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Russian online meetups 2020-06-21T20:46:34.008Z

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Comment by Alaric on The Cage of the Language · 2022-04-15T21:42:50.613Z · LW · GW

In Russian word "taboo" was introduced too. Problem was with a term "taboo tradeoff" as a whole. We had thought that a literal translation may produce wrong connotation or no connotation.

In Russian we have many adopted words too, but, yes, it is more difficult due to declinations and conjugations.

Comment by Alaric on The Cage of the Language · 2022-04-15T13:37:53.470Z · LW · GW

Whether it's a calque or a descriptive expression, I think the main problem is still that it addresses only one term. You encounter a term that has no good translation, invent your own translation, start using it and maybe it'll eventually catch on. But then you have to do the entire dance again for the next term.

Yes, I agree.

Consider the use of Latin phrases in Europe in XIX. century. It was, back then, seen as beautiful, literary and high-status. If the same could be achieved today with English, it would allow small language communities to break out of the language cage.

I think it depends on education in the community. Yes, for example, Leo Tolstoy in "War and peace" wrote even vast fragments in French. But most of his readers knew French well. (Almost exclusively well-educated person had time for fiction reading.) Now despite mandatory learning in school at least one foreign language many Russians know very badly even Latin alphabet (not to mention rules about reading English words). If you are writing/translating something for specialists, you may ignore that. But if you are writing fiction or something for beginners, you need to think about that.

And yes, we have problems with declinations. It is hard to read sentences in Russian with words which cannot be declined by language rules.

And I often think about the problem: If a reader knows English and sees words, for example, "taboo tradeoff", I think they can understand that "tradeoff" is about changing something to something. And due to that they can understand the whole term easier. If a reader doesn't know English, they see only some strange letter set. I think it may be important in writing text for beginners.

Comment by Alaric on The Cage of the Language · 2022-04-14T14:47:20.232Z · LW · GW

I think I can understand the problem.

I have translated HPMoR and some Lesswrong's post into Russian. And sometimes I was discovering an absence of Russian translations for some terms (especially in psychology). Often it was hard to find some "less wrong" words.

For example, one arc in HPMoR is titled "Taboo tradeoffs". And we (our translation team) asked some people who studied psychology, but no one had known Russian analogue for this term. In the end we gave up and changed the title. (Russian version can be translated into English as "Price of priceless things".)

In fiction sometimes you can change a sentence to translate its meaning without using a particular word. (Sometimes it doesn't work because you need to show a character who used a particular scientific term.) Sometimes I am just using "calque" and footnote with English term and short description or link to Wikipedia.
 

If you encounter the term and you are not sure what it means you can google it and find out that there's a lot of hits, that some pretty serious people are discussing it, you can even learn what it means yourself.

In addition I think it's easier to learn a new term if it is made of "usual" words rather than a calque.

Comment by Alaric on Ukraine Post #10: Next Phase · 2022-04-12T22:59:58.116Z · LW · GW

About Peskov.

Now Peskov is actively being criticized by "war party" in Russia. But their media mostly is afraid to criticize Putin, and they are just shouting about traitors and saying: "Why Putin doesn't fire him?". 

However, Russian ultraconservators have explained all problems in Russia by some traitors in Kremlin very often. Some of Putin's ministers were actively criticized for many years. And Putin ignore that usually.

On the other hand, one day Putin said something like: "My press secretary have said nonsense very often".

Comment by Alaric on Ukraine Post #9: Again · 2022-04-09T14:10:33.382Z · LW · GW

I was wrong about IT specialists and drafts. Already there is government decree about it.
For a draft exemption you must:

  • have bachelor or master degree in speciality from very long government's list;
  • work for an accredited company for 11 months or more if you graduated more than a year ago. If you have less than a year after graduation, you should work for an accredited company and the working period doesn't matter.

And these rules apply to the current draft.

Comment by Alaric on Predicting a global catastrophe: the Ukrainian model · 2022-04-08T11:30:09.859Z · LW · GW

I think a success story of the right prediction is a good point. But it is not sufficient in the long run. For a decision to trust some source of predictions we need more information than one success.

As far as I can see, Metaculus track record on geopolitics is looking good, but it contains relatively few points.

And for governments we don't see their track records. But I think it will not be hard to find wrong predictions from governments in the past.

Comment by Alaric on Ukraine Post #9: Again · 2022-04-06T19:15:32.376Z · LW · GW

March 27: Russian parliament introduces bill to make all who speak Russian ‘Russian citizens residing abroad.’ Speculation is that this is to justify future interventions, could also be a way to attract good people. Interesting thought experiment what would happen if we did the same for everyone who speaks English.

