What does "meta-execution without indirection" look like? 2019-10-21T12:59:07.910Z · score: 8 (3 votes)


Comment by liam_donovan on Prediction markets for internet points? · 2019-10-28T10:57:33.821Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

On average, I'd guess my expected PredictIt profit per question I put a substantial time + money investment into is around $600. Obviously, this is evidence that the market is extremely inefficient; I just don't see how a market with no incentive to put the time in would be any better.