Reading/listening list for the US failing or other significant shifts?
post by Nicole Ross (nicole-ross) · 2020-11-13T15:34:49.319Z · LW · GW · No commentsThis is a question post.
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Answers 1 Olomana 1 ike None No comments
I have a tentative hypothesis that the US is quite precarious. Although I believe we have likely avoided the worst outcomes this year, I think the next 10-30 yrs have some reasonable chance of going very badly. I don't know what that means, nor what the implications are for top cause areas.
I want to create a reading/listening list for exploring all this. Things I'm interested in:
- history, particularly broad arcs/analysis of history (e.g., maybe I should read some Peter Turchin stuff)
- history, particularly significant changes in global power dynamics (where power also involves technological advancement or similar)
- ....other things I'm not thinking of that feel relevant
I have no background here at all. So even very basic recommendations would be appreciated.
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answer by ike · 2020-11-13T19:59:38.570Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-9477.2011.00265.x
Recommend this paper, which suggests that wealthy democracies never fall.
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