It is a wrong reading of the bill. (In Russia very many media described it incorrectly.) Really, the author of the bill has tried to decrease the number of people who can be treated as "compatriot". The current revision of the Russian law about compatriots doesn't expect that compatriots are oblige to know Russian. And one of the MPs decided to "fix" it.

With so many tech experts leaving, Russia is hoping it can help convince them to stay by exempting them from the draft. It is an interesting dilemma. If you admit you’re an expert, you can’t be drafted, but also you can’t leave.

There are no real laws about it. But it seems a draft exemption rights will be linked with companies. If you are working for a company which is listed somewhere as "IT company", you cannot be drafted. It seems your position in a company doesn't matter.

But the current draft will be conducted under old laws. (In Russia there are two drafts in a year: from April to June and from October to December).

Comment by Alaric on Moloch and the sandpile catastrophe · 2022-04-04T11:45:21.924Z · LW · GW

I can add that Kremlin is using it in their propaganda. Previous years many Kremlin supporters said: "The West cannot make against us anything significant because they depends on our oil and gas and they want to get money from us selling some goods to us". And now some people say something like that: "Ok, they imposed some sanctions, but they cannot impose really heavy sanctions".

I mean that some agents can abuse a situation with many mutual dependencies like that.

Comment by Alaric on How many generals does Russia have left? · 2022-03-29T21:37:36.863Z · LW · GW

Russian army has very many non-battle units. For example, Logistical Support. This units have own generals too.

Even military band conductor can be a general in Russia.

Comment by Alaric on My mistake about the war in Ukraine · 2022-03-28T09:28:32.905Z · LW · GW

I think the common part in the current situation in Russian military and the situation before WWII is big problems with feedback. Before WWII in USSR you cannot tell about inabilty to fulfil a plan. And you had a very little chance to change superiors minds. Now in Russia you cannot criticize decisions of authorities efficiently. A criticism is a something which only western agents are doing.

But I think there is a distinction. I think a part of current problems in Russian military have emerged due to mass unbelief that a big war is possible. 

Comment by Alaric on What are the top 1-10 posts / sequences / articles / etc. that you've found most useful for yourself for becoming "less wrong"? · 2022-03-27T10:31:11.818Z · LW · GW

It is very difficult to select particular posts or book chapters because many ideas are becoming significant when you have known another ideas already. A context is very important for many ideas.

I can list some posts which seemed very important for me in the past.

Comment by Alaric on Ukraine Post #6: More Data and Peace Terms · 2022-03-26T15:04:43.871Z · LW · GW

Funny story about current Kremlin propaganda.

In the beginning of "special operation" some people in the Education Ministry created materials for the lesson about fakes in western and pro-western media. And many teachers in schools and universities were told to conduct this lesson. (By the way, formally it may be treated as illegal action in Russia. You cannot do political lessons in a school.)

The presentation for this lesson contains the slide about allegedly fake "In Russia Instagram will be blocked." Instagram really was blocked in Russia couple of weeks ago. But as far as I hear this presentation was used after that too.

Comment by Alaric on My mistake about the war in Ukraine · 2022-03-26T13:25:48.855Z · LW · GW

As far as I know it is not true. I didn't know about any very spectacular palaces for Stalin or any his associates.

There was a corruption under Stalin. But as far as I know the main problem was false reports. Superiors demanded to fulfil (and to overfulfil) the plan, subordinates were afraid to confess that they cannot to do it and they was sending reports about a plan fulfilment.

Comment by Alaric on Ukraine Post #6: More Data and Peace Terms · 2022-03-26T13:08:15.820Z · LW · GW

I do hear Russia is cold and equipment provided was poor. It does seem strange that Russia does not prepare properly for Russian winter, you’d think that would very much fall under #YouHadOneJob. In a non-functioning system that is one too many.

In Russia we have the joke: "In Russia a winter becomes unexpectedly always." Always beginning of every winter is a very tough time for municipal services. And every strong snowfall can make problems too.

And as far as I understand "special operation" was planned as very short. And in Ukraine it is warmer than in Russian usually.

When I see a photo like this, my instinctual interpretation is that this is a collaboration between Olga and the troops behind her to generate the photo opportunity. Normally when a photo is staged it makes it less powerful. Here I wonder if the reverse is true. If the troops are intentionally helping to create powerful photos of protest then one could say that is the troops joining the protest. Which makes this interesting.

