Posts

Why aren't we all using Taffix? 2021-02-26T23:09:35.968Z
Are multiple shorter exposures less likely to reduce in infections of COVID-19 then one larger exposure? 2021-02-24T13:14:53.751Z
What does the FDA actually do between getting the trial results and having their meeting? 2021-02-12T13:08:57.164Z
We got what's needed for COVID-19 vaccination completely wrong 2021-02-10T07:59:46.331Z
Why are clinical trials so expensive? 2021-02-05T00:10:21.735Z
Are there examples of rationalists getting censored for COVID-19 related communication? 2021-01-15T18:46:15.459Z
What's up with the Targeting Aging with Metformin (TAME) trial? 2021-01-07T23:31:07.619Z
Why is loss of muscle cells not considered one of the hallmarks of aging? 2021-01-05T14:19:42.407Z
Empiricism in NLP : Test Operate Text Exit (TOTE) 2021-01-01T16:09:10.546Z
SpaceX will have massive impact in the next decade 2020-12-31T01:04:03.127Z
[Linkpost] Drug-Approval Denationalization 2020-12-30T22:09:56.347Z
Choosing the right ask for a context 2020-12-28T14:58:10.770Z
Why did the Ming treasure voyages end in 1433? 2020-11-30T13:30:38.265Z
Can we get people to shut up on public transportation? 2020-11-28T15:30:16.797Z
How do you evaluate whether a $500 donation to a project that you know well is a good idea? 2020-11-19T12:42:41.732Z
Did anybody calculate the Briers score for per-state election forecasts? 2020-11-10T17:51:20.275Z
Does BioNtech's vaccine result of 90% disease prevention mean that 90% of the vaccinated can't pass the virus to other people? 2020-11-10T15:27:33.065Z
Is corruption a valuable antidote to overregulation? 2020-11-08T12:15:35.819Z
How do you read the news critically? 2020-10-31T11:48:27.749Z
What's holding back outsourcing to cloud labs? 2020-10-28T23:07:19.509Z
Stupid Questions October 2020 2020-10-21T11:41:38.474Z
Not all communication is manipulation: Chaperones don't manipulate proteins 2020-09-27T16:45:52.172Z
If Starship works, how much would it cost to create a system of rotable space mirrors that reduces temperatures on earth by 1° C? 2020-09-14T18:46:19.490Z
What's the CFAR position on how the workbook can be used? 2020-09-09T13:56:52.514Z
When should I be concerned about my Oura measurements indicating COVID-19? 2020-09-04T22:15:54.577Z
From GPT to AGI 2020-08-31T13:28:35.442Z
How hard would it be to change GPT-3 in a way that allows audio? 2020-08-28T14:42:17.387Z
How will internet forums like LW be able to defend against GPT-style spam? 2020-07-28T20:12:56.458Z
Is there an easy way to turn a LW sequence into an epub? 2020-07-18T18:20:03.795Z
How big of an issue are patent trolls to the average startup? 2020-07-16T11:31:05.934Z
What do we now know about long-term consequences of a COVID-19 infection? 2020-07-15T14:42:33.222Z
[Resource Request] What are good resources for best practice for creating bureaucracy? 2020-07-09T12:05:54.262Z
Could Nixon going to China be a cause for the big stagnation? 2020-07-05T06:58:35.119Z
Why don't we tape surgical masks to the face to seal them airtight? 2020-04-14T08:33:14.637Z
In Defense of Politics 2020-04-10T19:26:50.747Z
Why don't we have active human trials with inactivated SARS-COV-2? 2020-04-09T19:40:15.922Z
How do you determine temperature cutoffs for women's body-temperature? 2020-04-08T12:11:33.977Z
How do you do fit-testing for KN95/N95/FFP2/FFP3 masks? 2020-04-07T08:46:14.425Z
What to draw from Macintyre et al 2015? 2020-04-05T16:56:18.734Z
What should you do regarding footwear to protect against COVID-19? 2020-04-02T19:28:38.193Z
Using the Quantified Self paradigma for COVID-19 2020-03-22T21:14:16.909Z
mRNA vaccine development for COVID-19 2020-03-21T15:17:17.577Z
Cost of a COVID-19 test that uses shotgun RNA sequencing? 2020-03-19T21:33:42.485Z
Why isn't increasing ventilation of public spaces part of the best practice response to the Coronovirus? 2020-03-12T10:40:47.502Z
How's the case for wearing googles for COVID-19 protection when in public transportation? 2020-03-08T09:31:25.200Z
How long does SARS-CoV-2 survive on copper surfaces 2020-03-07T10:00:26.951Z
What are sensible ways to screen event participants to reduce COVID-19 risk? 2020-03-03T20:43:39.280Z
How do you use face masks? 2020-02-13T14:18:05.037Z
Phage therapy in a post-antibiotics world 2019-12-29T17:03:01.679Z
Is daily caffeine consumption beneficial to productivity? 2019-11-26T13:13:05.613Z

