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michel on
Why I think there's a one-in-six chance of an imminent global nuclear war ·
2022-10-09T17:01:25.413Z ·
LW ·
GW
There is a non zero probability that even if NATO can't come to a decision, the US would just respond unilaterally, so while it's likely not 80% I would say the probability of significant retaliation is probably quite high?