↑ comment by Dmytry ·
2012-03-20T19:10:08.925Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Seriously man, there's a giant ton of really wrong stuff out there. People starting idiotic wars, and so on and so forth. Daylight savings time wasting the energy (fun thing to calculate: find estimation of the energy wasted by daylight savings time, compare to all nukes in the world). The extremely ineffective allocation of taxes. The wasting of immense money making, and maintaining, those nukes.
Want to campaign against scaremongering? There is a lot of that going on as well. Consider the man-lifetimes wasted waiting in airports, and money spent on anti-terrorism, vs the risk allegedly prevented, and compare that to how many lives the money could have saved in the healthcare. Easy stuff that you (and anyone with any math skills) can actually prove wrong beyond all doubt without being a climatologist or something, and then actual human lives may get saved! You'll be saving expected human lives. That matters, man.
Now, you have some crusade against the notion of nuke winter, against which BTW you don't actually have any solid argument of any kind, nor means of having one, due to lack of expertise in climatology. And what exactly for? Okay you just might correct the 'public misunderstanding' of the nukes energy vs forest fires, the misunderstanding that public probably doesn't even think about ever. What's next? Which exactly actions should the public update on? Where's the payoff of any kind? Sleeping more soundly at night? Thank you very much, if the profoundly irrational public is now comparing the forest fires to nuke war, and is less afraid of nuke war, that will totally make me feel safer.
Ohh you just are against it because it is wrong? Well, there's a lot of stuff that is way more wrong with large negative consequences to the wrongness. And guess what, I don't even really care if the nuke winter is certain, or most likely. All I care for, is that there's chance it can happen. (And for the Sagan, he shouldn't have gone around telling stuff about the oil wells, what ever, the dude's dead, want to pick on someone, choose someone alive, like, hmm, Michio Kaku or Dawkins or something). And even if I had a proof that nuke winter is impossible, which I don't, I would definitely keep it to myself because public is stupid and irrational, and selective explaining (without correcting all other wrong things first) would most certainly not be a good thing.
Replies from: Thomas
↑ comment by Thomas ·
2012-03-20T20:08:53.671Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
compare to all nukes in the world). The extremely ineffective allocation of taxes.
On the contrary! It was maybe the best allocation of taxes of all times. As Margaret Teacher said - be cause of them, we enjoy the decades of peace.
Everything could also went terribly wrong and a billion would die.
But it looks like we were lucky. No great WW3 and even WW4 on the horizon. Thanks to the nuclear arsenal and MAD, of course.
Replies from: Dmytry
↑ comment by Dmytry ·
2012-03-20T20:17:24.628Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Thanks to the nuclear arsenal and MAD, of course.
how's about continuing the thought a little bit more and thanking the 'civilization failure' or 'extinction' possibility as well? The nuclear winter? That's the only thing which is fundamentally different between nuclear arsenal and WW2 type war. The assured destruction. Not assured losses.