Comments

Comment by christiankl on Open & Welcome Thread – February 2021 · 2021-02-28T09:41:35.364Z · LW · GW

I remember a post where people discussed how people's sense of consciousness differs a lot on Lesswrong. Does anybody know which post I'm pointing to?

Comment by christiankl on Why aren't we all using Taffix? · 2021-02-28T01:16:58.752Z · LW · GW

Well, it may in fact work, but - you can also buy masks that have been used for decades to protect against asbestos and lead paint dust.  

Masks that are designed for that usecase don't have filters that protect other people from inhaling virus particles that you exhale. If you only interact with other people wearing a mask that might be fine, but if some of your interactions are unmasked such as with people in your household, it's asocial to wear those masks in contexts where other people expect you to be masked because while you look like you are masked you have wents that mean that other people get your unfiltered air. 

Even then it's uncomfortable to wear those masks for social interactions and even if you do wear them more dakka applies.

Comment by christiankl on "New EA cause area: voting"; or, "what's wrong with this calculation?" · 2021-02-27T08:59:09.239Z · LW · GW

Which country has only 700 thousand voters but $400 billion GDP? That seems like an order of magnitude is wrong somewhere. 

I would be very surprised if the probability of swinging an election with 700k voters is 1/800. That would suggest that most elections are won with a margin of a lot less then 2000 votes which seems unlikely to me. 

Comment by christiankl on Why aren't we all using Taffix? · 2021-02-27T08:48:48.544Z · LW · GW

I think the other ingridients are there to kill the virus cells that make it onto the barrier. 

Comment by christiankl on Why aren't we all using Taffix? · 2021-02-27T08:42:51.272Z · LW · GW

I don't know what the best way to get it in the US happens to be. It's however worth noting that all the ingridients seem to be available and there are compounding pharmacies like Mix Pharmacy that are legal in the US. 

Comment by christiankl on RadVac Commercial Antibody Test Results · 2021-02-26T23:43:03.542Z · LW · GW

I'm not sure why there's updating based on the fact that peptides from proteins besides the spike protein don't result in antibodies agains the spike protein being build. It seems to me a faily straightforward prediction. I don't see how antibodies against the spike protein would be developed without those peptides. 

Comment by christiankl on What does the FDA actually do between getting the trial results and having their meeting? · 2021-02-25T19:49:05.785Z · LW · GW

Whatever else is going on... the FDA has never been graded on speed, and plenty of ink has been spilled in non-covid times about how many people die, and how many QALYs are lost, because of delays that make little difference to the eventual outcome, but look to the general public like Serious People Making Decisions Carefully. 

The FDA is effectively never graded at all. At the same time, politicians do something push for the FDA to just approve a drug. Big Pharma who hires FDA officials likely also rewards officials for approving their drugs faster.

They permit themselves the time, and with it buy a mantel of authority in the public eye.

