Which battles should a young person pick? 2023-12-29T20:28:25.579Z

Comment by EmanuelJankvist (emanueljankvist) on Which battles should a young person pick? · 2023-12-31T10:56:02.557Z · LW · GW

Thanks for the advice @GeneSmith!

In regards to the 'probability assertions' I made, the following (probably) sums it up best:
$P(\text{solving aging}\cap {\text{doom}}^c\mid \text{AGI})+P(\text{doom}\mid \text{AGI})\approx 1.$

I understand the ethical qualms. The point I was trying to make was more in the line of 'if I can effect the system in a positive direction, could this maximise my/humanity's mean-utility function'. Acknowledging this is a weird way to put it (as I assume a utility-function for myself/humanity), I'd hoped it would provide insight into my thought process. 

Note: in the post I didn't specify the $\cap {\text{doom}}^c$ part. I'd hoped it was implicit -- as I don't care much for the scenario, where aging is solved and AI enacts doom right afterwards. I'm aware this is still an incomplete model (and is quite non-rigorous).

Again, I appreciate the response and the advice;)