The Good Life in the face of the apocalypse

My thinking on this has been influenced a lot by something @Raemon [LW · GW] said: Imagine an all loving but ineffectual god. This god loves you no matter what, even if you sit in a burning house while it collapses. But his love will not save you from the consequences of your house burning to the ground.

[we were both raised Christian but neither are now, God being real is not a crux for this to work for me or for other people I've told it to]

This helped me get in a frame where working to avert doom was a choice, with consequences, but not in and of itself a moral act necessary to prove myself a worthy being. God would love me even if I did nothing but play video games. But love wouldn't provide me a house.

I am hearing something related to decoupling my self-worth from choosing to act in the face of x-risk (or any other moral action). Does that sound right?

self-worth isn't the exact right label but I think you've got the basic idea

It reminds me that recently, I think I've shifted from a lot of my motivation to work on x-risk being about being special, and contributing to the arc of the world, to actually just wanting good futures happening. I think this came after a period where for the first time I actually felt free not to work on x-risk, because I wouldn't be bad or worthless even if I didn't.

Yeah I feel like this is the same genre.

Can I ask how you came to that revelation, that you weren't bad if you didn't work on x-risk?

So I think this came after my collapse in the belief in what I was doing at work. The collapse had multiple parts: the collapse that what I was doing was helping the org, that the leadership had some sort of qualitatively different insight into strategy than I did, and the collapse in belief in the object-level research directions [this part is somewhat misnamed, but I think it's a fine pointer for now].

After that, I was like "oh, this thing I've been angling to do for about a decade basically happened and then was not good. I guess I really can't go backwards", and then I guess I rebuilt some meaning structures. I think it helped that I became much freer to have a low P(doom) than feeling obliged to have a high one 

One reason I think it needs to be okay on a moral level to not be actively doing good is that it needs to be okay on a practical level to not have been doing good. We get better results if people are able to say "oh, that wasn't working, I'll stop", and not immediately need to start a new thing that's definitely going to work. There may be nothing to do about the burning house and it's important you be allowed to recognize that fact. 

One thing I think is weird is that I've seen a few people (including me) go from "ambition for social reasons" to "ambition for internal reasons", which might indicate the transition was fake, but I don't think it (always) is. 

[one of my favourite old pieces of rationality lore is Eliezer writing something like ~"I noticed trying to believe that asking for donations at the singularity summit wouldn't be good because it would have made not asking at previous ones a bad idea. but then I explicitly noticed that and was like 'actually that implies low-hanging fundraising fruit' [LW · GW]"]

I definitely it seems worth tracking that the transition might have been fake!

But also the chance that it isn't. I think one reason people don't want to disentangle their motivational structure is they're worried they'll give up something they care about. If "you'll go through this long process and still want the things you actually want, with a better approach and less baggage" is a live option, I think people will be more willing to look into the abyss.

But also being able to get that good result is dependent on having the option to really change your mind, and that's helped a lot by having an imaginary god that loves you no matter what the outcome. Like, Christians have some good tech here. 

Yeah totally. I'm not sure I would specifically recommend to people trying to solve the social motivation thing. I think that I would like people to have full and flourishing lives that would be good for them even if they decide to change their life track. I think that a lot of normie lifepaths have some wisdom about being 'antifragile'-ish in this way to changing beliefs

Like, Christians have some good tech here.

Heh, I hadn't read this part when I wrote the thing about 'normie lifepaths'

I also have a "social motivation is fine" soapbox. I think the biggest danger is people choosing a goal for social reasons and then, because they're in an environment that shames social motivation, fake internalizing it. 

Oh another thing that helped me a lot here: I stopped noticing people were cool and being like "gahhhh I need to be at least as cool as them in the dimension of their coolness" and started being more like "that person seems cool! that's nice. Anyway, what is the next step in the actualisation of kave [or some other frame of my personal growth and development]". Planecrash helped a lot here

I like the point about shaming social motivation! I haven't thought about it quite that way before

Woah, how did planecrash specifically help? Like I was prepping to try and tease out whatever illegible things set the stage for that realization and then you were like "bam, fanfiction"

Yeah, so I think I got different things out of Planecrash than many people. I think two main strands were really helpful for me:

1. Dath Ilan is pretty explicitly into this 'you are you, how can you grow from there and not surrender your you-ness [or at least view it as a great sacrifice]?', and I think Dath Ilan kind of felt like a superstructure that loved me and wanted good things for me, similar to the loving God you mentioned.

