incredible news source, are interesting to trade, and provide tons of unique data:

  1. News: Driving news by changes in market odds and providing context to news you read
  2. Trade: Put on a position directly on an event, not something that is related
  3. Data: How have similar past events played out, how good is an individual/platform at predicting/forecasting a specific category of events

Adjacent News is a new-age media venture that is focused on using prediction markets and forecasting platforms to add context to the news you already read, where you read it. Generate news that is driven by changes in the markets and provide trading and data platforms.

Verticals

News

We have two categories: Published and In Context News.

Published News - articles that we produce and distribute, this is mostly through generation of content based on shifts in odds across various markets but also features original content from various writers and forecasters. Content is distributed via Adjacent News, RSS, X / Twitter, and via a Telegram Channel

We are exploring other methods of distribution like Apple News, Google News, Farcaster, etc. If you have any ideas for other distribution methods email us at lucas@adjacentresearch.xyz

In Context News - We meet you were you consume news and provide contextual information about related markets. This comes in the form of Chrome Extension and an RSS Reader. 

Trade

Many prediction market and forecasting platforms have similar markets, if they are "real money" there are potential arbitrages. Our TradingView interface at trade.adj.news lets you chart any market from multiple platforms over each other and analyze it with standard trading and charting tools. 

Data

It can be hard to find historical data on markets, view related markets intra and cross platform, and see relevant news to the markets you are trading and/or forecasting. 

data.adj.news supports historical, related, trending, and news related to markets across top platforms with more being added soon.

Products

Chrome Extension

Image
Market odds provided in context below tweets in your timeline

Data Platform

RSS Reader

NYT post with related markets 

Trade

Chart markets across platforms together, the easiest way to view market data. 

will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election

Notebooks

An easy way to explore market data via Observable, simply fork the market data and create data visualizations that are easy to share out. Perfect for quick analysis of a market and sharing as a blog post. 

API

Want to build your own integration? We support querying 40k+ markets across various platforms, fetching related news, and related markets for them.

Everything we are building is open-source and can be found at https://github.com/orgs/adjacentresearchxyz/repositories?q=adj.news

if you would like to read news driven by markets, receive extra context to the news you read, and explore prediction market and forecasting platform data you can sign up at here.

Team and Roadmap

Currently the team is just me Lucas Kohorst (X, Website). I have built many open source projects which can be found on my Github and via Adjacent Research. I have written about prediction markets under Ramblings on Event Markets and attended Manifest last year!

Roadmap

A lot of members of the forecasting community are likely familiar with Base Rate Times who is / was focused on a lot of the same concepts we are. “News Aggregation”, “538 for prediction markets”, “Forecasts being underutilized by the media”.

While we are solving for the same problem: Discoverability of prediction markets, using markets as a way to easily produce forward looking news and provide context to current news...

We are approaching it significantly different. Adjacent is focusing on

  1. Building a robust data platform and API across various exchanges and platforms, aggregating all the markets that exist
  2. Adding context via markets to the news that you currently read, wherever you read.
    1. We use vector embeddings to match up any headline / article with any related market and show them to you
  3. Generating our own news based on market movements

Our goal is to be a media company that is producing news content driven by prediction markets and the go to data platform for checking market odds and related news across a variety of exchanges.

Our future roadmap consists of

Support and Feedback 

Membership

The best way to support us is through a membership, which you can subscribe to here. It gives you

Donations

You can directly donate / tip to support our work here

Prior Funding

We have previously received $1k from a Manifund Round and are considering applying to other grants like Emergent Ventures. We would greatly appreciate any suggestions or intros for grants!

Feedback

If you are interested in this project, have questions, feedback, would like to explore a partnership or generally just want to chat you can reach me at via mail at lucas@adjacentresearch.xyz, on X at https://twitter.com/0xperp, or via Telegram at t.me/lucaskohorst.

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