I disagree with both versions. Before current events in Moscow there were many independent journalists (including journalists from western media). And authorities tried to do a "good image". One of thesises of Kremlin propaganda is: "In Russia mass protests is treated more softer than in the West." And so riot squads didn't try to arrest all immediately.

But as far as I know many people in Russian police really do not trust their superiors.

Russia’s only tank producer halts production over lack of supplies.

It seems wrong for me. 

First, I see this rumour only in doubtful sources. And there are very many workers in Uralvagonzavod. If it would be true there would be more sources who would write about it.

Second, as far as I know there are another tank producers in Russia.

Comment by Alaric on Ukraine Post #5: Bits of Information · 2022-03-22T17:07:49.023Z · LW · GW

What do you mean by "fanatical nationalism"?

I think pro-Z demonstrations as a whole are the signal from Kremlin to opponents: "We have people's support." And usually a single participant of pro-Z demonstration is signalling loyalty: "You said me to go to the rally and I don't resist."

Comment by Alaric on Ukraine Post #5: Bits of Information · 2022-03-22T10:47:35.971Z · LW · GW

In Russia the government control or have a great influence to very big part of the economy. And people are becoming "Kremlin agents" by working in organizations which someway controlled by government.

Some people (especially from poor families) go to work in police. Journalists go to work in pro-Kremlin media because there a very few anti-Kremlin media. Scientists can only work in state organizations or emigrate, because in Russia non-state scientific organization are practically absent. Most schools and universities are controlled by the government.

And when people are already inside the system, it is very difficult for them to contradict to it because of a status quo bias and a financial dependence.

And signaling loyalty is not strictly prohibited. It is just not supported in most cases. I think an independent person with pro-Putin banner would not be fined or arrested. Just all (including loyalists) would be think about they as a some crazy.

Comment by Alaric on Ukraine Post #5: Bits of Information · 2022-03-21T16:35:58.289Z · LW · GW

Kamil long thread about the pro-Z demonstrations, claiming they are fully staged and intentionally avoid using anyone who is actually pro-Z because such people care about something and thus cannot be trusted.

I mostly agree with that. Even before current events Kremlin didn't like any political initiative, even loyalist one.

When public political actions in Russia were not prohibited de facto, many loyalists have said something like: "Only crazy people are going to mass-meetings. Normal people don't have time for that. They are working or spending time with families or something like that." Most participants of all pro-Kremlin rallies was students or teachers or doctors or another people who works in state (formally municipal - but it is the same in this context) organizations.

Comment by Alaric on Formal epistemiology for extracting truth from news sources · 2022-03-18T20:08:15.612Z · LW · GW

Do you know about the street epistemology (Russian site)? I think it is designed for similar cases. In Russia there is the big community. You can visit online-meetings for a practice.

But I think it need to remember that all such conversations need a very much time due to big inferential distances.

Comment by Alaric on Formal epistemiology for extracting truth from news sources · 2022-03-17T10:40:34.150Z · LW · GW

Ahh, interesting, so the English version is not just a translation then, but rather a very different version, is that right?

Yes. As far as I know in RT there are different editorial staffes for different languages. It seems they didn't translate news from Russian to English. Some people write articles for Russian version and some people write for English version and so on.

I don't know Russian, unfortunately.

As far as I hear online translators can work well now. Maybe in some cases Yandex.Translate can help more than Google.Translate because it is more optimized for Russian language.

Comment by Alaric on Formal epistemiology for extracting truth from news sources · 2022-03-17T09:19:46.413Z · LW · GW

I would be very interested to know if you can access the English version in Russia, and if the translation matches the original.

I can access to these articles from Russia. But it seems some of them have not translated into Russian. As far I can see there are no strict correspondence between articles in English and articles in Russian. For example there are articles in Russian about meeting Zelensky and European delegation but there are no article about “unequivocal support” for Ukraine from this delegation.

Comment by Alaric on Game theory, sanctions, and Ukraine · 2022-03-14T11:55:17.705Z · LW · GW

As far as I know about 70% people in Russia don't have an international passport. And I think many people who have it visited only Egypt or Turkey.

Comment by Alaric on Ukraine Post #2: Options · 2022-03-12T13:10:39.559Z · LW · GW

About "Information war" in Russia.

In Russia there are many loyalists with believes that can be described as "Yes, we agree that people in the government are sons of a bitch but they are our sons of a bitch." Or "Yes, we agree that all government media are liars but all media are liars." For all examples of bad deeds of the regime they have some example of something similar in the West. (Example: "Kremlin is persecuting participants of peaceful meetings" - "Ha-ha, Canadian authorities do the same with convoy protesters".) Often these people are interested in western news more than in Russian news.

