Posts

Diseased Thinking: Dissolving Questions About Disease 2019-10-26T14:12:33.894Z · score: 3 (1 votes)
A Fable of Science and Politics 2019-09-29T09:13:20.098Z · score: 3 (1 votes)
SSC Meetups Everywhere 2019: Untitled 2019-08-29T11:45:52.912Z · score: 3 (1 votes)
An Equilibrium of no Free Energy 2019-08-04T19:04:15.063Z · score: 3 (1 votes)
The Story of Emily and Control 2019-06-24T11:35:41.362Z · score: 3 (1 votes)
The Importance of Sidekicks 2019-05-25T09:35:27.483Z · score: 3 (1 votes)
The Correct Response to Uncertainty is *not* Half-speed 2019-05-08T14:08:10.863Z · score: 3 (1 votes)
The Girl who Poked God With a Stick 2019-03-24T14:44:53.124Z · score: 3 (1 votes)
Worm 2019-02-24T14:13:54.690Z · score: 3 (1 votes)
What's your favorite LessWrong post? 2019-02-21T10:39:53.919Z · score: 27 (9 votes)
Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality 2019-01-29T05:28:33.524Z · score: 3 (1 votes)
Fact Posts: How and Why 2018-12-23T21:55:56.925Z · score: 3 (1 votes)
Fundamental Value Differences are not That Fundamental 2018-11-25T22:43:39.014Z · score: 10 (2 votes)
An Alien God 2018-10-29T02:27:16.843Z · score: 11 (3 votes)
Hero Licensing 2018-09-30T10:50:48.819Z · score: 2 (1 votes)
Preface 2018-08-27T15:14:35.230Z · score: 2 (1 votes)
The Categories Were Made For Man, Not Man For The Categories 2018-07-26T08:06:48.215Z · score: 2 (1 votes)
Considerations on Cost Disease 2018-07-03T17:34:08.809Z · score: 12 (3 votes)
Stockholm SSC meetup 2018-04-19T09:04:46.981Z · score: 3 (2 votes)
Welcome to Stockholm Rationalists 2018-04-19T08:39:36.153Z · score: 2 (1 votes)
Meetup : Superintelligence chapter 7 2017-05-26T08:11:41.309Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
Meetup : Superintelligence chapter 6 2017-05-10T12:55:33.010Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
Meetup : Modern portfolio theory 2017-05-10T12:42:34.267Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
Meetup : Superintelligence chapter 5 2017-04-28T13:17:21.411Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
Meetup : Stockholm Slate Star Codex Meetup 2017-04-28T13:15:11.502Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
Meetup : Reading with discipline, reconstruction and mnemonics 2017-04-02T20:24:53.771Z · score: 1 (2 votes)
Meetup : Superintelligence chapter 4 2017-03-28T18:55:13.005Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
Meetup : Superintelligence chapter 3 2017-03-12T20:59:35.489Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
Meetup : Goal factoring 2017-03-08T21:39:55.885Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
Meetup : Superintellignce chapter 2 2017-03-04T20:29:07.035Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
The types of manipulation on vote-based forums 2017-02-11T17:09:49.319Z · score: 5 (6 votes)
Stupid Questions December 2016 2016-12-19T14:41:07.149Z · score: 5 (6 votes)
Meetup : Stockholm: Bottlenecks to trading personal resources 2016-10-28T11:41:49.046Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
Meetup : Stockholm: Mental contrasting 2016-10-18T20:24:08.473Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
Meetup : Stockholm: When to stop making a decision 2016-09-26T17:14:40.906Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
Stupid Questions September 2016 2016-09-05T22:34:50.517Z · score: 3 (4 votes)

Comments

Comment by pepe_prime on What's your favorite LessWrong post? · 2019-02-21T22:57:56.110Z · score: 5 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Boring Advice Repository

Comment by pepe_prime on What's your favorite LessWrong post? · 2019-02-21T22:14:23.192Z · score: 4 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Lifestyle interventions to increase longevity

Comment by pepe_prime on Clothing For Men · 2019-01-18T00:47:17.248Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Like mr-hire I like the topic choice and think lesswrong would get value out of it.

However, you included 0 image links, as far as I can tell. If I'm an unfashionable male, how do I know what a "light" or "dark" navy is? How do I know what a "chino" is?

Also this entire post could have been a linkpost to r/malefashionadvice, which appears to be the source of most of your advice.

Comment by pepe_prime on European Community Weekend 2018 Announcement · 2018-02-04T15:52:15.103Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

You might want to advertise this on LesserWrong, which is somewhat officially the new site.

Comment by pepe_prime on Notes From an Apocalypse · 2017-09-23T09:48:02.322Z · score: 6 (4 votes) · LW · GW

Really fun writing style. Nit: Quotes, e.g. the one by Darwin about the Silurian, should be distinguished in some way.

Comment by pepe_prime on 2017 LessWrong Survey · 2017-09-13T13:20:36.667Z · score: 24 (24 votes) · LW · GW

I have taken the survey.

