Should we admit it when a person/group is "better" than another person/group?

post by Adam Zerner (adamzerner) · 2016-02-16T09:43:48.330Z · LW · GW · Legacy · 64 comments

This sort of thinking seems bad:

me.INTRINSIC_WORTH = 99999999; No matter what I do, this fixed property will remain constant.

This sort of thinking seems socially frowned upon, but accurate:

a.impactOnSociety(time) > b.impactOnSociety(time)

a.qualityOfCharacter > b.qualityOfCharacter // determined by things like altruism, grit, courage, self awareness...

Similar points could be made by replacing a/b with [group of people]. I think it's terrible to say something like:

This race is inherently better than that race. I refuse to change my mind, regardless of the evidence brought before me.

But to me, it doesn't seem wrong to say something like:

Based on what I've seen, I think that the median member of Group A has a higher qualityOfCharacter than the median member of Group B. I don't think there's anything inherently better about Group A. It's just based on what I've observed. If presented with enough evidence, I will change my mind.

Credit and accountability seem like good things to me, and so I want to live in a world where people/groups receive credit for good qualities, and are held accountable for bad qualities.

I'm not sure though. I could see that there are unintended consequences of such a world. For example, such "score keeping" could lead to contentiousness. And perhaps it's just something that we as a society (to generalize) can't handle, and thus shouldn't keep score.

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comment by MaximumLiberty · 2016-02-16T15:40:28.791Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

TL;DR: Group stereotyping, when based on actual group data, is most valuable where it is most unfair and vice versa.

Group stereotyping seems like it would be most useful, and also most unfair, where one uses a proxy for a information that is difficult to obtain. It is hard to come up with an example that is not a political or identity-based mind-killer. So here's a metaphor, with the wariness that a metaphor can mislead as much as it elucidates.

Let's say that we are in the business of basket-weaving. It turns out that the median left-handed person makes baskets worth 5% more than than comparable baskets made by the median right-handed person. As an industry, we have no idea why, but it is demonstrably true, and significant to our business. People invent all kinds of reasons, but no research proves out any of the reasons.

A basket business can test for the value of any individual's baskets by hiring them, having them produce baskets for a couple months, and track the sales price of their baskets. But that is a substantial investment just to get the information. The problem here is the cost of information. Group-stereotyping is the most useful when the cost of information is high. So an approach might be to prefer to hire lefties. But (unless there are asymmetries in the cost of information), it also where it is most unfair to the group member, because it is most costly to provide the information to rebut the stereotype. We end up ignoring the earnest righties who tell us for sure that they can make better baskets than the lefties we are hiring -- and they might very well be correct.

It also seems to me that using group stereotypes is most justified and least unfair where there is high asymmetry in the cost of obtaining (and verifying, if needed) the information, such that the group member can provide at trivial cost the information that is highly costly for the decision-maker to get, and the situation prompts the group member to do so. For example, if our righty basket-maker had a letter from a prior employer that explained how unusually profitable the basket-maker's baskets were, that would defeat the stereotype, because we would know to update our stereotype with individualized data that is actually probative. (An aside: in this situation, we have to avoid being distracted by things that are not probative, such as emotional appeals, irrelevant but positive information, the good looks of the applicant, and all the other things that can lead to an unreliable decision.) In our scenario, the availability of a letter of recommendation doesn't help all the novice basket-makers who are applying for their first basket-making job, so it is not a 100% solution.

One potential solution to this problem is prices, but they have their own problems. If, on average, lefties are worth 5% more than righties in making baskets, the basket industry could adopt pay practices that are directly related to the value of the baskets produced. The problem with that is complexity. That's a broad category, but I can't come up with anything else that holds all the instances. Prices are not determined just by one party; they are determined largely by the market, which means that they are path-dependent, but also evolved. In our particular situation, changing compensation models can run into issues that economists study under the heading of agency or the theory of the firm -- basically, the idea here is that we could have all kinds of unanticipated effects by changing how we put prices on the work of our basket-makers. Still, one could see adopting a test period where lefties got paid 5% more than righties, until the results were in. That doesn't really change things all that much, except that it puts a limit on the period of unfairness, and puts a deadline on updating our information.

Technology is another solution to this problem. For example, one could invent the basket-value test. It's a cheap test that is based on an academic observation of a strong correlation between your ability to identify certain visual patterns with the value of baskets produced. Presumably, if businesses are really missing the boat by failing to hire talented righties, then there is an incentive for someone to invent this technology, because it will lead businesses to use a deeper poo of labor (which presumably lowers their wage costs). What we'd really be doing is substituting one group stereotype (performance on the test) for another (handedness). That would be worth doing if the test were more specific or more precise than handedness in predicting the value of basket production.

But until that technology comes along, it does seem unfair to the specific righties to judge their productivity based strictly on membership in a group (even if for a limited period until real data arrives). If you don't agree, steel yourself against mind-killing, then take the metaphor and map it to race and conviction rates.

comment by username2 · 2016-02-16T12:16:13.320Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Don't use the word "better", use specific criteria along which you want to measure people. I think that widespread conflation of betterness according to some criteria and some kind of absolute scale betterness (how do you even define it? Is it simply a social status by another name or something different?) is precisely the sort of thing that allows some people to strategically equivocate between the two concepts (or claim that other people are strategically equivocating).

comment by fubarobfusco · 2016-02-16T22:31:38.069Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It seems to me that "People in Group A are better than people in Group B" is often a piece of rhetoric used to make it harder for people from Group A and Group B to cooperate with each other. This is frequently to the benefit of a small subset of one or the other group.

In short: Who benefits from elevating this sort of hypothesis to consideration? Usually, not you.

comment by pragmatist · 2016-02-16T10:38:49.686Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Credit and accountability seem like good things to me, and so I want to live in a world where people/groups receive credit for good qualities, and are held accountable for bad qualities.

If this is your concern, then you should take into account what sorts of groups are appropriate loci for credit and accountability. This will, of course, depend on what you think is the point of credit/accountability.