This is essentially a conspiracy theory. It might be true that's what happens but as rationalists I don't think we should believe in conspiracy theories without understanding the underlying dynamics. I asked this question because I believe the underlying dymamics are important to judge whether or not it makes sense to believe in that conspiracy theory.

Comment by christiankl on How poor is US vaccine response by comparison to other countries? · 2021-02-25T19:34:34.460Z · LW · GW

https://www.dw.com/en/opinion-with-covid-vaccines-joe-biden-keeps-america-first-stance/a-56483371 is an article that discusses it. Trump created the export controls and Biden is continuing them.

Comment by christiankl on Are multiple shorter exposures less likely to reduce in infections of COVID-19 then one larger exposure? · 2021-02-25T03:12:14.321Z · LW · GW

As far as COVID-19 goes that article refers to another news article. There's no reference to either experimental data that suggests a threshold of exposure for COVID-19 or an explanation of the mechanics of why we should expect such a threshold.

Comment by christiankl on Yes, words can cause harm · 2021-02-25T03:00:03.327Z · LW · GW

If everything else is constant then a flag is what determines whether a particular hurricane (that exist far enough in the future) happens or not happens. There's a causal chain between the flag and the hurricane. 

If you care about something else besides the causal chain that defines some notion of "key thing" you actually have to say what you mean with "key thing".

Comment by christiankl on Yes, words can cause harm · 2021-02-25T00:19:00.980Z · LW · GW

Weather inherently isn't stable. Wikipedia writes about the butterfly effect: "The butterfly effect is most familiar in terms of weather; it can easily be demonstrated in standard weather prediction models, for example."

If I thought otherwise, I would never have even tried to write and post comments, much less essays.

It seems that given the physics of our world works you might have to have to refine your ethical system or by okay with constantly violating it.

Comment by christiankl on Yes, words can cause harm · 2021-02-24T17:36:11.796Z · LW · GW

By your logic I should be careful when interacting with butterflies because of the hurricanes they cause through causal chains.

Comment by christiankl on Are multiple shorter exposures less likely to reduce in infections of COVID-19 then one larger exposure? · 2021-02-24T17:35:12.521Z · LW · GW

threshold of exposure leading to infection. 

How do you know that there's a "threshold of exposure"?

Comment by christiankl on Yes, words can cause harm · 2021-02-24T13:37:09.936Z · LW · GW

The general way to get around the infohazard is to use either historic examples or examples of other cultures and societal contexts. 

You can say that saying "Democracy is good" can cause harm because saying it can motivated people to act politically in totalitarian societies in which they will get punished for it. 

Butterflies famously can cause a lot of harm by flapping their wings as well. That seems to be a way words can cause harm as well.

I think most people can agree that in both of those examples the actions can lead to causal chains that result in harm. The problem is that you play motte and bailey and equate "words can be lead to causal chains that produce harm" with "interlocutors should be more careful with their words". That leads to avoiding any of the cruxes that might come up with "interlocutors should be more careful with their words".

Comment by christiankl on How can I protect my bank account from large, surprise withdrawals? · 2021-02-23T11:56:10.096Z · LW · GW

my mobile phone (for which the flat rate usually covers my entire usage), 

Generally knowing the magnitude of mobile phone bills in advance and actually knowing the bill is quite difference. Sometimes mobile phone bills get into high amounts due to bogus rooming charges.

Comment by christiankl on Argumentative prison cells · 2021-02-22T11:13:32.437Z · LW · GW

The term honest agreement does a lot of heavy lifting in your argument. There are various ways to change the beliefs that we commonly call dark arts that can help to switch one's beliefs in a desired direction that might be used instead of double crux which is designed to lead to epistemically sound agreements.

Comment by christiankl on Making Vaccine · 2021-02-21T11:28:06.661Z · LW · GW

https://my.clevelandclinic.org/-/scassets/files/org/employer-solutions/covid-19-workplace-safety-faqs.ashx

The best way to have some level of protection is to follow the recommendations of the epidemiologists and be extremely careful about your behavior. 

