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Comment by leoeer on Forcing Anthropics: Boltzmann Brains · 2013-01-08T18:03:14.149Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Isn't the argument in one false? If one applies bayes' theorem, with initial prob. 50% and new likelihood ratio of a billion to one, don't you get 500000000 to one chances?