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Abraham Parangi (abraham-parangi) on
Why I think there's a one-in-six chance of an imminent global nuclear war ·
2022-10-09T14:01:18.970Z ·
LW ·
GW
There's an implicit assumption in this line of reasoning that military response is inherently escalatory but you are demonstrating with this line of reasoning that fear of military response is de-escalatory!
The assumption beneath that is that you are rational but your counterparty is unlike you and cannot be trusted to be rational - but if this is the case then you are trapped in a room with a madman with a knife and the only rational move is first strike.