If you believe, as I do, that the function of credit and accountability is to influence future behavior, then it seems that the appropriate loci of credit/accountability should be "agential". In other words, objects of credit and blame should be capable of something resembling goal-directed alteration of behavior. Individual people are appropriate loci on this account, since they are (at least, mostly) paradigmatic agents.

Some groups might also qualify as agential, and thus as appropriate loci of credit and blame. Corporations come to mind, as do nations. But that is because those groups have a particular organizational structure that makes them somewhat agent-like. Not every group has this quality. The group of all left-handed people, for instance, is not agent-like in any relevant sense, so I don't see the point of assigning credit or blame to it. Similarly for racial groups or genders.

comment by Lyyce · 2016-02-16T11:53:18.962Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If one is perfectly rational (omniscience would even be better), yes, otherwise I do not think it is a good idea for a lot of reasons. Just on the top of my head :

It is very hard to be accurate, let alone objective, when analysing "impact on society" or "quality of character", and the result is dependent on the criteria used.

When there is a big variability within a group (race, genre or whatever), statistics are not very useful and you should end up with a better model by getting to know the person.

Anchoring effect : People are bad at updating evidence when given a first information, there are already enough problems with stereotypes without making it official.

Given a set of parameters, there would be strong incentives to neglect others parameters or to game the system.

Personal responsibility : One qualities depends on a lot things, what are we taking into account? Nature? Nurture? Nothing?

comment by ChristianKl · 2016-02-16T16:19:34.590Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Basically your question is whether it makes sense to reduce the judegment of the value of a person to a single dimension.

In practice that's what China is reported to be planning with social credit whereby your credit score will also be shown on your dating profile to make sure that all the high quality people get dates while the low quality people have it harder.

Such a system provides a lot of accountability for individual actions. Is that what you want to have?

comment by AlexMennen · 2016-02-17T04:20:29.927Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Humans are already biased towards thinking that various positive characteristics are correlated with each other. Keeping track of an explicit "goodness" variable would make that even worse. So while I don't see anything wrong with comparing specific characteristics between people or groups of people, I endorse the norm that it is not acceptable to make statements of the form "Person A is better than Person B" or "Group A is better than Group B". "Quality of character" is nowhere near specific enough.

comment by Dagon · 2016-02-17T14:58:15.339Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What's the outcome of this measurement and acknowledgement? How will you use the belief that a median member of a group has some better qualities than a median member of another group?

Why focus on groups rather than individuals, and why on qualities rather than accomplishments?

comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-17T14:54:35.844Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Persons, yes. Nobody is seriously bothered by the suggestion that Bill Gates is a better person than a serial child murderer. Groups...

Well, that's more dangerous territory. There are places where this is acceptable - declaring that football team X is better than football team Y is generally acceptable, and doesn't appear to cause any harm or real ill-will. (Unless we're talking non-US football/soccer, where the sport stands in for otherwise carefully concealed racism and nationalism.)

However, when you get into the carefully-avoided territory of gender or "race" the discussion gets convoluted, precisely because historically people have been absolutely terrible at making accurate judgements of the relative merits of groups. If it's fair to say that heuristics about race can be useful, it's far more fair to say that heuristics about beliefs can be useful, and all our heuristics on beliefs about non-trivial groups say - don't have them, and certainly don't say them out loud.

Which is to say, even if it's accurate to say that X group is more prone to criminal behavior, it's equally accurate to say people who say that a group is more prone to criminal behavior are more prone to engage in criminal behavior themselves. Decision theory conflicts on what you should do here (as this is more-or-less another formulation of Solomon's Problem or whatever that problem about cancer and chewing gum is called).

Replies from: Old_Gold
comment by Old_Gold · 2016-02-17T18:16:19.023Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

and all our heuristics on beliefs about non-trivial groups say - don't have them, and certainly don't say them out loud.

Of course, if you refuse to discuss race and crime, someone will point out that more blacks get arrested than whites and claim that this is due to police racism. More generally, once you start lying the truth is ever after your enemy.

For example, you may have heard that social science is in the midst of a replication crisis, well there is one area of social science where that isn't the case, namely IQ research and its correlates. Of course, for most social scientists openly stating that differences of race or gender are significant, or really anything that makes a black, woman, LGBT, or other member of a protected category look bad is career-killing. Hence social scientists are reduced to doing data dredges which unsurprisingly don't replicate. The current state of social science is like what astronomy would be like if astronomers weren't allowed to say anything that might imply the earth might not be flat.

Which is to say, even if it's accurate to say that X group is more prone to criminal behavior, it's equally accurate to say people who say that a group is more prone to criminal behavior are more prone to engage in criminal behavior themselves.

Of course, history also says that people who spread false beliefs about equality are much much more prone to criminal behavior (or at least behavior that would be criminal if the people doing it weren't in charge of the state). This is a special case of the danger posed by people committed to readily falsifiable and false beliefs.

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-17T18:49:11.896Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Of course, if you refuse to discuss race and crime, someone will point out that more blacks get arrested than whites and claim that this is due to police racism. More generally, once you start lying the truth is ever after your enemy.

The only person who might be considered as pointing this out here is you, I will observe.

For example, you may have heard that social science is in the midst of a replication crisis, well there is one area of social science where that isn't the case, namely IQ research and its correlates. Of course, for most social scientists openly stating that differences of race or gender are significant, or really anything that makes a black, woman, LGBT, or other member of a protected category look bad is career-killing. Hence social scientists are reduced to doing data dredges which unsurprisingly don't replicate. The current state of social science is like what astronomy would be like if astronomers weren't allowed to say anything that might imply the earth might not be flat.

The difference between my intelligence and the intelligence of the average person who makes this argument makes this look, to me, like a bunch of bank robbers, engaged in an argument about how to split their latest prize, accusing one another of theft for trying to argue they should get a bigger take for their particular roles. Which is to say - almost everybody is less intelligent than me, by quite a margin, and certainly a larger margin than may exist between the races. If you want to argue that racism is acceptable on the not-nearly-as-solid-ground-as-you-seem-to-think that black people are less intelligent on average, you're going to have to justify what makes the measures your side intends to take against black people less appropriate if I intended to take them against you. If you think they're subhuman, well, you're sub-me.

