Comment by Yevgeniy Grechka (yevgeniy-grechka) on 2022 was the year AGI arrived (Just don't call it that) · 2023-01-11T23:33:26.396Z · LW · GW

"Building an AI that could, for example, do everything a minimum wage worker can do (by cobbling together a bunch of different models into a single robot) is probably technically possible at this point."

Completely disagree with this. I don't think we're anywhere near AI having this kind of versatility. Everything that is mentioned in this article is basically a more complex version of Chess. AI has been better than humans at chess for over 20 years and so what? Once AI is outside of the limited domain on which it was trained, it is completely lost. There is absolutely no evidence that 'cobbling together a bunch of different models into a single robot' will fix the problem.

Now you can of course call a self-checkout machine 'doing everything a minimum wage worker can do', so to sidestep this, let's say we specifically want a secretary. Someone who should be able to reliably accomplish basic, but possibly non-standard tasks. I would not bet on robot secretaries coming to market in the next 20 years.