Posts

Comments

Comment by Velorien on [FINAL CHAPTER] Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 122 · 2015-03-22T12:13:33.737Z · LW · GW

I don't think that's realistic. Harry's acknowledged that he needs to mature into a worthwhile adult in order to be able to save the world, and he's not going to gain the experiences he needs to do that (or indeed maintain a reasonable standard of mental health) by becoming a full-on hikikomori.

Comment by Velorien on [FINAL CHAPTER] Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 122 · 2015-03-17T14:30:35.152Z · LW · GW

There are better ways to keep yourself safe than invisibility,

Not many, especially for someone too young to have the raw magic for most powerful spells. When it comes to protection, having no one know you're there is the next best thing to not being there.

Additionally, Harry's first instinct when he realised how much personal danger he was in was to wear the Cloak 24/7. It seems odd that this instinct is 100% absent now that his survival also represents the survival of the entire world.

Comment by Velorien on [FINAL CHAPTER] Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 122 · 2015-03-17T14:00:03.914Z · LW · GW

"I am now too valuable to the world to ever risk my life adventuring again. Here, Girl With Three Different Immortality Powers, take my invisibility cloak - you need it more than I do."

Am I the only one who finds this act odd?

Comment by Velorien on [FINAL CHAPTER] Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 122 · 2015-03-17T13:51:33.252Z · LW · GW

It was Hermione who knew more than than Draco and Harry how to properly make use of her army.

In fairness, it was Quirrell who gave her the idea. She was flailing until he spoke to her and then assigned a deliberately chosen group of people to be her army.

Draco was confused.

Therefore, something he believed was fiction.

Granger should not have been able to do all that.

Therefore, she probably hadn’t.

I promise not to help General Granger in any way that the two of you don’t know about.

With sudden horrified realization, Draco swept papers out of the way, hunting through the mess on his desk, until he found it.

And there it was.

Right in the list of people and equipment assigned to each of the three armies.

Curse Professor Quirrell!

Draco had read it and he still hadn’t seen it—

-

It was Hermione who formed and led a band of Mighty Heroes.

It was Hermione who inadvertently gave a bunch of 12-year old girls the idea that they should rush headlong into danger against superior opponents, and then was forced to stick with them as damage control.

“Huh,” Lavender said, now looking thoughtful herself. “That’s true. We should do something heroic. I mean heroinic.”

“Um—” said Hannah, which very much expressed Hermione’s own feelings on the subject.

“Well,” said Parvati, “has everyone already been through Dumbledore’s third-floor forbidden corridor? I mean everyone in Gryffindor’s been through it by now—”

“Hold on!” Hermione said desperately. “I don’t want you doing anything dangerous!”

There was a pause while everyone looked at Hermione, who was suddenly realizing, much too late, why Dumbledore hadn’t wanted anyone else to be a hero.

Comment by Velorien on [FINAL CHAPTER] Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 122 · 2015-03-15T23:41:52.761Z · LW · GW

Most people simply didn't have the power to combat Voldemort. Doing what you can isn't getting yourself killed trying to do what you can't.

There are plenty of things they could have done to support the war effort without fighting directly. Economic support, for example, which it seems from Dumbledore's Pensieve memory was limited to a few wealthy families.

Comment by Velorien on [FINAL CHAPTER] Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 122 · 2015-03-15T10:09:56.293Z · LW · GW

Let's not forget this:

But I knew the Muggles would eventually destroy the world or make war on wizardkind or both, and something had to be done if I was not to wander a dead or dull world through my eternity. Having attained immortality I needed a new ambition to occupy my decades, and to prevent the Muggles from ruining everything seemed a goal of acceptable scope and difficulty.

