Comment by dhruv agarwal (dhruv-agarwal) on Rationality: An Introduction · 2024-04-20T04:38:00.553Z · LW · GW

I don't understand how bob having a crush was assigned 2:1 odds. A random person having winked at you is given 10:1 odds of having a crush then shouldn't bob be the same? The 1:5 odds assigned earlier should be discarded in face of new evidence no? By this reasoning a random person having winked at you is given higher odds than bob having winked at you of having a crush. I am confused 😕