Comment by heresieding on Something to Protect · 2022-04-13T02:30:06.796Z · LW · GW

I savor the succulent choleric chaos of declaring that I value mere phlegm above yellow bile. That is almost a contradiction, but not quite; and the resulting blend has a choleric quality as well: a delicious humor.

Comment by heresieding on Lawful Uncertainty · 2022-03-30T23:33:16.367Z · LW · GW

I think the experiment's conclusion that subjects sought to model the cards instead of to maximise wins is only valid if they had the probabilities, and/or could easily verify them, at the start; and (as many have noted) saw the deck reshuffled after each trial. (Without the probabilities, it sounds like their 'mistake' would be not noticing a majority color or not optimising when they did - I think I read the experiment as intended, but readers might find doing so easier if given these conditions.)