What do you think would be the best investment policy for a cryonics trust?

post by Mati_Roy (MathieuRoy) · 2021-04-04T19:20:22.705Z · LW · GW · No comments

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    River
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Assume this policy will be followed by someone else, potentially for centuries, unless your cryonics revival timeline is shorter.

You can answer differently for different trusts; notably:

  1. Trust with the goal of maintaining a patient in stasis indefinitely, and providing the fund for revival
  2. Trust with money that you will gain access to again once you're reanimated

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answer by River · 2021-04-04T21:14:16.657Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think the general strategy should be extreme diversification across asset classes. It might be that the stock market itself goes out of business, and stocks themselves cease to exist, on average once every thousand years. How would we know? There haven't been stock markets that long. And for a non-cryonicist who expects to have money in the market for maybe 50 years tops, that's not a problem. For a cryonicist who expects to have money in the market for a thousand years, that is actually a huge problem. So I would say put some money in the stock market. Put some money in REITs. Put some money in cryptocurrency. Put some money into artwork and coin collecting. Put some money in things that have a record of holding value for a thousand years - precious metals and gems, plots of land, water rights. Anything else you can think of that seems not stupid. This way, if any particular class of stuff goes bust, you've still got most of your capitol. If it all goes bust, well, probably nobody will be left to revive you anyway so it won't matter.

As a separate strategy, also put some money into biotech and AI specifically, both because that might lead to people figuring out how to revive you, and because if people do figure out how to revive you, it will probably be because biotech and AI have been successful.

comment by Sune Jakobsen (sune-jakobsen) · 2021-04-05T17:40:00.445Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

As a separate strategy, also put some money into biotech and AI specifically, both because that might lead to people figuring out how to revive you, and because if people do figure out how to revive you, it will probably be because biotech and AI have been successful.

My intuition was in the opposite direction: in worlds where technological development is quick, you are very likely to have the funds last long enough anyway, so you should optimise for worlds where the development is slow. There are effects in both direction, so the answer likely depends on how big your initial fund is compared to the costs.

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