Kolmogorov's AI Forecast

post by interstice · 2022-06-10T02:36:00.869Z · LW · GW · 1 comment

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Has anybody heard of this AI forecast that Kolmogorov apparently made? I heard of it in a panel with Maxim Kontsevich [LW · GW]:

MAXIM: Actually, Kolmogorov thought that mathematics will be extinct in 100 years, he had an estimate. He calculated the number of neurons and connections, he made the head something like one cubic meter. So yes, maybe a crazy estimate, but he was also thinking about natural boundaries

I've been unable to track down a source, anyone(perhaps Russian-speaking readers?) know of where to find one?

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comment by gwern · 2022-06-10T13:03:54.558Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Doesn't seem to be in https://aiimpacts.org/miri-ai-predictions-dataset/ and I don't remember ever hearing about this forecast.