But even if you leave me out of it, and there's still somebody smarter than you. While you consider what to do to -your- lessers, consider whether you want your betters to follow your example.

Of course, history also says that people who spread false beliefs about equality are much much more prone to criminal behavior (or at least behavior that would be criminal if the people doing it weren't in charge of the state). This is a special case of the danger posed by people committed to readily falsifiable and false beliefs.

I have little patience for affirmative action and other "social justice" forms of collectivism, because I see where that leads. I have less patience still for collectivists who pretend that their collectivism isn't really collectivism, or who espouse a different kind of social justice - because racial meritocracy is just social justice by another name. Indeed, racism is and was widely practiced in collectivist societies, whose crimes you allude to here.

Replies from: Vaniver, Jiro, Old_Gold
comment by Vaniver · 2016-02-17T22:32:48.520Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So, I do think "Old_Gold"'s objection is on-point and yours is a deflection; it is a private good to be quiet about heresies and a public disservice, because it allows a wrong belief to continue unchallenged.

The question of what is the best way for the public to interact with unpalatable truths is a hard one (should base rates of criminality be a part of judicial decision-making? How about base rates of technical ability when it comes to discrimination cases?), but one that's made pointlessly difficult if those unpalatable truths aren't accepted to begin with. (A useful conversation on how to minimize damage done by AIDS, for example, is hard to have with people who disbelieve that gay men are more likely to have AIDS than other populations.)

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-17T23:50:56.664Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What I have written already addresses your second paragraph.

comment by Jiro · 2016-02-17T22:12:40.529Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If you want to argue that racism is acceptable on the not-nearly-as-solid-ground-as-you-seem-to-think that black people are less intelligent on average, you're going to have to justify what makes the measures your side intends to take against black people less appropriate if I intended to take them against you. If you think they're subhuman, well, you're sub-me.

I don't see why this is a problem, except among EAs. Everyone prefers themselves over a random person. For instance, I would expect that you would prefer that an employer rather hire you than someone else, if you needed the job. Preferring that you also be hired because you have higher IQ won't change this any further.

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-17T23:26:59.189Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't see why this is a problem, except among EAs. Everyone prefers themselves over a random person. For instance, I would expect that you would prefer that an employer rather hire you than someone else, if you needed the job. Preferring that you also be hired because you have higher IQ won't change this any further.

Because this isn't a matter of personal preference, but of societal organization.

Replies from: Jiro
comment by Jiro · 2016-02-18T04:40:35.281Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You phrased it as personal preference.

But even aside from that, if it's personal, we're talking about one job and one high IQ person. But on a societal level, if employers hire based on IQ, the number of jobs and the number of high IQ people won't be the same. It is quite plausible that a societal wide policy of hiring high IQ people will still get him hired even if his IQ is lower than yours. (Doubly so if employers don't hire just based on IQ, but rather use IQ as one factor among many.)

Also, note that the same objection could be made to hiring based on competence rather than IQ. Yet shoehow I don't think you object to using competence.

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-18T14:02:33.858Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

But even aside from that, if it's personal, we're talking about one job and one high IQ person.

No, you're talking about jobs.

I'm not. I'm talking about society as a whole. Hence "societal organization." You're free to have the conversation about jobs with somebody who cares to engage you on it, however.

Replies from: Jiro
comment by Jiro · 2016-02-18T15:45:35.103Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Jobs are a well known example of things we think society should be organized to regulate. If you have something else in mind, feel free to suggest it.

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-18T16:06:46.841Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Okay. Voting rights.

But we're not going to restrict voting rights based on IQ, because that's not the discussion. No, we're going to restrict voting rights based on how we partition you into groups (you don't get to decide what group you belong to, incidentally, we decide that as well).

I've decided you belong to the "racist" group, and are therefore part of a group whose average IQ falls below our minimum IQ. Sorry, you're not allowed to vote.

You don't think that grouping is fair? Indeed, you never made any racist arguments at all here, and only made an unrelated point about in-group bias and that it might just be a good thing? Well, you're not in my group, and I prefer to favor myself and my group, so it doesn't really matter how I classify you, the important thing to me is that I classify you as a lower-ranked "other", the specifics of which don't really matter as long as I have relative advantage over you in the classification.

I mean, you were arguing this is a useful way to behave. So why shouldn't I behave this way?

Replies from: Jiro
comment by Jiro · 2016-02-18T19:32:07.053Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't think the post you were replying to was saying that we should restrict voting rights based on either IQ or group partitions that are correlated with IQ (or at all, for that matter).

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-18T20:36:19.750Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It didn't say we should do anything at all.

comment by Old_Gold · 2016-02-17T22:44:20.562Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The only person who might be considered as pointing this out here is you, I will observe.

There's a world outside LW, you realize that right?

The difference between my intelligence and the intelligence of the average person who makes this argument

Someone has a massive overestimation of his own intelliegence. I've only seen this particular argument made a couple times and the people making it were probably somewhat smarter than the average LWer. Also, judging by this comment of yours alone and the fact that it has almost no connection to what I wrote, you appear to be below average for LW.

If you want to argue that racism is acceptable

I have no idea what you mean by the word "racism". In fact it doesn't appear to have a single meaning, but rather at least two meanings that you switch between as needed in classic motte-and-bailey style.

But even if you leave me out of it, and there's still somebody smarter than you. While you consider what to do to -your- lessers, consider whether you want your betters to follow your example.

That looks like a fully general counter argument against admitting that differences in intelligence exist.

I have little patience for affirmative action and other "social justice" forms of collectivism

Except when a proponent of affirmative action argues that affirmative action is necessary because the process is still racist and the process is clearly racist because fewer blacks are getting admitted, you have no counterargument because you refuse to look at the evidence that would prduce one. This is not hypothetical, this is the standard argument AA proponents actually use.

To put it another way: It's nice that you oppose a bad policy; however, you shouldn't be surprised that if you (collective) endorse intentional ignorance about a topic, the result is bad policy in matters related to that topic.