Comment by Velorien on [FINAL CHAPTER] Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 122 · 2015-03-14T18:24:34.512Z · LW · GW

Thank you so much for Methods of Rationality! That was a great ending to a great story.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-12T10:21:15.039Z · LW · GW

If you can come up with a plausible reason why Dumbledore would pretend to be Deathist, I would love to hear it.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-12T00:00:56.979Z · LW · GW

"...so shall it be," Harry repeated, and he knew in that moment that the content of the Vow was no longer something he could decide whether or not to do, it was simply the way in which his body and mind would move. It was not a vow he could break even by sacrificing his life in the process. Like water flowing downhill or a calculator summing numbers, it was just a thing-Harry-Potter-would-do.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-11T23:56:52.816Z · LW · GW

I think gattsuru is referring to global immortality, as Dumbledore is a Deathist.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-11T23:55:53.527Z · LW · GW

I'm not sure what you're arguing against. In the event that she decides to destroy the Dementors, which Harry anticipates to happen quite soon, she knows that the information she needs to be able to do so is already in her possession.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-11T20:47:40.751Z · LW · GW

In that extremity, I went into the Department of Mysteries and I invoked a password which had never been spoken in the history of the Line of Merlin Unbroken, did a thing forbidden and yet not utterly forbidden.

It's possible that the Line reference is misleading, but if so it is an odd piece of phrasing.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-11T19:27:44.056Z · LW · GW

Hence the example I suggest - whatever price the Unbreakable Vow exacts, there will be things that are worth it, like not going to Azkaban.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-11T16:28:14.962Z · LW · GW

You mean like the fact that criminals can make Unbreakable Vows not to commit crimes, as an alternative to permanent trauma and probable death in Azkaban? (other criminals can power them for a reduction in sentence time or as part of the same type of bargain - permanent loss of some magical power is still better than Azkaban)

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-11T15:19:58.792Z · LW · GW

My opinion is that Harry's taught enough rationality at Hogwarts that the lie will fall apart.

Not judging by everyone's reactions when Hermione was accused of murder. A select few individuals might manage to question it at best.

Now that I think about it, shouldn't some Hogwarts students and/or teachers have figured out that they should be studying Muggle science? It's possible that this was mentioned, and I've forgotten it, or that (since EY probably won't write sequels, the subject will need to be left to fanfiction of HPMOR.

It hasn't been, except for Harry's suggestion in the latest chapter. Most people, though, still haven't been exposed to any noteworthy Muggle science except individual "clever tricks" as used by Harry - nothing to compare with the obvious power of magic.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-11T12:43:41.639Z · LW · GW

In Chapter 46, he gives her a sealed note containing the explanation.

But if you ever need to fight Dementors, the secret is written here, cryptically, so that if someone doesn’t know it’s about Dementors and the Patronus Charm, they won’t know what it means...

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-11T12:06:57.276Z · LW · GW

"Phoenix's Price is the password that opens the stairwell to the room with broken wands, pictures and Pensieve vials. Phoenix's Fate is the password that opens the final door into that room. Both times Dumbledore takes Harry to the room, he speaks the first password, then the second.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-11T12:00:21.682Z · LW · GW

I didn't say Harry will turn everyone into ponies

He's already partially responsible for turning Hermione into a unicorn, and Hermione is a prototype for how he wants all human beings to be (immortal and invulnerable). As long as he replaces or drops the Horcrux portion of the ritual, this seems like a realistic final ambition for him as far as means of defeating Death are concerned.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-11T11:57:19.492Z · LW · GW

As a point of interest, wasn't it Merlin's original intent that, at minimum, everyone mentioned in a prophecy should have access to it? It was only centuries later that the Unspeakables sealed the prophecy records away, so why does the Line of Merlin Unbroken have a function for bypassing that seal, how does anyone know this, and why is using it forbidden?

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-11T11:52:58.284Z · LW · GW

"Crap," muttered Moody. His mad-eye was rolling wildly. "That's not good, not good at all."

(...)

"Crap," Moody said. Then Alastor Moody repeated, "Crap. Kid, should you even be saying this to us?"

"I don't know," Harry said. "If there's a user manual, I haven't looked at it yet."

"Crap."

I don't think Moody is trying to keep a poker face here.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-11T09:39:38.257Z · LW · GW

By that point, the story will have propagated far enough that people probably won't believe her even if she denies it, and it'll just make her look crazy.