I would be doubtful that the best way is to listening to someone who hasn't on their list avoiding closed spaces, ventilation and humidity (in closed spaces), avoiding touching common buttons with fingers and recommends cloth masks (as opposed to reused FFP2/3) but has cleaning/desinfection on their list a good source of information.

Then of course we are back to clinical trials which are really the only way to prove this method work. 

Then why do you link to advice that recommends unproven interventions like desinfection and using gloves when serving food? 

Comment by christiankl on How poor is US vaccine response by comparison to other countries? · 2021-02-20T15:49:23.071Z · LW · GW

Part of the reason the US did well compared to other countries is that they defected and banned exports. US policy that slowed down vaccination in other countries shouldn't be counted in favor of US leadership.

EU policy was really horribe. There's a general believe among EU leaders that they are not supposed to pay as high of a price for drugs as the US does. As a result they negotiated companies down and made their purchase orders to late. European laws often produce stronger regulation then US laws. 

Russia is a sad story. Their policy of both developing a more sophisticated adenovirus vaccine (first and second doses use different adenovirus strains - which means less adverse reactions on the second dose) then the Oxford vaccine and being first to market registering the vaccine early. On the other hand the Russian public doesn't believe the Russian government is good at providing a safe vaccine so despite the vaccine being available to everyone they have low vaccination rates.

I'm disappointed in China. I would have expected the Chinese to ignore the bioethics people, do human challenge trials and bring a vaccine to market relatively soon.

When it comes to Isreal and the United Arab Emirates, it's worth noting that cooperation on vaccines was part of their peace deal. 

Comment by christiankl on Overconfidence is Deceit · 2021-02-19T11:14:31.119Z · LW · GW

According to your policy, Kennedy wouldn't have proclaimed that the US puts a man on the moon. Nixon wouldn't have started the war on cancer. The strategy that Elon Musk users to get his companies to produce the innovation that it does would be outlawed.

We would just have more stagnation because nobody would be allowed to communicate bold visions of the future because some undiscerning people would too much believe in bold visions.

I think our society would benefit from more people who communicate bold visions of the future not less.

Comment by christiankl on Overconfidence is Deceit · 2021-02-18T23:37:21.533Z · LW · GW

When it comes to Obama promises on Guantanamo the video I find has him say things he did do. He did intent to close Gitmo. He did follow through on this intention by doing things to close Gitmo. 

I don't think having a plan for the future where you aren't fully in control of the outcome is necessarily overconfidence. Ambitious plans are valuable. If you think that everybody making an ambitious plan is inherently deceitful, that would mean declaring all startups to engage in deceit. 

I don't think the problems of our time is that too many people have ambitious plans. 

Comment by christiankl on Overconfidence is Deceit · 2021-02-18T22:23:06.229Z · LW · GW

I think if you would ask any presidential candiate whether they think they will be able to implement all of their platform they won't tell you that they are confident that they implement all of their platform. 

Comment by christiankl on Overconfidence is Deceit · 2021-02-18T10:59:46.964Z · LW · GW

I confidently assert that clear and substantial support for this claim exists and is not hard to find (one extremely easy example is presidential campaign promises; we currently have an open Guantánamo Bay facility and no southern border wall)

Both examples are about presidents who set certain goals and used the office of the presidency to persue those goals while being blocked by congress.

They are examples of presidents don't successfully extracting support for their goals from congressional allies of their own party even through they put it on their platform.

They are very different promises then those by either of the president to not support revolving-door-dynamics where it would have actually been in the power of the presidents to fulfill their promises if they wanted to do so. 

Comment by christiankl on Reasonable ways for an average LW retail investor to get upside risk? · 2021-02-18T00:05:27.651Z · LW · GW

For a cryptocurrency I consider Filecoin to be potentially high upside. It makers focused on producing a technology that can do new things (effectively selling storage) instead of hyping it. 