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-17T23:49:42.318Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There's a world outside LW, you realize that right?

Yes. If you want to talk to the world, feel free. Right now you are not.

Someone has a massive overestimation of his own intelliegence. I've only seen this particular argument made a couple times and the people making it were probably somewhat smarter than the average LWer. Also, judging by this comment of yours alone and the fact that it has almost no connection to what I wrote, you appear to be below average for LW.

I will note you fail to address the point. Perhaps you missed it, perhaps not.

I have no idea what you mean by the word "racism". In fact it doesn't appear to have a single meaning, but rather at least two meanings that you switch between as needed in classic motte-and-bailey style.

The identification of individuals as their race, rather than themselves. That is the whole of my use of it.

That looks like a fully general counter argument against admitting that differences in intelligence exist.

It is an assertion that the way you treat others should reflect the way you wish to be treated. Your interpretation makes no sense.

Except when a proponent of affirmative action argues that affirmative action is necessary because the process is still racist and the process is clearly racist because fewer blacks are getting admitted, you have no counterargument because you refuse to look at the evidence that would prduce one. This is not hypothetical, this is the standard argument AA proponents actually use.

I am not one of them.

To put it another way: It's nice that you oppose a bad policy; however, you shouldn't be surprised that if you (collective) endorse intentional ignorance about a topic, the result is bad policy in matters related to that topic.

I do not regard people's religions relating to race as being truths.

Replies from: Old_Gold
comment by Old_Gold · 2016-02-18T05:10:22.282Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The identification of individuals as their race, rather than themselves.

Well, steelmanning your Chomsky sentence, I assume you mean treating someone's race as the only meaningful information about them. In that case you might want to actually read what I wrote.

It is an assertion that the way you treat others should reflect the way you wish to be treated.

In that case it is completely irrelevant to the discussion. For your convenience here is a summary of the debate up to this point:

Me: We should admit that some people are smarter/less prone to criminality/better than others and that these differences correlation with things like race, etc.

You: there's still somebody smarter than you. While you consider what to do to -your- lessers, consider whether you want your betters to follow your example.

Me (slightly confused by your irrelevant assertion but willing to steelman it by using the conversational convention of relevance): That looks like a fully general counter argument against admitting that differences in intelligence exist.

You: That's not what I meant.

In that case what did you mean and how was it relevant to my point?

I do not regard people's religions relating to race as being truths.

Do you agree that there is a fact of the matter on the questions relating to race?

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-18T14:42:16.258Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, steelmanning your Chomsky sentence, I assume you mean treating someone's race as the only meaningful information about them. In that case you might want to actually read what I wrote.

No. I mean treating race as a meaningful property of a person in the first place.

In that case what did you mean and how was it relevant to my point?

You start from where you responded to me - the conversation began before that, so my context for this conversation is apparently different from yours. Which is to say - the problem is not the relevance of what I say to your point, but the relevance of what you say to mine.

Do you agree that there is a fact of the matter on the questions relating to race?

No.

Not as a statement of solipsism, but because "race" isn't a well-defined category system, but a product of people's absurd need to draw well-defined boundaries where no well-defined boundaries exist. There's far more difference between a black-skinned person whose ancestors have lived in America for five generations and a black-skinned person whose ancestry remains rooted in Africa, than there is between the black-skinned American and a white-skinned American - yet these two are grouped together in "black" as if that were a meaningful category.

And then the concept of mixed-race; the insistence on treating edge cases as between categories, rather than demonstrating that the joints can't actually be carved there. It's a bit like insisting that the two ends of ring species are, in fact, distinct species - and the middles are mixed-species. If races can mix - and, indeed, if they've spent the past few centuries doing so - there aren't races anymore, just a spectrum of individuals who can't be sorted in any meaningful way. At which point, well, you might as well just treat people as individuals.

Am I from a small tribe in Polynesia because I have an unusual crown formation? Maybe I'm American Indian because of the way my roots wrap around my jawbone? Well, what about my blonde hair and blue eyes? What about my red beard? Where the hell am I in that spectrum? Well, today, I'm "white", because US slavery made that distinction important in our culture, and nothing else. And the fact that I'm "white" instead of a convoluted mess of a dozen different races - mixed race, in point of fact - means that the categorization at play is the product of cultural historical accident, rather than anything resembling truth.

Replies from: Lumifer, polymathwannabe, Old_Gold
comment by Lumifer · 2016-02-18T19:22:15.818Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

because "race" isn't a well-defined category system

That seems a very straightforward example of the Fallacy of the Gray.

a spectrum of individuals who can't be sorted in any meaningful way.

Really, just can't be sorted? That's a silly position.

the categorization at play is the product of cultural historical accident

That categorization is strongly correlated with your genes. Black people, for example, have strikingly different prevalence of certain diseases compared to white people. And East Asians have yet another prevalence. You think it's just because of a "cultural historical accident"?

You seem to be hung up on the word "race". Replace it with "gene pool", see if it helps.

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-18T20:35:32.758Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That seems a very straightforward example of the Fallacy of the Gray.

It isn't. I am not saying "The existence of a spectrum makes it impossible to tell where someone is on the spectrum between white and black". I am saying the notion of race is cultural rather than referring to anything like an innate property; I recall a documentary in which an American black man went to Africa to investigate farming techniques, and was made fun of for calling himself "black" when he was clearly white. http://lesswrong.com/lw/o0/where_to_draw_the_boundary/

Really, just can't be sorted? That's a silly position.

I've given explicit reasons. try some.

That categorization is strongly correlated with your genes. Black people, for example, have strikingly different prevalence of certain diseases compared to white people. And East Asians have yet another prevalence. You think it's just because of a "cultural historical accident"?

Some black people do. Other black people don't. Where did this black person's ancestors grow up in Africa? After all, there's far greater genetic diversity among Africans than among, say, Europeans.

You seem to be hung up on the word "race". Replace it with "gene pool", see if it helps.