Plus trying to reveal that Harry was lying will damage his reputation and sabotage his efforts to cure death etc. just as they're gearing up.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-10T23:33:00.923Z · LW · GW

For one, it would mean he could never talk about his work "as himself", e.g. on Facebook or Reddit, unless he wanted to set up and constantly use dummy accounts, which is both time-consuming and sometimes in violation of site T&Cs.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 119 · 2015-03-10T23:25:36.995Z · LW · GW

But then, Dumbledore seemed to think, after listening to all the prophecies, that the end of the world was inevitable, and that the optimal goal was not about preventing it.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-10T23:24:04.456Z · LW · GW

It's also the only explanation we have for Voldemort's assertion in 108 (I think) that he has further use for "her, or rather a certain part of her".

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 118 · 2015-03-10T15:36:19.639Z · LW · GW

A part surely overwhelmed by the legacy he left behind as Voldemort, which includes lots of orphans and lots of people whose own positive legacies he cut short by killing them.

If you're going to count legacy as part of one's self, then anyone who kills people for any reason is going to end up in the karmic negative very very quickly, because they are taking away other people's legacies, and their potential children's, and their potential children's, etc.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T22:47:50.664Z · LW · GW

Voldemort knows that Harry understands game theory, and has no incentive to drop his wand if he ends up dead and cannot save everyone anyway. If he orders Harry to drop his wand, Harry might refuse, and then he has to kill him before being able to extract information out of him.

There are two possible answers to this argument.

  • 1) If Harry is refusing to give up his wand, this suggests that Harry thinks that with the wand he has a non-0% chance of escape. In that event, getting the wand off him takes priority over questioning.
  • 2) Expelliarmus. One of Voldemort's 36 followers must know it, and if not, frankly Voldemort could probably teach them on the spot.

Voldemort knows Harry has knowledge he has not, but this doesn't necessarily mean Harry knows spells or has the magical power required to cast strong enough spells to harm him.

"Power he knows not" strongly implies the ability to do or achieve something, rather than abstract knowledge with no immediate applications.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T19:46:36.623Z · LW · GW

The problem is that there doesn't seem to be a plausible excuse for the wand thing except "Voldemort was careless", and carelessness under such conditions simply hasn't been part of his character at any point until now.

Word of God says that the plot of HPMOR was set in stone since the beginning. If there was some better reason for Harry to face the Final Exam with a wand in his hand, Eliezer would have known about it from the start, and could have seeded all the necessary foreshadowing for it way in advance.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T18:57:47.625Z · LW · GW

Last time we heard, Voldemort had sent her to "a safe place to recover her strength". We do not know whether this is before or after he removed her arm, or whether she survived the process. Presumably, without her arm she no longer bore a Dark Mark, and hence wasn't summoned to the graveyard.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T18:43:52.013Z · LW · GW

I guess I misread your tone. The way you put "sometimes that involves people dying" immediately after "you rejoice" made it seem like the former was an afterthought.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T16:55:28.229Z · LW · GW

You're right, "sociopathic" was perhaps a poor choice of words. "Cheerfully unempathic" would have been a better way of saying what I was thinking.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T16:15:55.847Z · LW · GW

I think it's the tone and the context that does it for me. It seems less "worthwhile tradeoffs where part of the cost is someone's death exist" and more "I don't care if people die as long as I get enough out of it".

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T15:33:14.151Z · LW · GW

I'm not convinced. I agree that worthwhile tradeoffs where part of the cost is someone's death exist, but the way that's framed in the comment suggests that people dying is irrelevant to whether one rejoices over a worthwhile tradeoff or not. This contrasts heavily with, say, Harry's view, which is that a necessary death is still a tragedy.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T15:21:18.243Z · LW · GW

But that isn't relevant. It doesn't matter what Voldemort's assessment of Harry's abilities is. He knows three things:

  • 1) Harry has unknown powerful secrets
  • 2) Prophecy says Harry has power Voldemort knows not
  • 3) Any failure on Voldemort's part to stop Harry could be all it takes to end the world

When you know for a fact that you are missing information, and you know for a fact that you can't afford the consequences of failure, you take every step you can think of to ensure success. Voldemort has already shown that he knows this with his plan of how to kill Harry.