There's an accelerator for projects that build on Filecoin. 

With Amazon deciding to withdraw hosting from Parler there a clear incentive to use decentralized hosting like that provided by Filecoin.

Comment by christiankl on Bitcoin and ESG Investing · 2021-02-17T15:58:19.752Z · LW · GW

If you want to hold or move money in a manner that is effectively impossible to interfere with are few solutions so democratised as crypto. 

There's a difference between advocating crypto in general and advocating Bitcoin. Bitcoin is technically inferior to the more modern coins which provide different advantages on top. 

Apart from that the Chinese government essentially has control over Bitcoin given that more then half of the mining is in China and they can direct companies to do what they want. It's power is not democratically distributed. 

Comment by christiankl on Bitcoin and ESG Investing · 2021-02-17T10:52:33.294Z · LW · GW

Specifically, they can threaten your trading partner with reprisals, and the whoke point of crypto is that it keeps a public log of all transactions forever.

Not of all of crypto. Zcash gives you a more private way to transact. That's why you would expect it to outcompete Bitcoin for the usecases where privacy is desireable. 

Comment by christiankl on Bitcoin and ESG Investing · 2021-02-17T10:45:59.119Z · LW · GW

The amount of money you'd have to be moving to attract that $15 fee would have a vastly greater fee attached for any of the interbank systems.

No, every transaction in bitcoin costs that much.

Comment by ChristianKl on [deleted post] 2021-02-16T23:16:17.344Z

Rather than take it as evidence that LessWrong itself should have lower karma, I see it as evidence that the shallow and close-minded Reddit approach of thumbs up or down is flawed. 

I think you can easily interpret it here as the LessWrong readers who engaged with the post don't consider it valuable. It's a badly argued post with political implications. Badly argued in the sense that you don't address the tradeoffs. 

I would be willing to discuss that with the people who felt so strongly (and negatively) about the topic. 

Looking at the score, I don't think anybody gave it a strong downvote. 

There's no law that requires no-fault auto insurance. There are laws that require certain minimum liability coverage. Those laws exist because of the possibility of people damaging other people to make them be able to pay.

Businesses in a pandemic don't create damage for other people for which they need liability insurance. 

We generally regulate businesses in a way that businesses are allowed to take risks that make the business go bust.

One of the main idea of why we have the Great Stagnation is that increased regulation. You are advocating that businesses need more regulation and we need to forbid them from taking risks that they are currently taking. 

With pre-Kefauver-Harris laws after Dr. Stöcker gave his himself a vaccine in March that gave him antibodies against the COVID-19 spike protein he could have easily sold it and by winter a large amount of the population would have been vaccinate.

While pandemics are certainly a significant risk, adding specific regulations for insuring against them increases the burden of starting a company which in turn means that it gets harder for businessmen to start companies to solve other problems. 

Comment by christiankl on Bitcoin and ESG Investing · 2021-02-16T16:54:36.247Z · LW · GW

PoW-coins are a technology for coordination among humans. 

Bitcoin is not effective for transfering wealths among humans with transaction costs of ~15$ per transaction. People buy Bitcoin because they believe it will rise in price and largely not because they want to use it as a payment platform. Even if you want a crypto-currency there are solutions that more effective and don't burn as much unnecessary energy.

Comment by christiankl on Heuristic: Replace "No Evidence" with "No Reason" · 2021-02-16T15:58:29.631Z · LW · GW

How do we articulate what the WHO did wrong here, without using the word Bayesian?

This is the basic problem is the WHO believing in Evidence-based Medicine. In that paradigm you don't use reasons that aren't proper evidence for making medical decisions.

Comment by christiankl on Remember that to value something infinitely is usually to give it a finite dollar value · 2021-02-16T15:44:39.986Z · LW · GW

There's a debate between Tyler Cowen and philosopher Agnes Callard around valuing human lives with a number. Tyler Cowen starts by saying that it's actually a complicated issue but that having some bounds that depend on circumstances is useful. Agnes Callard then says that you don't need to put any value on human lives at all to make practical tradeoffs because you can think about obligations. 

