FACTS ARE FACTS?

post by arisen · 2017-08-28T04:13:34.706Z · LW · GW · Legacy · 0 comments

Sure, I agree, facts are facts. But facts themselves are of little use if we don't peer through the causal relation between them, only then they become useful to us, because then, based on those relations between facts, we can analyse, know and predict our next move towards the best possible outcome. As an example, early agriculturists made connections between seasons and celestial movements, being more and more precise, in order to determine the plantation of certain seeds at certain times. It's obvious we all need to do this because it's in our best interest to harmonize with natural or social cycles for our well-being. But here is the trick! When relationships between facts are analysed: what is, de facto, just a simple correlation; to someone it may falsely appear as causation; hence a skew in one's view of reality due to a logical fallacy. A reality bias. See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusory_correlation or
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation_does_not_imply_causation.

0 comments

Comments sorted by top scores.