Posts

Meetup : Warsaw November Meetup 2015-11-04T18:41:54.044Z
Meetup : Warsaw August Meetup 2015-08-17T11:12:44.893Z
Meetup : Warsaw: GO playing 2015-07-14T14:21:27.003Z
Meetup : Warsaw integration: Barbecue on the beach 2015-07-09T14:19:29.630Z
Meetup : Warsaw June Meetup: TDT, UDT, WTF 2015-06-19T14:50:58.845Z
Meetup : Warsaw: Newcomb's Problem & Decision Theories 2015-05-13T13:52:59.107Z
Meetup : Warsaw April Meetup 2015-04-12T14:32:55.130Z
Meetup : Warsaw February Meetup 2015-02-05T21:16:02.516Z

Comments

Comment by mkf on If there was one element of statistical literacy that you could magically implant in every head, what would it be? · 2016-02-23T08:13:16.558Z · LW · GW

One possible answer, related to the concept of calibration, is this: it means that it rained in 70% of the cases when you predicted 70% chance of rain.

Comment by mkf on A Strange Argument about the potential Importance of Multiverse Theory · 2016-02-03T13:39:39.831Z · LW · GW

I don't think I have anything valuable to add on the object level, but: the way you introduce Christian Madsen at the end of your post doesn't really sound encouraging with regard to cooperation with you. You guys should work on a better elevator pitch.

Comment by mkf on "The Difference Between Medicine and Poison is Dosage" Shirts and Bags · 2015-12-28T10:58:20.179Z · LW · GW

Sorry to be blunt, but I find them simply ugly. This many fonts and effects make text hard to read and look like someone's first engagement with MS Word when they were 12.

Comment by mkf on Open thread, Oct. 26 - Nov. 01, 2015 · 2015-10-31T11:48:50.856Z · LW · GW

The All-Nighter Experiment: What Worked and What Didn't

"I spent a week researching the best advice I could find from seasoned bankers, "Hackathon" sleep doctors, and the military elite. Then I stayed up all-night and experimented on myself, trying the techniques and figuring out what worked and what didn't.

Even though I'm self-employed and I set my own "deadlines", I still chose to stay up for 36 hours straight. I don't know if that makes me crazy, or dedicated, or maybe crazy dedicated... probably just crazy.

This post contains the most useful takeaways from the experience, including three things that worked and three things that didn't."

http://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forums/the-all-nighter-experiment-what-worked-and-what-didnt

Comment by mkf on Deliberate Grad School · 2015-10-04T14:13:03.022Z · LW · GW

PhD programs in mathematics, statistics, philosophy, and theoretical computer science tend to give you a great deal of free time and flexibility, provided you can pass the various qualifying exams without too much studying.

Economics also has good opinion among the EA/rationality crowd:

Comment by mkf on Is Scott Alexander bad at math? · 2015-05-08T06:32:43.504Z · LW · GW

Mostly his self-description, like here.

Comment by mkf on May 2015 Media Thread · 2015-05-04T19:58:36.764Z · LW · GW

Recent sequence on mathematical ability and Scott A. being bad at math (or is he?) reminded me of this short story (possibly nonfiction), which I recommend: Bad At Math by Alone a.k.a. The Last Psychiatrist. http://thelastpsychiatrist.com/2011/03/bad_at_math.html

Comment by mkf on Stupid Questions May 2015 · 2015-05-03T16:54:30.012Z · LW · GW

By the way, it is one of the best examples I've seen of quick, practical gains from reading LW: the ability to sort out problems like this.

Comment by mkf on Stupid Questions May 2015 · 2015-05-03T16:46:33.519Z · LW · GW

Could you elaborate?

Comment by mkf on Truth is holistic · 2015-04-25T11:22:03.897Z · LW · GW

You should definitely post it as a top-level post in Main.

Comment by mkf on Open Thread, Apr. 06 - Apr. 12, 2015 · 2015-04-11T21:42:13.962Z · LW · GW

Why exactly did Eliezer stop writing here and started writing his new articles (on intelligent characters in fiction, angel investing etc.) on Facebook or Tumblr instead?

Comment by mkf on Open Thread, Feb. 2 - Feb 8, 2015 · 2015-02-03T17:12:45.369Z · LW · GW

What's LessWrong's collective mind's opinion on efficient markets hypothesis? From Facebook feed I vaguely recall Eliezer being its supporter, it also appeared in some of the Sequences. On the other hand, there is a post published here called A guide to rational investing, which states that "the EMH is now the noble lie of the economics profession".

I have a well-read layman's understanding of both the hypothesis and various arguments for and agains it and would like to know what this community's opinion is.

Comment by mkf on Open thread, Jan. 19 - Jan. 25, 2015 · 2015-01-25T22:18:26.895Z · LW · GW

Why exactly would you like to avoid paying someone for hosting? It seems like a good candidate for a service to be outsourced.