Linkpost: A Contra AI FOOM Reading List
post by DavidW (david-wheaton)
This is a link post for https://magnusvinding.com/2017/12/16/a-contra-ai-foom-reading-list/
This is a linkpost to a list of skeptical takes on AI FOOM. I haven't read them all and probably disagree with some of them, but it's valuable to put these arguments in one place.
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comment by mishka ·
2023-03-14T01:06:18.664Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
Thanks, this is quite useful.
Still, it is rather difficult to imagine that they can be right. The standard argument seems to be quite compact.
Consider an ecosystem of human-equivalent artificial software engineers and artificial AI researchers. Take a population of those and make them work on producing a better, faster, more competent next generation of artificial software engineers and artificial AI researchers. Repeat using a population of better, faster, more competent entities, etc... If this saturates, it would probably saturate very far above human level...
(Of course, if people still believe that human-equivalent artificial software engineers and human-equivalent artificial AI researchers are a tall order, then skepticism is quite justified. But it's getting more and more difficult to believe that...)