Comment by mindprison on Stop talking about p(doom) · 2024-01-16T14:40:14.201Z · LW · GW

Agreed, p(doom) is a useless metric for advancing our understanding or policy decisions. It has become a social phenomenon where people are now pressuring others to calculate a value and asserting it can be used as an accurate measurement. It is absurd. We should stop accepting nothing more than guesses and define a criteria that is measurable. FYI, my own recent rant on the topic ...

https://www.mindprison.cc/p/pdoom-the-useless-ai-predictor