Also there is a "paradox". One of the main lines of Kremlin propaganda is a statement: "In Russia we value non-material things and the West agents teach people to value only money and base pleasures." (This inherited from the Soviet Union.) But it seems to me the most Kremlin supporters don't trust in somebody's altruism absolutely (excluding maybe members of their families or very intimate friends).

So Kremlin has big difficulties when it needs to force people to do something. For example Russian vaccination campaign was failed despite the propaganda. But it is much easier to force people not to do something.

About Kamil Galeev.

Twitter thread sounds reasonable for me. A little remark: Post in the Account Chamber after the governorship hardly can be treated as a promotion. Orlova lost the election and it seems to me that people in Kremlin was disappointed. But for now Kremlin don't practice hard punishments for their people and sometimes it moves they to unimportant posts.

Comment by Alaric on [Letter] Russians are Welcome in America · 2022-03-06T10:04:27.781Z · LW · GW

The Russians in our community tend to have very high English proficiency.

I think it may be a selection bias. Probably you have communicated with Russians with good English because Russians with bad English have a little chance to communicate with you.

In Russia there are many people who interested in ideas of rationality. HPMoR is very popular in Russia. But in the Russian rationalist community there are many people who cannot even read in English.

Comment by Alaric on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-27T15:08:10.916Z · LW · GW

The mentioned resolution didn't say anything about Kosovo independence.

Comment by Alaric on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-25T19:18:04.946Z · LW · GW

I think about several reasons:

1. Mistakes about the magnitude of the power centralization in Russia.

I don't know how it was perceived in other countries but in Russia there were many debates about how many powers belongs to Putin himself. Real process of decision-making was hidden and people had different hypotheses about it. Many people thought about Putin as an arbiter between oligarchs/other forces or as first among peers.

As far as I understand last week broadcast from Russian Security Council was very surprising for many people. Openly Putin practically humiliated some high officials (especially Chief of Intelligence Service).

2. Mistakes about Putin's motives.

I think a problem is a changing in Putin. In the beginnings of his rule Putin demonstrated that he is very pragmatic. He said words which sounds very reasonably. He very rare did something non-reversible. I think all missed a moment when this was changed.

3. I suppose people underestimate the magnitude of Russian intelligence service degradation.

I think in Russian defense agencies people were used to say things which their superiors wants to hear. I think Putin understands Ukrainians very inadequately because he read many reports which only confirm his point of view.

Comment by Alaric on Russia has Invaded Ukraine · 2022-02-25T14:13:59.188Z · LW · GW

In addition to Konstantin words. Many conservators in Russia honestly believe that USA/NATO want to destroy Russia and to seize Russian resources. They don't think that Ukraine and Ukrainians are the agents. They believe that Ukrainians are the pawns of the West. They think that Russian army are saving Ukrainian people from NATO agents and crazy Ukrainian nationalists.

A decline to accept the agency of opponents is very common for Kremlin propaganda and Kremlin supporters.

Comment by Alaric on Two (very different) kinds of donors · 2021-12-27T13:38:09.823Z · LW · GW

I think it may be depends on what a donor expect about competence of people who make decisions in an organization.

Sometimes a person want delegate a task to an agent but they don't trust fully this agent. They may expect a lack of competence or a lack of motivation or some another problem. And they think they need to control. And they think they can control something.

And sometimes a person expect that this agent is more competent in a task and motivated enough. And then they think they don't need to control this agent.

And sometimes people evaluate a competence of another agent right and sometimes wrong.

Comment by Alaric on Hero Licensing · 2020-07-22T08:33:14.494Z · LW · GW
if you start assigning “the probability that X will go wrong and not be handled, conditional on everything previous on the list having not gone wrong or having been successfully handled,” then you’d better be willing to assign conditional probabilities near 1 for the kinds of projects that succeed sometimes

(Bold is mine.)

Is this sentence correct? May be probability that X will go wrong, conditional ... must be near 0 for project that may be successful?

Comment by Alaric on Raemon's Shortform · 2020-06-17T12:44:45.931Z · LW · GW

Could you explain (or give a link) what is "Mindful Cognition Tuning"?

Comment by Alaric on What are objects that have made your life better? · 2020-05-23T13:45:47.820Z · LW · GW

Window opening limiters (window restrictors with several positions). It's a cheap way to decrease common dilemma "very cold or very stuffy".