Comic endorsing Bayesian statistics

post by grouchymusicologist · 2011-04-06T05:29:37.492Z · score: 5 (8 votes) · LW · GW · Legacy · 13 comments

Well, that might be editorializing on my part, but you'll see what I mean ...

13 comments

Comments sorted by top scores.

comment by Sniffnoy · 2011-04-06T05:41:00.936Z · score: 9 (11 votes) · LW · GW

Definitely editorializing on your part.

comment by Alicorn · 2011-04-06T15:20:50.869Z · score: 2 (4 votes) · LW · GW

Definitely

95% confidence? :P

comment by Sniffnoy · 2011-04-06T21:04:50.497Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Well, OK, if I had to actually assess a probability I'd go with something more like 7/8 or 8/9...

comment by David_Gerard · 2011-04-06T09:19:21.930Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Yep.

comment by DanielLC · 2011-04-06T23:30:50.320Z · score: 7 (7 votes) · LW · GW

And the moral of the story is to never stop playing Minecraft.

comment by jsalvatier · 2011-04-06T06:25:01.777Z · score: 4 (8 votes) · LW · GW

More of a critique of hypothesis testing than an endorsement of Bayes stats. It is a pretty tough criticism though.

comment by Vladimir_Nesov · 2011-04-06T10:06:10.298Z · score: 7 (9 votes) · LW · GW

Come on, it's about journalists' sloppiness in understanding technical statements. What the minecraft people said was certainty correct.

comment by bentarm · 2011-04-06T11:45:34.235Z · score: 3 (5 votes) · LW · GW

You don't have to be a Bayesian to do a correction for multiple comparisons. The scientists in the comic just did their job badly.

comment by jmmcd · 2011-04-06T15:05:18.475Z · score: 11 (11 votes) · LW · GW

Comic endorsing Bonferroni corrections!

comment by Tehom · 2011-04-07T04:04:59.020Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

It's the file-drawer problem in comic form.

comment by Pr0methean · 2014-08-24T07:06:12.117Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Makes me wish initiatives like U of Ottawa's JI-R would turn into real journals that could reliably publish at least quarterly.

comment by HonoreDB · 2011-04-06T18:48:13.601Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

It's an excellent comic in that you can see room for improvement in every step. With better hypothesis generation, we control the number of false positives by controlling the number of false hypotheses--maybe they should have just kept playing Minecraft?

comment by Psy-Kosh · 2011-04-06T06:19:35.221Z · score: 0 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I just came here to post the same comic. :)