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comment by Dagon · 2023-11-22T01:16:06.279Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Not really an answer, but a few modeling considerations:

  • "Elites" are a difficult group to talk about - it's not uniform in capabilities or desires.  It's more specific to say "commodities traders" or "fund managers" or whatever group you are actually analyzing.
  • Traders, analysists, and other market participants have used ML for a long long time in their work.  It's not clear what about "AI" you think is different enough to justify a large change.