After hearing that exchange it seems to me like the position that you have to put monetary values on human lives to be able to make good decisions seems questionable to me and naive due to lack of knowledge of the alternatives about how to make the decisions.

Thinking about social actors making promises to each other and then having obligations to deliever on those promises is a valid model for thinking about who makes effort to safe peoples lives.

Comment by christiankl on Bitcoin and ESG Investing · 2021-02-16T14:34:36.083Z · LW · GW

There are reason to treat using energy to grow food for people differently then using energy to ship luxury yachts through the ocean. 

Bitcoin seems like wasting energy on high status luxury yachts.

Comment by christiankl on Bitcoin and ESG Investing · 2021-02-16T13:36:39.691Z · LW · GW

There's a good chance that doubling the price of Bitcoin will actually double the energy wasted on it given that roughly doubles how lucrative mining is. This is worse then doubling the market cap of a company that's generally bad for the enviroment where doubling the market cap usually doesn't mean doubling the enviromental problems.

From an ESG perspective a person investing in crypto would do better to invest it into a different coin then Bitcoin which actually has a plan to be less wasteful with energy. That might be Ethereum, something like Polkadot or even Filecoin (the work that has to be done to mine filecoin is storing files for people which is economically useful).

Comment by christiankl on “PR” is corrosive; “reputation” is not. · 2021-02-16T12:24:14.733Z · LW · GW

Then it has no reason to be in this this thread. Generally, if someone wants Anna Salamon to spend time interacting with them and she doesn't think it's worthwhile to spend that time, blocking them  when they use private channels seems very reasonable.

Comment by ChristianKl on [deleted post] 2021-02-16T12:21:47.277Z

The problem with the question is that it focuses on fighting the last war and not on evaluating what's good policy for creating requirements on business formation. 

Comment by christiankl on We got what's needed for COVID-19 vaccination completely wrong · 2021-02-16T12:19:20.678Z · LW · GW

Both share the feature that they are easily produced in large quantities while mRNA vaccines aren't. 

Comment by christiankl on “PR” is corrosive; “reputation” is not. · 2021-02-16T12:09:58.518Z · LW · GW

Downvoting your comment for being low-quality is not the same as blocking it. 

Comment by christiankl on Is the influence of money pervasive, even on LessWrong? · 2021-02-15T23:08:34.471Z · LW · GW

I don't think the history here is about Dunbar's number.

Comment by christiankl on Other utopias or searching the reference class for the rationality hub project · 2021-02-15T16:08:09.635Z · LW · GW

Rationality hub - demands to understand the craft and have similar values. 

It's my impression that a lot of people who believe this and move to the Bay area find out that they actually are not invited to the parties where the Bay area rationalists hang out.

Comment by christiankl on How is rationalism different from utilitarianism? · 2021-02-15T13:10:34.660Z · LW · GW

Should you tell the truth (e.g., doesn't think it suits you) or should you tell a white lie (e.g., you love it)? 

Neither. Rationalism isn't about thinking you should do certain things because you identify a certain way.

Comment by christiankl on The dangers of digital vaccines · 2021-02-15T13:10:08.197Z · LW · GW

I should have looked up the abbreviations again. Having looked up the proper abbreviations again, miRNA seems to be what the RNA immune system uses to block some viral genes from expressing and the RNA that comes with the vaccine doesn't do RNA interference.

Comment by christiankl on How is rationalism different from utilitarianism? · 2021-02-15T12:11:00.508Z · LW · GW

Rationalism is concerned with forming accurate models about the world. 