2. I had gained more freedom to disagree with AI thinkers I respected, and every time I noticed Eliezer making a claim that I disagreed with I felt like I regained some mana (despite the fact I continue to like the man and his thought!)

huh, neat

One thing that helped me a lot was going to an old friend's wedding weekend. He's... uh, normie isn't correct at all, but in a subculture with very different values. And after one dinner it snapped into place for me that I wasn't stupid or lazy; I had selected for hanging out with the smartest, most ambitious people who would tolerate me, and succeeded admirably. By any normal standard I was quite smart and doing cool things.

And then I looked at the people I admired/envied feeling actively bad that they weren't Elon Musk, and it clicked.

That was 5 years ago and it seems to be a stable solution. 

I had kind of an obverse experience, where I went to hang out with my elite-ish normie friends when I was a bit burned out. And I was like 'huh, these people are as good at boggling as me and they have more energy than me and they care about the Latest News but they seem free to have thoughts even though they care about that'. I think that made me freer not to grind myself into parts of trying to be an x-risker that weren't working for me, and actually consider that the habits around me were failing me rather than I them

Also worth sharing a friend's anecdote. He was very religious (and intellectually so) until he found a new social outlet, and could see a future without God but with social support. And the same outlet was there when he got disillusioned with a certain part of rationality. I think having social and other support not dependent on people viewing you as Valuable To The Cause is very helpful, although TBH I've not been great at following that advice.

Yeah, I've seen a pattern with a couple of friends that they regretted losing ties to people who liked them completely independently of their Value To The Cause (nothing that seems easy to say without being a bit too personal).

I'd be curious to hear how you orient on a concrete level to the good life and x-risk now you've moved through those stages?

To be a bit more specific: what does the good life look like? What things comprise it and what tradeoffs if any do you make with it and your do-gooding life?

This is tricky, because a lot of the things we call "the good life" are I think side effects of the actual good life, and can't be pursued directly or will fail if they are.

Some specific things I think are important to me: 

• accurate feelings of physical safety, minimizing medical problems, etc
• social support, connection, etc
  • By revealed preferences I value having my two cats a lot, because it is an enormous pain to house them in the Berkeley rental market.
• Getting to do stuff with no purpose. i finished a very intense gig this summer and needed a lot of recovery time. I got a fair amount of home projects and blog posts done during that, but only as long as I didn't have to. 
• getting to learn with no purpose. I go through frequent cycles of "hey this is cool, let me learn about it as a leisure activity -> you know with just a little focus this could be really useful -> this is work and comes out of work budget", and have learned to have pretty distinct buckets for "this is work and I am optimizing it for my goals" and "fuck you imma do what I want". FYIDWIW covers a lot of things other people might consider work (like animal behavior textbooks), but I don't have to do them well so it doesn't count as work for me.
  • implicit: access to lots and lots of information at minimal marginal cost. Thank you libraries, amazon, sci-hub, and annas archive. 
• Getting to do stuff on and for a purpose, with strategy and tactics and what not. 
• I would really like a feeling of being on a team. I haven't had that in abundance since Wave, and I miss it. As my projects have grown in scope I'm getting tiny bits now, but I really really miss the teamXmission feeling. 
• An environment that feels like mine and I can tailor to be good for me. 
• Fair amount of freedom of movement- I have a car when most rationalists in the bay don't. 
• Something something somatics, movement, embodiment, etc
• Being understood by people, especially people important to me. 

