Linkpost: A Contra AI FOOM Reading List

post by DavidW (david-wheaton) · 2023-03-13T14:45:57.695Z · LW · GW · 2 comments

This is a link post for

This is a linkpost to a list of skeptical takes on AI FOOM. I haven't read them all and probably disagree with some of them, but it's valuable to put these arguments in one place. 


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comment by Jeffrey Ladish (jeff-ladish) · 2023-03-14T05:39:02.817Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It seems nice to have these in one place but I'd love it if someone highlighted a top 10 or something.

comment by mishka · 2023-03-14T01:06:18.664Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thanks, this is quite useful.

Still, it is rather difficult to imagine that they can be right. The standard argument seems to be quite compact.

Consider an ecosystem of human-equivalent artificial software engineers and artificial AI researchers. Take a population of those and make them work on producing a better, faster, more competent next generation of artificial software engineers and artificial AI researchers. Repeat using a population of better, faster, more competent entities, etc... If this saturates, it would probably saturate very far above human level...

(Of course, if people still believe that human-equivalent artificial software engineers and human-equivalent artificial AI researchers are a tall order, then skepticism is quite justified. But it's getting more and more difficult to believe that...)