$13,000 of prizes for changing our mind about who to fund (Clearer Thinking Regrants Forecasting Tournament)

post by spencerg · 2022-09-20T16:06:34.651Z · LW · GW · 3 comments

This is a link post for https://manifold.markets/group/clearer-thinking-regrants/about

Contents

3 comments

We have $13,000 of prizes you can win for our Clearer Thinking Regrants Forecasting Tournament on Manifold Markets! You can win money by:

(1) providing us with arguments or evidence that changes our minds about which of the 28 finalist projects to fund or how much to fund each project

(2) being one of the 20 most accurate forecasters at predicting which projects we end up selecting for funding in the Clearer Thinking Regrants program

You can learn more about the tournament (including all terms and conditions) here:

https://manifold.markets/group/clearer-thinking-regrants/about

And you can begin forecasting here:

https://manifold.markets/group/clearer-thinking-regrants/markets

3 comments

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comment by max_shen (makoshen) · 2022-09-20T22:57:59.191Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is very cool! Thank you for experimenting with grants in this format

comment by Multicore (KaynanK) · 2022-09-21T22:42:14.020Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The preview-on-hover for those manifold links shows a 404 error. Not sure if this is Manifold's fault or LW's fault.

Replies from: ChristianKl
comment by ChristianKl · 2022-09-22T13:54:56.737Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I would guess that the hover widget that LessWrong users assumes that every link to manifold.markets actually links to a market and produces an error for links to sites on manifold.markets that are not market and thus shouldn't really get the popup.