Fatebook for Slack: Track your forecasts, right where your team works

post by Sage Future (aaron-ho-1), Adam B (adam-b) · 2023-05-11T14:11:07.620Z · LW · GW · 3 comments

Contents

  Why build a culture of forecasting?
None
3 comments

Announcing Fatebook for Slack - a Slack bot designed to help high-impact orgs build a culture of forecasting.

With Fatebook, you can ask a forecasting question in your team's Slack:

Then, everyone in the channel can forecast:

When it's time to resolve the question as Yes, No or Ambiguous, the author gets a reminder. Then everyone gets a Brier score, based on their accuracy.

It's like a tiny, private, fast Metaculus inside your team's Slack.

 

Why build a culture of forecasting?

We built Fatebook for Slack aiming to help high-impact orgs become more effective.

See the FAQs on the website for more info. We'd really value your feedback in the comments, in our Discord, or at adam@sage-future.org.

 

You can add Fatebook to your workspace here.

 

Thanks to all our alpha testers for their valuable feedback, especially the teams at 80,000 Hours, Lightcone, EA Cambridge, and Samotsvety.

3 comments

Comments sorted by top scores.

comment by mukashi (adrian-arellano-davin) · 2023-05-12T02:24:40.182Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is fantastic. Is there anything remotely like this available for Discord?

Replies from: aaron-ho-1
↑ comment by Sage Future (aaron-ho-1) · 2023-05-15T13:25:10.492Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thanks! There's a Manifold Markets Discord bot which lets you quickly create and bet on markets

We might create a Fatebook Discord bot if there's enough interest (some other people have asked for it) - though first we're making a web version.

comment by dreeves · 2023-05-12T00:22:18.584Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Just set it up in the Beeminder work Slack and I am immediately in love 😍

First forecast: Will at least 4 of us (including me) play this reindeer game? (96% probability so far)