("can't be pursued directly or will fail if they are" 🔥)

Thanks! This is pretty helpful for me to see. I think one aspect that I find quite interesting is the interplay between the good life and the professional life. I think it would be easy to imagine that one's do-gooding life and one's professional life together form one magisterium and one's good kife forms a separate one. But, for me as well, some of the ways I want to shape my work life feel generated from the scent of the good life more than anything else

Some other things that intersect with your list but aren't necessarily the same as elements of it:

• Financial security and freedom. It has turned out to matter to me quite a bit that I, while working, have a lot of freedom to do things like travel internationally. It also matters to me that I am building my savings and will thus have increased freedom in the future.
• Relationships with my family and old friends. This is pretty salient as I live 8 time zones away from the people who have known me the longest. I think there's some semi-spiritual element of the relationship to my family that is a facet of my Good Life.

Oh man, financial security is so good, A++ would recommend. 

I think one of its biggest benefits is that it frees you up to take more risks. You can leave an abusive job, or launch a really speculative project, or say unpopular things that might get you fired.

Not to mention chase down speculative medical care, buy a nicer apartment with nicer furniture, have that car that's so important to me...

(I'm not a travel person but it seems really important to the rest of you)

All of this prompts in me something I'm not settled in yet: I think a lot of the things that I care about in the good life is fairly standard stories that the overculture tells me are worth striving for. There are at least 3 hypotheses for why that would be the case: (1) the overculture has metis about how to be a human, (2) things that rich fancy people do are good because they get to pick from a broader selection than the rest of us and they pick the best stuff and (3) the overculture is telling me this stuff for reasons unrelated to their goodness-for-me (like them being some sort of attractor state or because me pursuing those things would benefit the overculture).

For example, I think there is something very appealing about the standardish suburban lives that some of my child-having friends are pursuing. But some local folks have suggested "that particular picture is very specific and expensive and draws a lot of power by rooting into deep and important things, like raising families, but the appeal is stolen from that valuable thing".

I don't know if that generates any reactions in you? Fine if not

I think this is one of those weird things where social pressure can direct you towards the right thing but corrupt your internal prioritzation process in ways that kind of ruin it. 

[I have an anecdote for this but the best one feels a little tangential] 

Can you unpack your first sentence a little? A couple more sentences would help me understand I think

Sure.

I think there's a wide swath of things that some people legitimately want, and would continue to want in the absence of social pressure. But the social pressure gets to them first, so miss out on:

1. all the development that would have gone into becoming a person who could figure that out
2. the subtle differences between the default version of the thing and what they want in particular.
3. bringing the internal motivation online.

E.g. going to college because you've thought about it, know what you want, and have a metaplan for updating the plan as you get more information, versus going because you're supposed to.

Or, god forbid, having kids because you're supposed to, without thinking about how to make that situation good for you and them. I think people are way more likely to e.g. accept a shitty partner when they're succumbing to social pressure to have kids, even if they would have, in a vacuum, developed a strong internal drive to have kids. The social pressure makes them less responsive to specifics. 

Nice, I like this model quite a bit! I do think one thing that is good about these standard social narratives is that they encourage you to make tradeoffs, or move forward and not get stuck on perfection or analysis paralysis. (Your comment about accepting a shitty partner made me think this, though I don't think people should accept shitty partners! But I do think my friends who are more likely to have romantic loneliness that they regret followed less traditional life paths and I think practiced more selection and less cultivation in their romantic relationships).

I conjecture that while social pressure may push people to make trade-offs, they rarely pressure people to think about trade-offs in a nuanced and strategic way. And sometimes that works out, because social pressure will probably be towards the solution that works more often or creates positive externalities But it will miss individual variation.

I posit that even if it's true that normal people are happier than weird people, it doesn't follow that you can make weird people happy by having them act normal (much less pressuring them to act normal). The way out is mostly through.

But which parts of standard dreams make them ache are good guides to figuring out what they want. 

Overall, I think this seems like a pretty wise take. I would like to, in the future, think in more detail about when and whether weird folks can be helped by acting more normal, and generating the thesis of Reformed Normieism, rather than the repressive Orthodox Normieism

Yeah I think this is a great topic. I have a bunch of half-written blog posts on "so you've decided your organization needs to be Weird: what now?"

nice