Comment by Spenced on Thousand Oaks, CA – ACX Meetups Everywhere 2021 · 2021-08-31T05:33:06.415Z · LW · GW

Hi all, I'm planning on leaving for an extended road trip starting mid-september and probably won't be back in time to make the meetup, but would love to meet up with other ACX readers/fans before the trip. Coffee is on me! 

Text 917-678-7379 if interested. 

Spencer C

Comment by Spenced on Seemingly Popular Covid-19 Model is Obvious Nonsense · 2020-04-12T21:24:00.232Z · LW · GW

“ Deaths lag positive tests by weeks.”

False. Deaths lag new infections by 3-4 weeks.

Positive tests are an extremely misleading stat and definitely do NOT represent actual infection rates except in the few places where testing is widespread (ie a few small countries that have highly prioritized testing like Iceland, Estonia, and Bahrain).