The step of disarming Harry is both obvious and carries no costs to Voldemort, so it should be one of the first steps he takes.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T13:40:18.711Z · LW · GW

Re-reading the story, I see a lot of evidence that Dumbledore didn't know that Quirrell was Voldemort. For example, Chapter 62:

You are no longer taking lunches in Diagon Alley, even with Professor Quirrell to watch you. Your blood is the second requisite Voldemort needs to rise as strong as before.

He refers to the same issue when talking to Bones. It would make no sense for him to do so if he believed that Voldemort had constant access to Harry and countless opportunities to "accidentally" obtain his blood (as indeed happened with the newspaper).

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T12:37:41.684Z · LW · GW

You can't have it both ways. Either Harry is dangerous enough to justify the full suite of precautions, or he's an idiot, in which case what you need isn't "the full suite of precautions minus disarming".

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T12:09:25.243Z · LW · GW

To follow up on this, the sad ending wouldn't be the sad ending because Harry had to sacrifice himself to win. It would be the sad ending because Harry failed, as a result of not being able to think of a clever enough way to stop Voldemort (reflecting our own failure to do so in the exam).

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T12:01:58.630Z · LW · GW

That's fair for Muggle schools. But Hogwarts went through a huge wave of orphanings a mere ten years ago during the Wizarding War, at which time McGonagall was already a Hogwarts teacher (likely in the same position). She should have as much experience dealing with such things as any educator can.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-09T11:57:39.978Z · LW · GW

Sure you can. Life is full of trade offs. When the tradeoff is sufficiently in your favor, you rejoice. Sometimes that involves people dying.

That's... more than a little sociopathic. You seem to be saying that the only value of people's lives to you is instrumental: if you benefit from someone's death overall, then their death is a good thing.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-08T21:33:02.801Z · LW · GW

I fail to see how your proposal constitutes justice. Neville gets bullied by Slytherins. Lesath gets bullied by Gryffindors. These two facts do not cancel each other out; they just make the world a worse place twice over.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-08T21:04:48.011Z · LW · GW

In story, there was only a few minute or so between the making of the unbreakable vow (which did require Harry to have his wand) and Harry using it to kill the Death Eaters. Voldemort makes the "You have 1 minute to tell me your secrets or you die" offer immediately after the vow, after all.

Not so. At T-20 seconds, Harry starts verbally stalling while he keeps working on the transfiguration.

It also would have shown weakness in front of the Death Eaters.

After he's already given them lengthy and detailed instructions about all the many different kinds of spell they must be ready to cast at this naked 11-year old boy at the first sign of trouble?

And Voldemort probably couldn't imagine anything Harry could have done. He's way too young for any really dangerous magic, despite his skill. Voldemort doesn't know about nano-wires and all that stuff. It's probably unimaginable for him that so little magic could have such a big effect.

He knows that the Harry is a walking extinction event waiting to happen, and that Harry knows secrets powerful enough to be worth learning (potentially even powerful enough to end him - cf. "power he knows not"). Indeed, these are the two facts motivating his actions immediately prior to his defeat.

If he had demanded that Harry drop his wand, and Harry had refused, he would have been forced to kill him without learning any of his secrets.

Why? Surely at least one of his Death Eaters knows Expelliarmus.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 117 · 2015-03-08T20:51:56.204Z · LW · GW

From her perspective, there are advantages to announcing it in public - for example, there will no be no witch hunt of "which Slytherins turned out to have active Death Eater parents?", and McGonagall also firmly tied the listing of the orphaned children's names to pronouncements of sympathy and solidarity in her listeners' minds.

I still don't think there was any good reason not to break it to them in private first.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 116 · 2015-03-08T18:15:54.350Z · LW · GW

But he isn't an unusually good one at all. He actively dislikes actually reading peoples minds.

The latter statement isn't evidence for the former. Harry dislikes broomstick riding as an activity, but is still naturally gifted at it, and successful on the occasions when he needs to do it.

