[POLL] Year survey
post by thomblake · 2011-12-09T20:00:53.163Z · LW · GW · Legacy · 53 commentsContents
53 comments
Please take this easy one-question survey. For Science! Survey link
53 comments
Comments sorted by top scores.
comment by [deleted] · 2011-12-10T02:04:30.308Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
.
Replies from: Raemon↑ comment by Raemon · 2011-12-10T04:32:10.576Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
First time I've been motivated to actually say "lol" on Less Wrong, although that has a lot to do with me currently crafting Lovecraftian rituals, often literally waking up in the middle of the night and scribbling down Cthulhu-inspired songs.
Replies from: None, khafra↑ comment by [deleted] · 2011-12-10T04:39:15.804Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
.
Replies from: Raemon, fiddlemath↑ comment by fiddlemath · 2011-12-11T03:13:20.288Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
I am not a cult.
I am not a cult.
I am not a cult.
I am not a cult.
I am not a cult.
comment by lavalamp · 2011-12-09T20:12:46.729Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Gah... you bastard.
Edit: I used a random number generator. I hope that's not cheating.
Replies from: Yvain, thomblake↑ comment by Scott Alexander (Yvain) · 2011-12-09T22:52:42.419Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Why would you do that? If you know this is set up to detect patterns in how humans pick random numbers, isn't specifically entering a data point in order to thwart that sort of like providing fake data on a survey to mess with the results?
Replies from: cata, roystgnr, wedrifid, lavalamp↑ comment by roystgnr · 2011-12-10T22:23:00.241Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Where did the question ask us for a "random" number? "Some humans pick future years from underdetermined distributions by asking the most convenient RNG" is no more "fake" than, say, "Some humans pick future years from underdetermined distributions by recalling a fun sci-fi show".
Now that I've explained why lavalamp shouldn't feel guilty for asking his computer and I shouldn't feel guilty for asking pop culture: is it odd that I do feel guilty for picking something in this millenium? I know that a uniform distribution over Z+ doesn't exist, but it still feels like I ought to have at least added a digit or two.
↑ comment by wedrifid · 2011-12-10T03:09:54.229Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Why would you do that? If you know this is set up to detect patterns in how humans pick random numbers, isn't specifically entering a data point in order to thwart that sort of like providing fake data on a survey to mess with the results?
It's like providing fake data on a survey intended to detect patterns in what fake data people will produce.
comment by Nornagest · 2011-12-09T21:57:04.715Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
I see what you're doing there.
V cvpxrq n enaqbz ahzore orgjrra mreb naq gur rfgvzngrq raq bs fgne sbezngvba va gur havirefr, ba gur beqre bs n uhaqerq gevyyvba lrnef sebz abj. Znggre jvyy pbagvahr gb rkvfg sbe n tbbq ybat gvzr nsgre gung, naq qrtrarengr znggre sbe na rira ybatre gvzr, ohg gung frrzrq nf tbbq n cynpr nf nal gb fpbcr gur shgher sbe nal cenpgvpny checbfrf.
comment by Raemon · 2011-12-10T18:10:23.541Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Is it possible to see the results? If not, will it be in the future?
Replies from: thomblake↑ comment by thomblake · 2011-12-12T19:33:48.621Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
I'll post the results later.
Replies from: Raemon, Larks↑ comment by Raemon · 2011-12-14T03:41:32.729Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
I think in order for this to really produce useful results (rather than be funny) it needs to actually ask a question, so people have something to think about other than what the poll is really about.
Replies from: thomblake↑ comment by thomblake · 2011-12-14T15:20:45.900Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Yes, this might have been a good candidate for shuffling in a bunch of unrelated questions. But this was the first step of "Make it work make it right make it fast". I figured I could make a first pass at seeing what sorts of results I could get, so I should do so immediately.
Replies from: Raemon↑ comment by Raemon · 2011-12-15T02:09:40.874Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Well you only get one shot from the Less Wrong community (we'll totally know what's up next time). I'm sure you can get feedback from other communities as well. (If you're actually getting useful info, you also need the control group poll that doesn't anchor).
comment by Alex_Altair · 2011-12-09T22:50:02.763Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Rirelbar qbja orybj: lbh'er penml. V whfg cvpxrq gjb gubhfnaq gjryir.