Comment by pepe_prime on 2017 LessWrong Survey · 2017-09-13T13:20:21.241Z · score: 11 (11 votes) · LW · GW

[Survey Taken Thread]

By ancient tradition, if you take the survey you may comment saying you have done so here, and people will upvote you and you will get karma.

Let's make these comments a reply to this post. That way we continue the tradition, but keep the discussion a bit cleaner.

Comment by pepe_prime on Models of human relationships - tools to understand people · 2017-08-17T12:51:54.466Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Minor nit: The emotional intelligence example seems to have no effect.

Comment by pepe_prime on Meetup : Superintelligence chapter 4 · 2017-04-11T10:56:54.506Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Moved to Apr 28 to avoid Easter!

Comment by pepe_prime on The types of manipulation on vote-based forums · 2017-02-12T23:44:02.427Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Thanks, these are excellent highlight reels.

Comment by pepe_prime on The types of manipulation on vote-based forums · 2017-02-11T17:11:58.404Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Self-explanatory title. The list is rather rambling and not terribly comprehensive, but I found it worthwhile nonetheless.

Here's a summary, of sorts. OP also discusses what can be done about manipulation, in a way relevant for lesswrong.

When I first tried to post this I accidentally saved as draft first and it ended up pointing to itself, so I'm reposting. Thanks satt.

Comment by pepe_prime on The types of manipulation on vote-based forums · 2017-02-11T17:08:51.656Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Thanks. Not sure how I caused that, or how to fix it, so I'm deleting and reposting the link.

Comment by pepe_prime on The types of manipulation on vote-based forums · 2017-02-11T00:20:12.986Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Self-explanatory title. The list is rather rambling and not terribly comprehensive, but I found it worthwhile nonetheless.

Here's a summary, of sorts. OP also discusses what can be done about manipulation, in a way relevant for lesswrong.

Perhaps the key takeaway here is the useful word 'pabulum'.

Comment by pepe_prime on How often do you check this forum? · 2017-02-01T09:38:10.025Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

ping

Comment by pepe_prime on Using a Spreadsheet to Make Good Decisions: Five Examples · 2016-11-28T20:08:02.210Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Really fantastic that you started an effective charity! Everything about your approach is awesome. I hope the rest of your top 8 get test driven (by you or others) someday as well.

Generally I agree with the spreadsheeting concept. There's also Guesstimate for when your weights and uncertainties are numerical.

Comment by pepe_prime on Meetup : Stockholm: When to stop making a decision · 2016-10-09T21:39:59.378Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

I don't think there's a mailing list yet. We could move some or all of the meetups to evenings/weekends if there's interest. Help me gather preferred times.

David_Kristoffersson has proposed a meetup this Friday. I've set it for 17:00 in light of your comment.

Comment by pepe_prime on Meetup : Stockholm: When to stop making a decision · 2016-10-02T19:25:07.038Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Yes, in the KTH computer science building.

Yes, it's UTC+2. It's 15:00 local time.

Awesome, thanks! Also, I'm glad to see there are lesswrongers about.

Comment by pepe_prime on 2016 LessWrong Diaspora Survey Analysis: Part Four (Politics, Calibration & Probability, Futurology, Charity & Effective Altruism) · 2016-09-18T10:27:51.044Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Houshalter

If that happened in the modern world, technological civilization might end and never be restarted. The modern world depends on hugely complex infrastructure and tons of different industries and inputs. If we lose that, it would be very difficult to rebuild. We've already extracted most of the easy to get to minerals and fossil fuels. Much farmland has been degraded from overuse and depends on inputs of fertilizer, irrigation systems, and of course modern machinery which would be difficult to replace.

skeptical_lurker

I agree. The end of technological civilization is a different point from simple mass casualties - if 'only' 40% of humanity dies, but those 40% are concentrated in first world countries and urban centres, would the survivors be able to rebuild? Machinery would continue to work for a while, although the oil distribution chain would break for a while at least, but in the long run machinery would break. The factories tend to be in the first world countries that have been nuked, the universities in the cities have been mostly destroyed. Moreover there would likely be a general luddite tendency to blame technology for the crisis. Its probably easier to restablish resource extraction then to restart scientific research, and so we would be less likely to develop renewable energy before the fossil fuels run out. I suppose the end of technological civiliseation would reduce the population back to medieval levels, although this would be a long process of resources slowly running out and machinery slowly degrading.

I've often heard claims like these and wonder what the exact date of regression would be. Suppose the low hanging fruit have been removed for a number of modern resources (oil, helium, fissionables, rare metals). We still have quite a lot of coal (in the US and Russia), wind, and hydro power for energy. We also have abundant common metals, which might be more accessible than before if civilization collapsed and left a bunch of scrap around. My understanding is that coal and modern smelting techniques with common metals get us to at least 1850. Furthermore, modern scientific knowledge can't be significantly lost because this requires destroying virtually all books or other records. Hence I would expect at least some of humanity to never slip further back than this point.

