Comment by Lennard Iosif (lennard-iosif) on March Coronavirus Open Thread · 2020-03-13T04:59:59.457Z · LW · GW

Adding to this - what impact would this have on Wei Dai's estimates on mortality rates skyrocketing if health systems are overburdened? If significant portions of the population already have the illness, then would that imply a significantly lower mortality rate than expected? Or could this simply be a leading indicator that we are closer to the peak than we originally thought?