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What is the death rate for those who test negative on Covid-19? 2020-03-08T16:40:04.484Z

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Comment by derek-lomas on What is the death rate for those who test negative on Covid-19? · 2020-03-08T16:42:42.667Z · LW · GW

What percent of 70+ year olds that enter a hospital for cold/flu symptoms end up dying? Without knowing that as baseline, it is hard to meaningfully evaluate the covid19 death rate, especially considering that only the seriously ill are tested.

In this study, about 9% of non-elective geriatric patients admitted to a hospital die. https://academic.oup.com/ageing/article/34/5/467/40349

In this study, it was closer to 15%. http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?pid=S1807-59322009000700002&...

Comment by derek-lomas on Why would panic during this coronavirus pandemic be a bad thing? · 2020-03-08T16:37:41.634Z · LW · GW

By analogy: most of the deaths from the Spanish flu are believed to have been caused by over-reacting immune systems. Our global response to disease has the potential to cause more damage than the disease itself.

That is not necessarily what is happening -- but it is a scenario we should be aware of.

Comment by derek-lomas on Make more land · 2019-10-17T16:50:45.282Z · LW · GW

https://images.app.goo.gl/c5E11LJfLETAFFBy9

Here is a nice map of the parts of the Netherlands that are under sea level. I live in Amsterdam. Not on the ground floor :)

People in the Netherlands are very concerned about environmentalism and climate change. But not so much about sea level rise. I imagine it has to do with the opportunity to help cities like Miami build infrastructure that can help them livel below sea level, too

Comment by derek-lomas on Make more land · 2019-10-17T06:22:45.330Z · LW · GW

Our great experiment has a reboot mechanism. It's called an election.