Comment by Vasya Baev (vasya-baev) on Why I think there's a one-in-six chance of an imminent global nuclear war · 2022-10-10T13:19:24.375Z · LW · GW

Unfortunately, the weaknesses of modern Russia, especially with regard to conventional warfare, work to increase the chance of nuclear weapons use as an ultima ratio. And the scenario of triggering first against Ukraine almost automatically involves the following triggering against NATO.