Replies from: army1987↑ comment by A1987dM (army1987) · 2012-01-06T21:18:04.639Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Me too.
comment by lessdazed · 2011-12-09T21:37:26.985Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Orsber V gbbx guvf fheirl, V gubhtug gb zlfrys: shpx gur ynfg fheirl V gbbx naq vgf napubevat rssrpg. V'z napubevat ba lrne gjb gubhfnaq gjb uhaqerq ab znggre jung gur dhrfgvba vf guvf gvzr!
Vg jnf n gvzryl gubhtug.
Replies from: wedrifid↑ comment by wedrifid · 2011-12-10T03:08:12.453Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Orsber V gbbx guvf fheirl, V gubhtug gb zlfrys: shpx gur ynfg fheirl V gbbx naq vgf napubevat rssrpg. V'z napubevat ba lrne gjb gubhfnaq gjb uhaqerq ab znggre jung gur dhrfgvba vf guvf gvzr!
So essentially you are still anchored to the number given in the last survey - just one layer of indirection removed.
comment by hairyfigment · 2011-12-09T23:14:52.556Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Mwhaha! But my response wouldn't count, I've seen a related comment somewhere.
comment by atorm · 2011-12-09T22:22:36.627Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Tbqqnzzvg. Vapyhqvat gur rknzcyr lrne "**" vasyhraprq zl pubvpr. Vs gung'f abg vagragvbany lbh fubhyq erzbir vg.
Replies from: atorm, MinibearRex↑ comment by MinibearRex · 2011-12-09T23:00:33.040Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
V nz rkgerzryl pbasvqrag gung vg vf. Naq, shegure qbja, gurer vf n yvax gb nabgure dhrfgvba juvpu znl or eryngrq. Vs gung vf gehr, V qbhog zl nafjre jvyy or zhpu uryc. V fvzcyl nafjrerq (sbhe zvahf bar) (guerr gvzrf bar pneebgf) (frira zvahf sbhe).
comment by J_Taylor · 2011-12-09T20:55:59.678Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Depending on how other people respond, my response may have been a bit of an outlier.
Replies from: thomblake↑ comment by thomblake · 2011-12-09T20:57:10.691Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
ROT13: "bire avar gubhfnaq" vf gur zbfg pbzzba nafjre fb sne. Abg fher jung pbhagf nf na bhgyvre.
Replies from: J_Taylor, lessdazedcomment by A1987dM (army1987) · 2012-01-06T21:16:13.038Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
When are you showing us the results?
comment by arundelo · 2011-12-10T00:50:35.673Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
V gubhtug: "gjb gubhfnaq bar uhaqerq -- gung'f gelvat gb trg zr gb napube. Be vg'f n Fpuryyvat cbvag. Ohg pubbfvat fbzrguvat bgure guna vg frrzf zber vagrerfgvat." Gura V pbafvqrerq "gur boivbhf arkg pubvpr", gjb gubhfnaq gjryir. Gura gjb gubhfnaq guvegrra, gura fbzrguvat enaqbzyl trarengrq (gur ynfg bs juvpu jbhyq erdhver zr gb pbzr hc jvgu fbzr qvfgevohgvba). Gura V qrpvqrq gb cvpx fbzrguvat ovt. V nafjrerq avar dhnqevyyvba, frira gevyyvba, bar uhaqerq avargl-avar ovyyvba, gjb uhaqerq svsgl-sbhe zvyyvba, frira uhaqerq sbegl gubhfnaq, avar uhaqerq avargl-bar (va bgure jbeqf, bar yrff guna gjb gb gur svsgl-guveq), juvpu vf gur znkvzhz vagrtre rkcerffvoyr hanzovthbhfyl va na VRRR frira-svir-sbhe qbhoyr.
Rot13ed; decoded version here.
(Edit: Fixed link.)
comment by Normal_Anomaly · 2011-12-09T22:20:39.423Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
V ybbxrq ng gjragl-bar uhaqerq, ershfrq gb napube ba vg, naq glcrq bar gjb guerr sbhe svir fvk frira rvtug avar orpnhfr V pbhyq or pbasvqrag gung vg jnfa'g gur erfhyg bs napubevat. Tvira gung bgure crbcyr qvq vagrerfgvat zrnavatshy guvatf yvxr n enaqbz ahzore orgjrra abj naq fbzr nfgebabzvpny rirag, V srry bhg-njrfbzrq.
Replies from: Antisuji