You'll notice I refer several times to genetic clusters, which is a more accurate description than gene pool. But once you notice that there are multiple clusters for "black", and also multiple clusters for "white", and all of the clusters overlap, the idea of race starts dissolving. If you notice furthermore that clusters exist for other things - eye color, for example, or hair color, or jaw structure, or dental crown formations - the whole idea of classifying people by skin color becomes... well, ridiculous. The fact that I have an unusual crown formation says -far- more about my genes than my skin color, in point of fact, because there is only one island in the world where the particular formation originates - whereas there are dozens of genetic clusters which have roughly similar skin color.

Replies from: Lumifer
comment by Lumifer · 2016-02-18T20:57:27.613Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I am saying the notion of race is cultural rather than referring to anything like an innate property;

That is a definitional argument -- it's all about how one would define the word "race".

But once you notice that there are multiple clusters for "black", and also multiple clusters for "white", and all of the clusters overlap, the idea of race starts dissolving.

I don't think so. You can look at genetic clusters at different levels of aggregation. At some level each person is unique. At another level a family is similar. One level higher inhabitants of a certain region are similar. Going up, just before the level of "all humans are similar" you encounter race.

the whole idea of classifying people by skin color becomes... well, ridiculous.

That's why I'm suggesting classifying people not by their skin colour, but by the genetic pool / cluster their ancestors belonged to. Of course it's an imprecise, statistical classification that talks mostly about population averages and priors. That classification, however, is correlated with skin colour.

Speaking generally, the usefulness of classifications is determined by their intended use. It all depends on what do you want to do with your classification, so unless you specify the point of the exercise, the whole thing kinda hangs in the air...

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-18T21:31:09.800Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That is a definitional argument -- it's all about how one would define the word "race".

Very much so, yes.

I don't think so. You can look at genetic clusters at different levels of aggregation. At some level each person is unique. At another level a family is similar. One level higher inhabitants of a certain region are similar. Going up, just before the level of "all humans are similar" you encounter race.

I'd argue, as our culture defines race, you really encounter a large number of different and distinct ways of classifying groups of people, of which skin color is just one which gets disproportionate attention owing to historic cultural reasons combined with extreme visual salience (black skin is much easier to notice than eye color). In other periods of time, other ways of grouping people by race got more attention.

That's why I'm suggesting classifying people not by their skin colour, but by the genetic pool / cluster their ancestors belonged to. Of course it's an imprecise, statistical classification that talks mostly about population averages and priors. That classification, however, is correlated with skin colour.

The classification is correlated with a whole bunch of things, skin color being just one. You're right to say we can update our priors on somebody having such-and-such ancestry - but we could do the same thing with any number of other characteristics which we almost entirely - but not quite entirely - ignore. Because we do see hints of that - blondes are ditzy, red-heads are angry, blue eyed people are less trusting of others (this is, as I understand, a German stereotype) - but we don't elevate it to the level of -race-, and indeed treat it more like astrology.

[Edit]Because[/Edit] once you arrive at this point, you're left with a foundation which completely fails to hold up the weighty edifice that is "race"

Replies from: Lumifer, Old_Gold
comment by Lumifer · 2016-02-18T21:45:14.958Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

you really encounter a large number of different and distinct ways of classifying groups of people

Sure. But you're implying a nirvana-fallacy argument: that classification by race is not perfect. Of course it is not. It is, indeed, one of many many different ways. The interesting question is whether this classification reflects (imperfectly) some underlying joint in the territory, or whether it's an entirely arbitrary construct. It doesn't look like an arbitrary construct to me.

the weighty edifice that is "race"

Haven't noticed it being a particularly weighty edifice. A hot button, a battlefront, a trigger, a minefield, a mindkiller, etc. etc., but an edifice..? :-/

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-18T21:59:56.461Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Sure. But you're implying a nirvana-fallacy argument: that classification by race is not perfect. Of course it is not. It is, indeed, one of many many different ways. The interesting question is whether this classification reflects (imperfectly) some underlying joint in the territory, or whether it's an entirely arbitrary construct. It doesn't look like an arbitrary construct to me.

The use of skin color, as opposed to other criteria, is historical accident and entirely arbitrary. The importance placed on it, therefore, is entirely arbitrary. Does it look non-arbitrary? Well, I can only recommend you read the first book of The Stormlight Archive by Brandon Sanderson and consider how non-arbitrary the primary depicted culture thinks its sorting mechanism is. (Seriously, if you haven't read it, read it. Bloody good, and does for racial attitudes what The Wheel of Time does for gender attitudes.)

As for whether it reflects an underlying joint? In our sterile, "This set of clusters, and that set of clusters, have something like a joint between them, even if the joint has a spot-weld right in the center" sense, yes. However, people who talk about race are never talking about genetic clusters, as a rule, they're talking about skin color, and worse, the skin color of people in the middle of the damn spot weld.

Because we're not comparing the Hutu and the Zulu and the Sara and the Ovimbundu to the Aegeans and the Sardinians and the Bulgars and the Romani and the Magyars. We're comparing two groups of people in a country where every ethnic group that comes over gets dumped into a blender set on "chunky".

Haven't noticed it being a particularly weighty edifice. A hot button, a battlefront, a trigger, a minefield, a mindkiller, etc. etc., but an edifice..? :-/

Yes. Edifice. There is a huge volume of significance attached to something that doesn't support it.

Replies from: Lumifer, Good_Burning_Plastic
comment by Lumifer · 2016-02-18T22:08:50.690Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The use of skin color, as opposed to other criteria, is historical accident and entirely arbitrary.

Citation needed. I don't think just a bland assertion will suffice :-)

We're comparing two groups of people in a country where every ethnic group that comes over gets dumped into a blender set on "chunky".

Maybe you are. I'm not. The world is bigger and more interesting than the United States. In particular, Americans are notorious for looking at the multicoloured world of races in a just-black-and-white way. I'm not arguing that the racial classification the US government uses makes any kind of sense :-/

You're also overestimating the blender rpm.

comment by Good_Burning_Plastic · 2016-02-20T12:51:22.904Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

However, people who talk about race are never talking about genetic clusters, as a rule, they're talking about skin color

Not quite. People usually call Colin Powell an African-American even though his skin isn't that dark.

comment by Old_Gold · 2016-02-19T03:09:43.052Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'd argue, as our culture defines race, you really encounter a large number of different and distinct ways of classifying groups of people, of which skin color is just one which gets disproportionate attention owing to historic cultural reasons combined with extreme visual salience (black skin is much easier to notice than eye color).