That's not the way the term is primarily used in this community. We generally orient us more towards decision science. From Jonathan Baron's textbook Thinking and deciding:

The best kind of thinking, which we shall call rational thinking, is whatever kind of thinking best helps people achieve their goals. If it should turn out that following the rules of formal logic leads to eternal happiness, then it is “rational thinking” to follow the laws of logic (assuming that we all want eternal happiness). If it should turn out, on the other hand, that carefully violating the laws of logic at every turn leads to eternal happiness, then it is these violations that we shall call “rational.”

When I argue that certain kinds of thinking are “most rational,” I mean that these help people achieve their goals. Such arguments could be wrong. If so, some other sort of thinking is most rational.

Comment by christiankl on What does the FDA actually do between getting the trial results and having their meeting? · 2021-02-14T20:58:26.239Z · LW · GW

I asked the question at the Explain to me like I'm 5 - Reddit and if the answer is correct they do more then just looking at data. According to it they do visits at trial sites and doctors and ask for original patient data to check whether data is authentic.

Question is also on Quora but Quora isn't what it used to be. 

Comment by christiankl on Your Cheerful Price · 2021-02-14T19:05:59.020Z · LW · GW

That depends on your model about how much a life coach would help. I'm not sure what EY's experiences with life coaching happen to be. 

Comment by christiankl on AllAmericanBreakfast's Shortform · 2021-02-14T18:59:12.632Z · LW · GW

The nice thing about "rationalist" is that it's one word and everybody kinda knows what it means. 

Everybody in our community knows what it means but people outside of our community frequently think that it's about what philosophers call rationality. 

Comment by christiankl on Is the influence of money pervasive, even on LessWrong? · 2021-02-14T14:39:53.443Z · LW · GW

The people who donated money are presumably the people who liked the existing LW, and therefore their wish is probably to keep it roughly like it was, only more awesome. 

I think a better historical perspective would be that they liked was LessWrong was in it's first years of existing and felt that LessWrong declined and that there was a potential to bring it back to it's old glory and make it even beter.

Comment by christiankl on What metrics should I track when experimenting with sleep? · 2021-02-14T11:56:17.571Z · LW · GW

I think here it suggests that the website is designed for people with technical abilities for whom registering a throw away Google account wouldn't be an issue. It's an non-for-profit project where people are more interested in the actual intervention then they are interested in working on login forms and they want to use all javascript features when programming.

Comment by christiankl on Is the influence of money pervasive, even on LessWrong? · 2021-02-13T22:24:52.624Z · LW · GW

Consistency and accuracy are both dimensions that are hard to measure. I don't see where you would get numbers for that.

Comment by christiankl on Your Cheerful Price · 2021-02-13T22:04:17.847Z · LW · GW

If someone follows what this post proposes people wouldn't offer EY a million dollars for MIRI but ask him: "What's your cheerful price for finishing the fanfic."

If there's no price that would make him cheerful then he might say: "I'm already working on it when my creative engines are going and I don't think additional money would solve the issue" or something similar. 

Comment by christiankl on Your Cheerful Price · 2021-02-13T18:48:03.702Z · LW · GW

Non-example: selling something second-hand to a friend - I would just use ebay price minus P&P, possibly with some arbitrary discount

The ebay price is reasonable if the person is clear about wanting to sell the item. There are cases where a person owns something that they don't regularly use. It would be a valid question to ask: "What's your cheerful price for selling this to me?"

Comment by christiankl on The dangers of digital vaccines · 2021-02-13T14:00:39.750Z · LW · GW

If you want more information in crime scenes sequencing the DNA of population is much more effective. It tells you actually who the person is instead of just broad information about them. 

In the UK the NHS has the goal to provide DNA testing to every newborn and as the technology progresses we will likely see more treatments that depend on information from DNA testings. 

It's much easier to explain to policemen who actually enforce the laws why the government has DNA information then explaining why the government secretly put barcodes into people and police loyality matters.

and 2) obviously being the spike protein being present on your cell surfaces is like an interacellular backdoor. But that isn't my area of expertiese at all, just pure speculation on my part :)

The spike protein is only present for a short time (that's why you need the booster shot).