I'm sort of nitpicking though. I agree that 40% dead could easily lead to 90% dead.

Comment by pepe_prime on Neutralizing Physical Annoyances · 2016-09-18T09:29:43.193Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

I disagree. Sure, research shows that memory formation is improved when you relax. If I want to remember a specific fact though, it helps me to mentally search for contextual clues around where I learned the fact.

Maybe I'm doing it wrong though - any research or convincing anecdotes on this?

Comment by pepe_prime on Stupid Questions September 2016 · 2016-09-06T10:07:27.038Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

How about these? They have 3 colors and don't cycle.

Comment by pepe_prime on Stupid Questions September 2016 · 2016-09-05T23:20:26.339Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

That's an interesting idea and yes, I think it would help. It seems you can find cable sleeves in this style, though I'm only seeing them in bulk.

Comment by pepe_prime on Wear a Helmet While Driving a Car · 2016-08-25T19:21:22.350Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

For injuries

R> sum(sapply(seq((80-30), 0), function(t) { 5000 * 3.431544214e-09 * t * 0.97^t * 0.63 * 50000 }))
# [1] 264.9444032

Rate should be 1.634253963e-08, yielding about $1261.78 lifetime loss.

Comment by pepe_prime on Economy gossip open thread · 2016-07-22T16:48:42.159Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

This is a really great link!

Comment by pepe_prime on (Virtual) Employment Open Thread · 2016-07-22T11:26:53.149Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

If your resume lists sufficient credentials (high SAT scores or gpa, attending or graduated from a good college, or previous tutoring experience) it's easy to get a job at a tutoring agency. They take a 50-70% cut of earnings, leaving you with $11-35/hr. There are many such agencies both for in-office and in-home, mostly 1-on-1. Agencies exist that focus on test-prep (preparing for the SAT, mostly), that focus on supplementing an existing class, or both. If you don't have the credentials, it's still worth a shot to apply.

Alternatively, you can advertise on WyzAnt, University Tutor, Craigslist, or put up fliers in the library and high school student centers. I never had the courage to put up fliers but I saw many, and the more experienced tutors I knew did this.

Comment by pepe_prime on General-Purpose Questions Thread · 2016-07-21T17:30:07.825Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

If you dig down 3 links you find the Commuter's Paradox. I found this paper to use very reasonable controls and explain itself well. Sadly, it doesn't address your question about different modes of transportation.

Comment by pepe_prime on General-Purpose Questions Thread · 2016-07-20T13:23:07.725Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Strangeattractor has made many excellent points here. Let me add a bit:

StackOverflow has the most detailed data I've seen on features that make software jobs satisfying: http://stackoverflow.com/research/developer-survey-2016#work

The city you work in affects the salary pool that companies compete against with their offers. San Francisco, New York, and Seattle are much higher paid than other cities, and the USA is much higher paid than any other country. Big companies also pay more.

Lastly, apply to many companies simultaneously. If you have 2 or more offers, you can negotiate by telling each company "match or beat the other company". This can lead to enormous increases in compensation. E.g.: http://haseebq.com/farewell-app-academy-hello-airbnb-part-ii/

Comment by pepe_prime on My Custom Spelling Dictionary · 2016-05-09T05:40:15.743Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

This is a cool idea, and a cool source for a rational anki deck. I'd post mine, but I don't add any custom spellings to chrome.

Comment by pepe_prime on Open thread, Jan. 18 - Jan. 24, 2016 · 2016-04-11T19:10:02.635Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Could you elaborate on why squatting is a clear win? I took a brief look online and the evidence seems to favor squatting, but not hugely: https://skeptoid.com/blog/2015/09/26/squatty-potty/

Regardless, thanks for the list!

Comment by pepe_prime on Survey Results · 2016-03-31T08:13:19.361Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Did you ever write up your results? They would make a valuable addition to the historical data.

Comment by pepe_prime on Procedural Knowledge Gaps · 2016-02-15T23:22:49.356Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

A book I recently heard was good: the lifechanging magic of tidying up

Comment by pepe_prime on Is Scott Alexander bad at math? · 2015-05-07T15:28:34.617Z · score: 4 (4 votes) · LW · GW

you're an outsider

Jonah has something like 91 posts and has been posting since May 2013.

Comment by pepe_prime on Is Scott Alexander bad at math? · 2015-05-06T16:51:28.413Z · score: 4 (4 votes) · LW · GW

I'd like to point out that the 2014 survey found 7.0% of LWers to have PhDs and 2.9% to have other professional degrees. These objective measures are considered by society at large to be of roughly equal intellectual caliber. You probably don't outstrip this roughly 1 in 10 lesswrongers by a such a large margin.

Of course, the survey results may not be accurate. Furthermore while most of those degrees are in sciences, only a handful are in math or a close field. Thus if you consider math to require higher intellectual caliber (as I'm sure we both do) then you are still probably right about being of at least "higher" intellectual caliber.

I guess you think the expressions of high regard from elite mathematicians are pretty big indicators though.