So how do you account for the fact that race as measured by what you consider the "flawed cultural way" correlates as strongly as it does with things like intelligence and criminality?

In other periods of time, other ways of grouping people by race got more attention.

And quite possibly they were dealing with different populations and the groupings they used did in fact correlate with important things.

comment by polymathwannabe · 2016-02-18T15:24:10.389Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is there something stronger than an upvote that one can give, like a super-upvote?

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-18T15:47:55.919Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The appreciation is appreciated. :-)

I'm actually vaguely unsatisfied with this. There's a stronger statement about this I feel like I could make, but I can't translate the strong version of this into words; the discussion so far has been an abstract cloud in my brain that isn't condensing properly into a properly pithy form (which is part of why I was long-winded there). It's where all of this ties back into my opening post - about how, historically, people have been utter rubbish at judging the relative merits of groups, and how a spectrum of beliefs about race is a stronger "group" identifier than skin color. But it's not condensing properly.

Replies from: Old_Gold
comment by Old_Gold · 2016-02-19T02:50:25.654Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There's a stronger statement about this I feel like I could make, but I can't translate the strong version of this into words

Have you considered taking this as a hint that your beliefs about the subject are incoherent.

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-19T13:21:02.581Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

No. I don't think in words, and the translation from the thing-I-think-in into words is frequently very lossy.

comment by Old_Gold · 2016-02-19T02:55:15.439Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There's far more difference between a black-skinned person whose ancestors have lived in America for five generations and a black-skinned person whose ancestry remains rooted in Africa, than there is between the black-skinned American and a white-skinned American

Genetics science says otherwise. Or do you believe that genes have no impact on who someone is?

Am I from a small tribe in Polynesia because I have an unusual crown formation? Maybe I'm American Indian because of the way my roots wrap around my jawbone?

I don't know, are you? You can trace your ancestry or get genetic tested if your curious.

Replies from: OrphanWilde
comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-19T13:19:43.629Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Genetics science says otherwise. Or do you believe that genes have no impact on who someone is?

This fails to even remotely respond to what I wrote.

I don't know, are you? You can trace your ancestry or get genetic tested if your curious.

Yes, in all cases, and since you apparently don't understand the concept being conveyed here: There are no pure-blooded aryans here. There are no pure-bloods at all.

Replies from: Old_Gold
comment by Old_Gold · 2016-02-20T04:22:30.317Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There are no pure-blooded aryans here. There are no pure-bloods at all.

There's also no such thing as 100% pure water, that doesn't mean "water" or even "fresh water" is a meaningless or "socially constructed" concept, and it definitely doesn't mean it's a good idea to drink a glass of sea water.

comment by Viliam · 2016-02-17T13:52:14.999Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

One day if we'll have the explicit formula for human Coherent Extrapolated Volition, it may become possible to measure one's impact on the society on a single scale. Until then, there is no such thing as a scalar "a.impactOnSociety(time)".

Also: there are many sources of evidence about a person. Some people stop immediately after taking one piece of evidence (such as race) into account, even if there are other pieces available. Of course such motivated thinking is a mistake separate from mere "using evidence about people / groups".

comment by HungryHobo · 2016-02-16T17:13:12.697Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Define qualityOfCharacter and impactOnSociety.

I mean someone else might score you very low on qualityOfCharacter because your family has totally failed to provide a sacrificial infant for the yearly solstice ceremony. (Failure to support important social traditions)

Another might rate your qualityOfCharacter as very low because you reported a neighbor to the police for selling weed on the street corner. (betrayal of member of ingroup to a member of the outgroup)

Another might rate your impactOnSociety as terrible because you eat meat and thus help increase the suffering of creatures around you.

Though if you can come up with a definition of impactOnSociety() that almost everyone from a wide range of backgrounds can agree on then you're probably half way to a utility function for a friendly AI.

comment by gjm · 2016-02-16T12:46:18.563Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Based on what I've seen, I think that the median member of Group A has a higher qualityOfCharacter than the median member of Group B. I don't think there's anything inherently better about Group A.

Having a higher median "qualityOfCharacter" seems to me like it is an inherently better thing.

Aside from that, I basically agree completely with Lyyce except that I think "one" near the start of that comment should be replaced with "everyone".

comment by WalterL · 2016-02-17T19:01:57.750Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's really funny to me that your "terrible" quote and your "doesn't seem wrong" quote are mostly the same things, just with the second emphasizing over and over that you'd be willing to change your mind.

But what's going on here is just our old familiar dilemma of justice vs. truth. It SHOULDN'T be profitable to use someone's skin color as a quick proxy for what's inside their heads. That would be monstrously unfair. People can't help their skin color. It would totally be bullshit that certain shades of human would turn out to be more likely to be late every morning. Imagine if that was also applied to gender? Holy information asymmetry Batman!

Thing is, though, these beliefs will save you money. Extend more trust to folks with the 'good' characteristics, less to those with the 'bad' ones. Hiring a clerk for your urban youth patronized Footlocker? Got 50 applicants? Odds are, the white girl isn't in a gang. She could be, of course. If Warriors has taught us nothing else it is that anyone might be in a gang. But she probably isn't. What about the 30 black dudes? They probably aren't either. The majority of hu-nams aren't. But each of them is more likely to be than she is.

So, you've got a simple set of rules (which I'll snidely sum up as 'Always prefer white dudes for everything'), which seems like, by the numbers, it would save you money. You like money. As Danny DeVito said in that movie, "Everyone does, that's why its called money!". But there's a cost. You don't want to be known as a racist/sexist/age-ist/mental health-ist (even though, you actually would be if you did this).

