Comment by cai terry (cai-terry) on 2023 Unofficial LessWrong Census/Survey · 2024-01-01T20:44:01.224Z · LW · GW

Completed the survey. 
The question here is the opposite of its title:

P(Global catastrophic risk)

What is the probability that the human race will make it to 2100 without any catastrophe that wipes out more than 90% of humanity?

It's asking for P(no global catastrophic risk) so easy to answer the inverse if skimming.