Here is our best example of Voldemort talking about his abilities:

Then in fury I threw aside masks and caution, I used my Legilimency, I dipped my fingers into the cesspit of his stupidity and tore out the truth from his mind. I did not understand and I wanted to understand. With my command of Legilimency I forced his tiny clerk-brain to live out alternatives, seeing what his clerk-brain would think of Lucius Malfoy, or Lord Voldemort, or Dumbledore standing in my place.

That sounds pretty advanced to me, and the way he speaks of it ("with my command of Legilimency") suggests pride in his abilities as well.

Here is Moody talking about Voldemort's abilities, with Dumbledore listening and not disagreeing:

“And I’ll warn you of this but once. Voldie isn’t like any other Legilimens in recorded history. He doesn’t need to look you in the eyes, and if your shields are that rusty he’d creep in so softly you’d never notice a thing.”

We are never told what the wizarding public at large thinks of Voldemort's Legilimency powers, so I don't know where you're getting that argument.

And for the record, this is Mr Bester's assessment of Harry:

You may indeed be able to learn Occlumency at eleven years of age. This astounds me. I had thought Mr. Dumbledore was pretending to be insane again. Your dissociative talent is so strong that I am surprised to find no other signs of childhood abuse, and you may become a perfect Occlumens in time.

It's also worth noting that while Moody doesn't seem especially impressed at the power of Harry's Occlumency barriers, his only comment is that they are rusty, not that they provide insufficient protection for practical purposes.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 116 · 2015-03-08T00:01:13.875Z · LW · GW

The odds of that being true are steadily falling, if only because there aren't many chapters left in which to have that revelation, and it's hard to see how it would improve the plot at this point.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 116 · 2015-03-07T23:20:10.256Z · LW · GW

Well, for a start there is the Phoenix Sage, that fallen champion of Light sworn to protect mankind from the "curse" of immortality at any cost. Once sealed away beyond time and space, he now returns to seek his vengeance, wielding both ancient lore and the misguided adoration of the masses as tools in his quest to end our heroes' ambition. With his revival, ally after ally is falling back under his spell, lured in by honeyed words of false wisdom and by memories of the days when he shone so bright. How will the Three Immortals expose his hypocrisy and defeat him, when he has managed to corrupt even the very symbol of Light and immortality, the Phoenix itself?

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 116 · 2015-03-06T20:55:53.829Z · LW · GW

The thing about magic burst is that Dementors drain the target's magic anyway. It's entirely plausible that if a Dementor kills you, it sucks away your magic in the process, or at least enough of it to prevent a magic burst.

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 114 + chapter 115 · 2015-03-06T20:11:48.082Z · LW · GW

Look at it from another perspective: Voldemort's actions are based on the belief that Harry has powerful secrets unknown to him. One or more of those secrets may well lead to the end of the world if Harry lives. Given that Voldemort is acknowledging his ignorance of Harry's full capabilities, is there any possible excuse for not trying to limit those capabilities as much as possible?

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 116 · 2015-03-06T17:02:05.315Z · LW · GW

But the facts I listed were publically available, and apparently that's the best conclusion anyone else could draw. (and we know Dumbledore didn't tell anyone his conclusion, because even Moody didn't know)

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 116 · 2015-03-06T14:26:29.995Z · LW · GW

And let's not forget the kind of people who seem to be doing the investigating around here: "Burnt corpse? Roof of the house blown off? Baby with scar on forehead? Must have been the first ever Killing Curse backfire."

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 116 · 2015-03-06T14:24:09.298Z · LW · GW

If Dementors really do destroy your soul, how would anyone know?

Comment by Velorien on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, March 2015, chapter 116 · 2015-03-06T14:13:49.040Z · LW · GW

Not literally. It's possinle that the Marauders stole some other thing, and repurposed it into the Map.

But honestly, James Potter, Remus Lupin, Sirius Black and Peter Pettigrew were none of them great wizards, especially in their teens, so the less their involvement in the Map's creation, the more plausible I find the theory.