Solution: Use these rules and rigorously deny that you do. Call it the Silicon Valley strategy, or the Patriarchy, if you are being mean about it.

Replies from: Old_Gold, Lumifer
comment by Old_Gold · 2016-02-17T22:12:38.269Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

But what's going on here is just our old familiar dilemma of justice vs. truth. It SHOULDN'T be profitable to use someone's skin color as a quick proxy for what's inside their heads. That would be monstrously unfair. People can't help their skin color.

People largely can't help what's inside their head either.

Replies from: Good_Burning_Plastic
comment by Good_Burning_Plastic · 2016-02-18T08:21:09.552Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I was about to nitpick your point before I remembered it'd be even easier to nitpick WalterL's. :-)

comment by Lumifer · 2016-02-18T19:35:04.556Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That would be monstrously unfair.

I am sorry, do you expect our universe to be fair? 8-0

comment by Val · 2016-02-16T15:26:41.544Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

We should not forget that from an evolutionary perspective (if we regard groups as the players) it is advantageous to have at least some bias in favor of the group you belong to. Groups which don't do this, are out-competed by groups who do.

Of course, too much bias leads to extremism. However, no bias at all might lead to the extinction of the group in question.

Replies from: Val, 9eB1, Lyyce
comment by Val · 2016-02-16T16:01:23.832Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I know the above statement might have unfortunate implications in the wrong context, but I would like to see it proven wrong instead of just dismissed, if you think you disagree with it. Do you disagree with the factual accuracy of the statement, or are you disagreeing because of the assumptions you made about my intent?

Replies from: ChristianKl, SilentCal
comment by ChristianKl · 2016-02-16T16:25:35.035Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I know the above statement might have unfortunate implications in the wrong context, but I would like to see it proven wrong instead of just dismissed, if you think you disagree with it.

You treat the the theory group selection as fact when a lot of established biologists don't think that group selection has strong effects.

Furthermore people who speak against group selection like Steven Pinker and Richard Dawkins have a higher esteem in this community than people speaking in favor of group selection.

Replies from: Val, OrphanWilde
comment by Val · 2016-02-16T16:51:21.086Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Maybe we are not talking about the same thing in this case.

If I understood correctly, the evolutionary biologist's criticism against group selection is that the group selection of individuals who sacrifice their own fitness for the fitness of the group, would not work, as their genes will quickly be out-competed by cheaters. This, however, views "group selection" as a theory where the group is responsible for developing biological traits in the individuals, and as a theory which tries to explain altruistic behavior inside the group. I was not claiming any of the above.

I was not talking about an evolutionary pressure on the individual caused by the so-called "group selection theory". I was only talking about support for one's own group in contrast with support for other groups, not in contrast with support for oneself.

Also, if "group selection", as per definition, means that biological traits in individuals develop on the group level, then I was not supporting the group selection theory at all! I was talking about the competition between different groups. Where one group competes with another group.

Would you say this competition doesn't exist, and that groups didn't go extinct during the course of history because other groups were more successful?

Maybe I used the term "evolution" in a way which might be misunderstood? I'm not claiming that biological traits spread among the individuals of a group for the good of the group. I'm claiming that general cultural or social principles of one group might make the group more competitive against other groups, and we can see plenty of historical proof for it.

Replies from: ChristianKl
comment by ChristianKl · 2016-02-16T17:08:06.435Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If I understood correctly, the evolutionary biologist's criticism against group selection is that the group selection of individuals who sacrifice their own fitness for the fitness of the group, would not work, as their genes will quickly be out-competed by cheaters.

Modern discourse about genetics isn't an ivory tower exercise where you can reason your way to the right answer without looking at empiric reality.

Would you say this competition doesn't exist, and that groups didn't go extinct during the course of history because other groups were more successful?

I'm not sure what "group" goes extinct is supposed to mean. Species go extinct or not.

Replies from: Val
comment by Val · 2016-02-16T17:20:13.471Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

without looking at empiric reality.

The empiric reality I'm looking at is that during the course of human history there were many groups, tribes, nations, civilizations which disappeared, and there are several in existence now, which might soon disappear if current trends continue. I doubt it would be too illogical to say that it was not only random chance, but it also played a role what values and goals those groups had, and how did those work out in comparison with the values and goals of other groups.

I'm not sure what "group" goes extinct is supposed to mean. Species go extinct or not.

Sorry for not being pedantic enough.

Replies from: ChristianKl
comment by ChristianKl · 2016-02-16T17:38:35.160Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The empiric reality I'm looking at is that during the course of human history there were many groups, tribes, nations, civilizations which disappeared

The fact that a nation disappear doesn't mean that there aren't any descendents of members of that nation.

Is is an topic where you can argue both the pro-group selection and the contra-group selection position based on arguments like you are making. But academics actually engaged more deeply with the subject and focused more strongly on the empiric predictions that various theories make.

As a result no argument that doesn't cite any papers will convince me.

I doubt it would be too illogical to say that it was not only random chance, but it also played a role what values and goals those groups had, and how did those work out in comparison with the values and goals of other groups.

A priori there's nothing illogical about saying it was random chance. The only way to know whether or not it was random chance is to actually studying empiric reality. That's a subject studied by experts.

it also played a role what values and goals those groups had, and how did those work out in comparison with the values and goals of other groups.

Values can chance fast culturally in a way that has nothing to do with genes. A few hundred years in which a nation forms has creates little distinct genetics that produce long-term evolutionary effects.

Replies from: Val
comment by Val · 2016-02-16T18:04:09.284Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Do you never consider yourself part of a group which is smaller than "all humans"? Would you lose nothing if that group became smaller and less powerful?

The fact that a nation disappear doesn't mean that there aren't any descendents of members of that nation.

Biological descendants, yes, but they were usually much worse off (usually enslaved, having a higher chance to be genocided, or just having fewer rights or fewer possibilities)

Is is an topic where you can argue both the pro-group selection and the contra-group selection position

If you define group selection as the theory that genetic traits in individuals develop for the main purpose of making the group fitter, then I was never talking about group selection at all.

As a result no argument that doesn't cite any papers will convince me.

If you only consider hard sciences as being exclusively important, and believe that all we know about and can infer from history and culture to be completely useless, than I doubt we have much chance to speak the same language in this case. People before the last century or so didn't write much scientific papers in the modern sense, but they did write down what they've seen happening, and while there might be inaccuracies, it would be a waste to throw away everything which was ever written down which is not an article in scientific journal. The information content of old historical documents (and even the information content of myths) is not zero.

Values can chance fast culturally in a way that has nothing to do with genes. A few hundred years in which a nation forms has creates little distinct genetics that produce long-term evolutionary effects.

Of course, I completely agree with that. But I was never talking about genetics in the first place. I used the term of evolution as ... I can't find a better word... not strictly as a metaphor, but you get the idea. Would you also attack the term "stellar evolution" as it is used in astronomy because evolution only means genetics? If not, than think about that my usage, while still distinct from the genetic meaning you were talking about, is still closer to it than the term of "stellar evolution".

Replies from: ChristianKl
comment by ChristianKl · 2016-02-16T18:37:17.384Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

People before the last century or so didn't write scientific papers, but they did write down what they've seen happening, and while there might be inaccuracies, it would be a waste to throw away everything which was ever written down which is not an article in scientific journal. The information content of old historical documents (and even the information content of myths) is not zero.

In cases where modern science disagrees with what's written in historical documents, there are usually strong reasons to prefer the conclusions of modern science.

Notice also that you used very definite language when you said "We should not forget that from an evolutionary perspective". That's a phrase to use when refering to established knowledge and not for positions for which there are arguments in favor but that are not established.

Of course, I completely agree with that. But I was never talking about genetics in the first place.

Okay if you didn't mean it, then that's fine.

Would you also attack the term "stellar evolution" as it is used in astronomy because evolution only means genetics?

If someone uses that term in astronomy they usually communicate in way that's clear that they did't mean genetic evolution. Your post didn't have that clarity and thus deserve to be voted down for it. It's motte-and-bailey.

Replies from: Val
comment by Val · 2016-02-16T20:32:40.330Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In cases where modern science disagrees with what's written in historical documents, there are usually strong reasons to prefer the conclusions of modern science.

Do you know of any modern scientific results which would prove that if members of a group stop supporting their group, than that group will not have reduced chances of survival?

It's motte-and-bailey.

Don't worry, I will not "go back to claiming" that "genetic traits in individuals develop for the main purpose of making the group fitter" after the discussion is over. :) I honestly didn't held that belief. I only held (and still hold) the belief that the survival of the fittest can also apply in the case of competition between groups, which is not something which is disproved by the arguments against group selection.

On the other hand, this discussion made me think about the possibility of people confusing the above with the term "group selection", and having read that "group selection is obsolete, not supported, and wrong" might conclude that it's not true that groups adapt, change, and get stronger or get destroyed based on how fit (how well group members are supporting the group also making part of the fitness of the group) and how adaptive they are compared to other groups, although this is not what group selection is about.

comment by OrphanWilde · 2016-02-16T17:57:07.216Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I have a vague memory of e-mailing Dawkins a decade or so ago about group selection and getting a response which more or less summed it up to my satisfaction: There's evolution of evolvability (or something like that, he had an interesting phrase for it), which is to say, group selection can take place based on individual-level selection pressures. The example, IIRC, was the tendency for certain kinds of species to grow larger with longer reproductive cycles, then go extinct as their reproductive cycles extended out to the point where they couldn't evolve fast enough to keep up with changing conditions. Other types were individual adaptations whose dispersement gave their groups massive advantages, outcompeting all other groups; the example there, IIRC, was sexual reproduction.

Which is to say, it's wrong to say that group selection doesn't exist, but it's also wrong to say it trumps individual (or genetic) selection. Rather, the entire concept of "group" selection is wrong in something the same way "individual" selection is wrong, because it is genes, in the context of other genes, which are selected.

Replies from: ChristianKl
comment by ChristianKl · 2016-02-16T18:49:42.692Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The example, IIRC, was the tendency for certain kinds of species to grow larger with longer reproductive cycles, then go extinct as their reproductive cycles extended out to the point where they couldn't evolve fast enough to keep up with changing conditions.

That evolution is about a species. That's not what Val means with group.

comment by SilentCal · 2016-02-17T20:10:52.957Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I didn't downvote, but I don't like your statement. I mostly agree with the biological facts, but you state them as if they apply directly and straightforwardly to the post's question about human affairs. If applied in the most obvious way, they lead to the unfortunate implications, but I don't think that application really makes sense. And I can't help suspecting these apparent implications are a result of motivated stopping.

comment by 9eB1 · 2016-02-16T17:16:59.392Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I recently read an interesting article that touched on this The Three Lessons of Biological History which was extracted from The Lessons of History by Will and Ariel Durant. I believe this is what you are talking about, not the strictly biological perspective others are inferring.

comment by Lyyce · 2016-02-16T16:38:11.801Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Group are very fluid entities, and can be defined by pretty much any parameter, which make your statement a bit vague. But even without considering that, there are shortcomings in your theory.

On an individual point of view, being biased towards one group will reduce your own possibilities, it will also reduce the incentives for your group to adapt and better itself. To be fair, it has nothing do with your theory, but still is worth saying imo

Your proposition could also be interpreted has a prisoner dilemna, with each group as a player, not being biased is to cooperate and be biased is to defect. The rational decision for every group is to defect, but everyone would be better if everyone is cooperating. One solution is to have a higher authority impose cooperation, with non-discrimination laws for example.

Replies from: Val
comment by Val · 2016-02-16T17:08:09.911Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

everyone would be better if everyone is cooperating

I agree with this view. And as I was not claiming that it would be good to be too much biased and always (or too often) defect. However, if there is a general tendency of how often / how likely do all the groups defect and cooperate, then one group who pledges to never ever defect no matter what, will see that the other groups will defect against it, solely because they know they will always win. The solution of the prisoner's dilemma requires the possibility, or at least the ability for you to defect, even if you don't choose it. Otherwise your opponent will always defect.